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UW’s Path to Pac12 Championship

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Comments

  • GreenRiverGatorzGreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,165
    edited November 2022

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
  • whlinderwhlinder Member Posts: 4,806 Standard Supporter

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
    What scenarios are those? They need 12 teams:

    G5 champ
    Georgia
    tOSU
    Michigan
    TCU
    ACC champ
    Pac12 champ
    SEC #2 (Bama/LSU)

    That’s 8. If both Mich and tOSU stay top 4 then PSU is in.
    If TCU is top 4 then another B12 is in.

    Two more spots, from Tennessee, one of Bama/LSU (not accounted for above), ACC #2, and other Pac12. Pac12 other teams ahead of those SEC teams? No way.

    There would need to be some crazy chaos with LSU or Bama or Tennessee or Penn State losing this week for no reason to shitty teams.

    This is the year where the semi final bowls don’t have conference champ contracts, so the bowls which do will replace their champ with another from the conference. TCU top 4 sends Kansas State or Sark to the Sugar Bowl. It’s bullshit but is what it is.

    Need USC to make the playoff.
  • NoWarningJustDawgNoWarningJustDawg Member Posts: 1,000

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
    Unfortunately I think SEC has better chance to get 4 than Pac has at 3. The tendency of Rose to look for a Pac replacement if USC is in playoff would be followed by other bowls too. Ex, if TCU makes playoffs the Sugar Bowl will take Kstate or Texas.

    If USC makes playoffs and Rose selects Oregon and with Cotton stuck selecting UCF or similar, the only slot left is the remaining Cotton bowl bid, where UW would be competing with whichever of Bama, LSU, or Tenn hasn't been selected yet.

    It would seem TCU losing to ISU this week but winning the league the following week, could help our? chances but not if it just moves Clemson into playoffs as Orange Bowl will just replace them with 2nd shitty ACC team.

    @TheScript of course says Troy blows it against ND before winning league, and SEC, B1G, and ND take 8 of 12 bids, because the rest of the conferences suck and we can't have/don't deserve nice things.
    TL;dr: FYFMFE

  • theknowledgetheknowledge Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 4,920 Founders Club

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    This is the way.

    Go Beavs!!
  • haiehaie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 21,900 Swaye's Wigwam
    edited November 2022
    Swaye said:

    The amount of brainpower expended in this thread pretty well assures we lose to Coug. Way to go. Dumbasses.

    If DeBoer can't accomplish what Utah's waterboy could, switch out his lifetime contract for a 5 game one.
  • GreenRiverGatorzGreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,165
    whlinder said:

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
    What scenarios are those? They need 12 teams:

    G5 champ
    Georgia
    tOSU
    Michigan
    TCU
    ACC champ
    Pac12 champ
    SEC #2 (Bama/LSU)

    That’s 8. If both Mich and tOSU stay top 4 then PSU is in.
    If TCU is top 4 then another B12 is in.

    Two more spots, from Tennessee, one of Bama/LSU (not accounted for above), ACC #2, and other Pac12. Pac12 other teams ahead of those SEC teams? No way.

    There would need to be some crazy chaos with LSU or Bama or Tennessee or Penn State losing this week for no reason to shitty teams.

    This is the year where the semi final bowls don’t have conference champ contracts, so the bowls which do will replace their champ with another from the conference. TCU top 4 sends Kansas State or Sark to the Sugar Bowl. It’s bullshit but is what it is.

    Need USC to make the playoff.
    Any losses by Tennessee, Penn St, UNC, LSU, Bama, TCU, or Kansas State opens things up. That's a lot of moving parts. Also completely uncertain what happens with OSU/UM and the B10 CCG, they're a long ways away from both getting guaranteed playoff spots.

    So yeah, there's still a lot of scenarios that could unfold here. And three P12 teams, while not likely IMO, is still a possibility.
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 26,151 Swaye's Wigwam
    Swaye said:

    The amount of brainpower expended in this thread pretty well assures we lose to Coug. Way to go. Dumbasses.

    I was told by this board we never lose to cuog
  • CuntWaffleCuntWaffle Member Posts: 22,499
    Baseman said:

    Don't count your chickens before they roost? Beat Coug and let the chips fall. Simple.

    Yea Cuog won’t be easy. They should have beat Oregon and played Utah TUFF.
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 26,151 Swaye's Wigwam

    Baseman said:

    Don't count your chickens before they roost? Beat Coug and let the chips fall. Simple.

    Yea Cuog won’t be easy. They should have beat Oregon and played Utah TUFF.
    cuog had a tuffer schedule than us
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 26,151 Swaye's Wigwam
    Baseman said:

    Every time a team and fanbase starts talking scenarios, SOS arguements, etc, they overlook the next opponent and dump the game. Every time.

    Win. Simple. Win the games and let the chips fall. People never forget the Mormons stole our Natty. THe same people forgot we? laid an egg at SC.

    Win. That's it. That's the post

    Yup, if UW wins out there is 0 chance we dont make an NY6

    Beat cuog
  • DooglesDoogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,591 Founders Club
    All the group of 5 teams are shit as fuck this year, there isn't a dominant Boise/Cinnci/UCF type undefeated team.

    Is there a cutoff to their auto-bid? Seems fucky a 2-loss Tulane/Cinci ranked outside the top20 should participate.
  • whatshouldicareaboutwhatshouldicareabout Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,735 Swaye's Wigwam
    Doogles said:

    All the group of 5 teams are shit as fuck this year, there isn't a dominant Boise/Cinnci/UCF type undefeated team.

    Is there a cutoff to their auto-bid? Seems fucky a 2-loss Tulane/Cinci ranked outside the top20 should participate.

    Nope, they are guaranteed one spot, so it really needs to be top 11 Power 5 teams

    That's how we got into the Fiesta Bowl in 2017 when we were 11th and the last team in
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