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UW’s Path to Pac12 Championship

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  • CFetters_Nacho_LoverCFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 30,386 Founders Club
    The other possibility is us? playing USC.
  • whatshouldicareaboutwhatshouldicareabout Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,735 Swaye's Wigwam
    If USC wins, no champ game but maybe sliding into NY6 depending on how other teams fall in CFP rankings

    If USC loses, Oregon needs to lose to either Ute or OSU for us to get in to play Ute
  • Mad_SonMad_Son Member Posts: 10,179

    I can conclusively say that Washington needs to win out to make the pac 12 championship game.

    @TheChart is likely wrong, but according to the chart that isn't true.
  • bigccbigcc Member Posts: 896
    So ignoring some of the extremely unlikely scenarios where teams get upset by scrubs:

    UCLA needs to beat USC no matter what
    Oregon needs to lose either game (can't win out)
    UW needs to win out

    At that point its (in all likelihood) going to be either USC or Utah (no situation we play anyone else)

    Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.... Go bruins I guess, probably worth watching the 1.5 spread usc/ucla game live, and recording the 31.5 spread uw/colorado game to watch later or watch highlights or whatever the fuck
  • bigccbigcc Member Posts: 896
    Mad_Son said:

    I can conclusively say that Washington needs to win out to make the pac 12 championship game.

    @TheChart is likely wrong, but according to the chart that isn't true.
    Would require numerous other losses including Colorado over Utah, not worth giving it much thought,
  • backthepackbackthepack Member Posts: 19,861

    bigcc said:

    So ignoring some of the extremely unlikely scenarios where teams get upset by scrubs:

    UCLA needs to beat USC no matter what
    Oregon needs to lose either game (can't win out)
    UW needs to win out

    At that point its (in all likelihood) going to be either USC or Utah (no situation we play anyone else)

    Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.... Go bruins I guess, probably worth watching the 1.5 spread usc/ucla game live, and recording the 31.5 spread uw/colorado game to watch later or watch highlights or whatever the fuck

    If you toss out the possibility of Colorado beating Utah, then the only team UW would play is Utah. And yeah, it can only happen with UCLA beating USC, UW winning out and Oregon losing a game.
    Good thing it sounds like Bo Nix is out vs. Utah.
  • haiehaie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 21,900 Swaye's Wigwam
    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.
  • bigccbigcc Member Posts: 896

    bigcc said:

    So ignoring some of the extremely unlikely scenarios where teams get upset by scrubs:

    UCLA needs to beat USC no matter what
    Oregon needs to lose either game (can't win out)
    UW needs to win out

    At that point its (in all likelihood) going to be either USC or Utah (no situation we play anyone else)

    Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.... Go bruins I guess, probably worth watching the 1.5 spread usc/ucla game live, and recording the 31.5 spread uw/colorado game to watch later or watch highlights or whatever the fuck

    If you toss out the possibility of Colorado beating Utah, then the only team UW would play is Utah. And yeah, it can only happen with UCLA beating USC, UW winning out and Oregon losing a game.
    With Nix's injury status up in the air, playing utah and then on the road at OSU is a tough draw, I'd honestly be surprised if they don't lose one.

    Not sure what to think about ucla/usc though, I'm leaning towards usc winning, but it wouldn't surprise me if ucla slides through.

    Fucking arizona, shouldn't have to have our fate in other people's hands this year.
  • bigccbigcc Member Posts: 896
    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

  • haiehaie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 21,900 Swaye's Wigwam
    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
  • whatshouldicareaboutwhatshouldicareabout Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,735 Swaye's Wigwam
    haie said:

    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
    I don't see Cal beating UCLA
  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 105,968 Founders Club

    haie said:

    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
    I don't see Cal beating UCLA
    @GrandpaSankey
  • haiehaie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 21,900 Swaye's Wigwam
    edited November 2022
    Yeah, after looking at the decision tree of dreck that is the result of UW dropping two road games in a row, FTX U needs to beat UCLA. However if UCLA loses this weekend they might not care and quit on Chip.
  • TheHBTheHB Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,038 Swaye's Wigwam
    Too bad there is no North and South this year. I guess.
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 26,151 Swaye's Wigwam
    I thought we needed USC to beat UCLA, Oregon to beat Utah, and Oregon State to beat Oregon

    how does UW not get in, in that scenario???
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