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ELECTION 2020 POLE
Comments
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TRUMP
49 states in 72NorthwestFresh said:I don’t know how much endorsements really mean but this seems like a positive.
H thinks that is a bad thing
Trump won't get more than 40 this time -
TRUMPRedRocket said:
This is what doesn't make sense about the 538 prediction. 538 gives Trump a 10% chance of winning BUT also says PENN is the tipping point state for either candidate. Polls still indicate a Biden lean in PENN but even Silver is saying that the state could be more of a toss up. Following 538's own logic Trump's chances should be way higher than 1 in 10.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Yep, the 10% is probably putting way too much weight on Georgia, Florida, Iowa and Texas being polled close as even or slightly in Biden’s favor. Would be shocked if Trump lost any of them. Take that premise out and it’s way more than 10%, probably more like 40%. You can say the odds of winning 3 coin flips in a row is 12.5% on the surface, but if the first 2 are a given as wins its 50% in reality.RedRocket said:
This is what doesn't make sense about the 538 prediction. 538 gives Trump a 10% chance of winning BUT also says PENN is the tipping point state for either candidate. Polls still indicate a Biden lean in PENN but even Silver is saying that the state could be more of a toss up. Following 538's own logic Trump's chances should be way higher than 1 in 10.GrundleStiltzkin said: -
BIDENNate Silver is an effing moron and Trump winning or losing on Tuesday doesn’t change that fact.
The idea people still take anything that clown says seriously blows my mind... -
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PGOS
Depends on how many ballots you think are outstanding.Sledog said: -
TRUMP
Watching tucker it seemed ~66% of requested ballots had been returned. However Ohio and N.C. have until 13th/14th to count them... what the fuckGrundleStiltzkin said:
Depends on how many ballots you think are outstanding.Sledog said: -
TRUMPHe’s not bought by globalists so they hate him.
He works for all of us to be better off and doesn’t say “Learn to Code” to blue-collar workers.
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TRUMPHard-hitting journalism by the CBS White House correspondent.
Huge scoop. It’s warmer in Miami than Michigan. Do these morons even leave their Georgetown condos?
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TRUMPIf Tuesday night it looks like Trump's going to win the rest of the week is going to get ugly
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TRUMP
The memes will be terrific.Tequilla said:If Tuesday night it looks like Trump's going to win the rest of the week is going to get ugly
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TRUMPI was at a gathering yesterday, and there was a gal who said in reference to not wanting Trump to win -
"Those supreme court justices - he hand-picked them and that's not right"
I thought she was just being stupid and tried to explain that Obama had hand-picked his appointees. She did not know the President did the nominating.
Almost everyone at the party was voting Biden...Mrs. Lebam was totally disgusted on the way home. I have to go to better parties... -
TRUMP
You'd like N. Idaho. Way less rain and dreary than down your way.LebamDawg said:I was at a gathering yesterday, and there was a gal who said in reference to not wanting Trump to win -
"Those supreme court justices - he hand-picked them and that's not right"
I thought she was just being stupid and tried to explain that Obama had hand-picked his appointees. She did not know the President did the nominating.
Almost everyone at the party was voting Biden...Mrs. Lebam was totally disgusted on the way home. I have to go to better parties...
W. Montana is nice too. Stay the fuck out of Missoula and Bozeman.
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TRUMP
I'm shakingNorthwestFresh said:Hard-hitting journalism by the CBS White House correspondent.
Huge scoop. It’s warmer in Miami than Michigan. Do these morons even leave their Georgetown condos? -
TRUMP@creepycoug must be waiting for election day
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TRUMP
Terrible here! Already under 10 feet of snow. Food running low. Eating boot leather. Send help.PurpleThrobber said:
You'd like N. Idaho. Way less rain and dreary than down your way.LebamDawg said:I was at a gathering yesterday, and there was a gal who said in reference to not wanting Trump to win -
"Those supreme court justices - he hand-picked them and that's not right"
I thought she was just being stupid and tried to explain that Obama had hand-picked his appointees. She did not know the President did the nominating.
Almost everyone at the party was voting Biden...Mrs. Lebam was totally disgusted on the way home. I have to go to better parties...
W. Montana is nice too. Stay the fuck out of Missoula and Bozeman. -
TRUMP
I'd tell @LebamDawg about the Hooker Museum in Wallace but I'm not sure his heart could take it...Sledog said:
Terrible here! Already under 10 feet of snow. Food running low. Eating boot leather. Send help.PurpleThrobber said:
You'd like N. Idaho. Way less rain and dreary than down your way.LebamDawg said:I was at a gathering yesterday, and there was a gal who said in reference to not wanting Trump to win -
"Those supreme court justices - he hand-picked them and that's not right"
I thought she was just being stupid and tried to explain that Obama had hand-picked his appointees. She did not know the President did the nominating.
Almost everyone at the party was voting Biden...Mrs. Lebam was totally disgusted on the way home. I have to go to better parties...
W. Montana is nice too. Stay the fuck out of Missoula and Bozeman.
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TRUMP
The energy certainly says Trump. Those ain't Slo Joe's people! -
TRUMP
It's all over. What's up with those colorado people? -
PGOShttps://hotair.com/archives/ed-morrissey/2020/11/02/nbc-wsj-poll-biden-five-battleground-states/There’s more heat than light in this out this morning, but the heat’s worth checking out anyway. , which had Joe Biden up ten points in the overall sample of 1,000 registered voters conducted between Thursday and Saturday.
