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UW’s Path to Pac12 Championship

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  • GreenRiverGatorz
    GreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,165
    edited November 2022

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,266

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
    What scenarios are those? They need 12 teams:

    G5 champ
    Georgia
    tOSU
    Michigan
    TCU
    ACC champ
    Pac12 champ
    SEC #2 (Bama/LSU)

    That’s 8. If both Mich and tOSU stay top 4 then PSU is in.
    If TCU is top 4 then another B12 is in.

    Two more spots, from Tennessee, one of Bama/LSU (not accounted for above), ACC #2, and other Pac12. Pac12 other teams ahead of those SEC teams? No way.

    There would need to be some crazy chaos with LSU or Bama or Tennessee or Penn State losing this week for no reason to shitty teams.

    This is the year where the semi final bowls don’t have conference champ contracts, so the bowls which do will replace their champ with another from the conference. TCU top 4 sends Kansas State or Sark to the Sugar Bowl. It’s bullshit but is what it is.

    Need USC to make the playoff.
  • NoWarningJustDawg
    NoWarningJustDawg Member Posts: 1,000

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
    Unfortunately I think SEC has better chance to get 4 than Pac has at 3. The tendency of Rose to look for a Pac replacement if USC is in playoff would be followed by other bowls too. Ex, if TCU makes playoffs the Sugar Bowl will take Kstate or Texas.

    If USC makes playoffs and Rose selects Oregon and with Cotton stuck selecting UCF or similar, the only slot left is the remaining Cotton bowl bid, where UW would be competing with whichever of Bama, LSU, or Tenn hasn't been selected yet.

    It would seem TCU losing to ISU this week but winning the league the following week, could help our? chances but not if it just moves Clemson into playoffs as Orange Bowl will just replace them with 2nd shitty ACC team.

    @TheScript of course says Troy blows it against ND before winning league, and SEC, B1G, and ND take 8 of 12 bids, because the rest of the conferences suck and we can't have/don't deserve nice things.
    TL;dr: FYFMFE

  • theknowledge
    theknowledge Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,616 Founders Club

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    This is the way.

    Go Beavs!!
  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,648 Founders Club
    edited November 2022
    Swaye said:

    The amount of brainpower expended in this thread pretty well assures we lose to Coug. Way to go. Dumbasses.

    If DeBoer can't accomplish what Utah's waterboy could, switch out his lifetime contract for a 5 game one.
  • GreenRiverGatorz
    GreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,165
    whlinder said:

    We have a lot riding on Beavis. If they beat Oregon next week that sends 9-3 Utah to the title game. If USC exacts revenge on the Yoots for their only loss then they go to the playoff at 12-1 and 10-2 UW > 9-4 Utah and 9-3 Oregon and 9-3 UCLA for a NY6 invite. This is the path. Utah is not losing to Colorado and UCLA is not losing to Cal.

    Go Beavs!

    I still see plenty of scenarios where Oregon, USC, and us are all in the playoffs/NY6 bowls.
    What scenarios are those? They need 12 teams:

    G5 champ
    Georgia
    tOSU
    Michigan
    TCU
    ACC champ
    Pac12 champ
    SEC #2 (Bama/LSU)

    That’s 8. If both Mich and tOSU stay top 4 then PSU is in.
    If TCU is top 4 then another B12 is in.

    Two more spots, from Tennessee, one of Bama/LSU (not accounted for above), ACC #2, and other Pac12. Pac12 other teams ahead of those SEC teams? No way.

    There would need to be some crazy chaos with LSU or Bama or Tennessee or Penn State losing this week for no reason to shitty teams.

    This is the year where the semi final bowls don’t have conference champ contracts, so the bowls which do will replace their champ with another from the conference. TCU top 4 sends Kansas State or Sark to the Sugar Bowl. It’s bullshit but is what it is.

    Need USC to make the playoff.
    Any losses by Tennessee, Penn St, UNC, LSU, Bama, TCU, or Kansas State opens things up. That's a lot of moving parts. Also completely uncertain what happens with OSU/UM and the B10 CCG, they're a long ways away from both getting guaranteed playoff spots.