National polling is relatively meaningless, however. What about the battlegrounds? NBC/WSJ surveyed 800 more registered voters in twelve states, and found a closer race:In the 12-most competitive battlegrounds — Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin — Biden is ahead of Trump by a combined 5 points, 51 percent to 46 percent, according to a survey of 800 additional registered voters in those states interviewed Sunday by NBC/WSJ pollsters.
Biden’s lead in these states was 6 points in our Oct. 29-31 NBC News/WSJ poll, 51 percent to 45 percent, although that movement is within the margin of error.
Important context, however: Trump won these same states by a combined 2 points in 2016, 49 percent to 47 percent.
There are reasons to take this poll with a grain of salt, but let’s stick with the numbers first. According to the data, NBC/WSJ asked the same question of battleground voters three weeks ago (10/9-12) and showed Biden up by ten, 52/42, which is well outside the margin of error. If we can rely on this poll, at least for trending, it appears Trump has begun to surge in October — although that might not have been early enough, given the mail-in balloting and early in-person voting that began in September.
Another data point isn’t so cheery. The pollster asked what chances each candidate had of getting the respondents’ votes. For Biden, 43% said “no chance at all,” while 49% said the same thing about Trump. That would suggest a very narrow path to victory for Trump at best even in these battleground states he already won. -
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TRUMPSledog said:
It's all over. What's up with those colorado people?
Lots of Daddy Issues.
Like way more than our mere NW brains can comprehend.
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PGOShttps://hotair.com/archives/jazz-shaw/2020/11/02/bidens-last-minute-hail-mary-gun-control/For months now, disappointed liberals have been scratching their heads and bemoaning one question hanging over the 2020 elections. Why aren’t Democrats talking about gun control? It was all the rage last year, but now you don’t hear a peep about if from almost any of their candidates and it wasn’t even mentioned at the Democratic National Convention. The reasons seemed fairly obvious to me and it looked as if the issue had been put to rest for this cycle. But then, only this weekend, Democratic candidate Joe Biden broke the mold and ended the silence. His Twitter account chimed in, seemingly out of nowhere, with a promise to infringe on your Second Amendment rights if he’s sworn in as the 46th president.
This was just a curious decision on so many levels. First of all, did Joe Biden tweet that himself, or did one of his aides go rogue and do it without consulting him? (Whether Biden does his own tweeting all or even some of the time remains an open question. It’s a common opinion that he doesn’t.) In any event, it’s out there on the record and it will be ascribed to him anyway, so it’s a bit late to worry about that.
Also, it’s not as if Biden has made any secret of his intentions. All of his Second Amendment restriction plans are still posted on his campaign website even if nobody is talking about them in public.
But why tweet this? And more to the point, why now? Gun sales are through the roof all across the country, including among Democrats and liberals who are fearful of the violence engulfing the streets. Any discussions of making it even more difficult to legally purchase a firearm for your own protection aren’t likely to go over very well with anyone but the most hardened of the liberal base who were going to vote for Biden in any event. All this does is throw ammunition to the Trump campaign to use in the final hours as people prepare to go to the polls.
Or could there be something more here than meets the eye? This is the sort of thing any Democratic presidential candidate would be expected to say in more normal times, primarily to instill confidence in their base that they will support the liberal gun-grabbing agenda. Is Biden’s team looking at the numbers in some of the swing states and beginning to worry about turnout among their own people as opposed to any persuadable moderates that may still be sitting on the fence? If so, this could be a bid to drive the last few of them out to the polls.
That’s not an entirely crazy idea. Even the Washington Post admitted this weekend that the Biden campaign was growing increasingly worried about the polling in Pennsylvania and fear that his previous, slim lead could be slipping away at the eleventh hour. But this doesn’t sound like a move that would help him much, if at all, on that score. The vast majority of Biden’s support in the Keystone State is going to come from Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. But the latter city is currently overrun by mobs and is going up in flames. Philly is one of the places where the demand for guns is off the charts in a Democratic stronghold and people can’t even get applications for permits, to say nothing of laying their hands on a legal firearm. Something tells me that even his base there doesn’t want to hear any gun control claptrap at the moment.
Or was this just a slip-up on someone’s part on Team Biden? I honestly can’t come up with a viable explanation for this other than poor management in the final stretch of the campaign. Either way, Trump’s people need to pick up this ball and run with it all night. -
Wall Street rallying lately. I'm assuming that money is flowing in assumption of a Trump victory. Doubling the tax rate on capital gains per dem promises isn't good for holding or buying but for selling in 2020 in anticipation of 2021 tax increases.
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BIDENThe Tug is the only thing pulling me to thinking Trump wins. As much as I don't want Biden to win, I think he still does. The fix is in.
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PGOS
Today, I think Biden wins too. No fix needed.BleachedAnusDawg said:The Tug is the only thing pulling me to thinking Trump wins. As much as I don't want Biden to win, I think he still does. The fix is in.
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TRUMP
I comprehendPurpleThrobber said:Sledog said:
It's all over. What's up with those colorado people?
Lots of Daddy Issues.
Like way more than our mere NW brains can comprehend. -
TRUMP
Before today's gains, it was down 6% over the last week or so. Were those sellers taking gains in anticipation of a Biden win?WestlinnDuck said:Wall Street rallying lately. I'm assuming that money is flowing in assumption of a Trump victory. Doubling the tax rate on capital gains per dem promises isn't good for holding or buying but for selling in 2020 in anticipation of 2021 tax increases.