    So yeah, there's still a lot of scenarios that could unfold here. And three P12 teams, while not likely IMO, is still a possibility.
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,142
    Swaye said:

    The amount of brainpower expended in this thread pretty well assures we lose to Coug. Way to go. Dumbasses.

    I was told by this board we never lose to cuog
  • CuntWaffle
    CuntWaffle Member Posts: 22,499
    Baseman said:

    Don't count your chickens before they roost? Beat Coug and let the chips fall. Simple.

    Yea Cuog won’t be easy. They should have beat Oregon and played Utah TUFF.
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,142

    Baseman said:

    Don't count your chickens before they roost? Beat Coug and let the chips fall. Simple.

    Yea Cuog won’t be easy. They should have beat Oregon and played Utah TUFF.
    cuog had a tuffer schedule than us
  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,142
    Baseman said:

    Every time a team and fanbase starts talking scenarios, SOS arguements, etc, they overlook the next opponent and dump the game. Every time.

    Win. Simple. Win the games and let the chips fall. People never forget the Mormons stole our Natty. THe same people forgot we? laid an egg at SC.

    Win. That's it. That's the post

    Yup, if UW wins out there is 0 chance we dont make an NY6

    Beat cuog
  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,720 Founders Club
    All the group of 5 teams are shit as fuck this year, there isn't a dominant Boise/Cinnci/UCF type undefeated team.

    Is there a cutoff to their auto-bid? Seems fucky a 2-loss Tulane/Cinci ranked outside the top20 should participate.
  • whatshouldicareabout
    whatshouldicareabout Member Posts: 12,990
    Doogles said:

    All the group of 5 teams are shit as fuck this year, there isn't a dominant Boise/Cinnci/UCF type undefeated team.

    Is there a cutoff to their auto-bid? Seems fucky a 2-loss Tulane/Cinci ranked outside the top20 should participate.

    Nope, they are guaranteed one spot, so it really needs to be top 11 Power 5 teams

    That's how we got into the Fiesta Bowl in 2017 when we were 11th and the last team in
  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,648 Founders Club

    Baseman said:

    Every time a team and fanbase starts talking scenarios, SOS arguements, etc, they overlook the next opponent and dump the game. Every time.

    Win. Simple. Win the games and let the chips fall. People never forget the Mormons stole our Natty. THe same people forgot we? laid an egg at SC.

    Win. That's it. That's the post

    Don't lose to ASU...



    Like ever.
    Ever.

    Deboer doesn't get a pass.
  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 25,567 Standard Supporter

    haie said:

    Our Apple Cup win and Oregon's CG loss would have to result in us being ranked ahead of them to get to the rose bowl. What's cuog now, a top 30 win on the road? Oregon probably only drops 2 spots.

    The Bowls don’t pick by rankings. They could but it’s not a requirement. They pick whomever they want.
    The lower Bowls are obligated to. Vegas, Sun, unfunny talk show host Bowl etc.
  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800

    haie said:

    Our Apple Cup win and Oregon's CG loss would have to result in us being ranked ahead of them to get to the rose bowl. What's cuog now, a top 30 win on the road? Oregon probably only drops 2 spots.

    The Bowls don’t pick by rankings. They could but it’s not a requirement. They pick whomever they want.
    The lower Bowls are obligated to. Vegas, Sun, unfunny talk show host Bowl etc.
    Wrong.
  • CFetters_Nacho_Lover
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,197 Founders Club
    Baseman said:

    Don't count your chickens before they roost? Beat Coug and let the chips fall. Simple.

    I agree. As fans we should be locked in on the next opponent. One game at a time mindset.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,663 Founders Club
    Don James lost to ASU his first game. He was 8-6. ASU was right there with USC and UCLA as a team you had to beat to think about the title. They still are a talented if dysfunctional bunch, The DAWGS have been simply dysfunctional