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UW’s Path to Pac12 Championship

CFetters_Nacho_Lover
CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,197 Founders Club
in Hardcore Husky Board


No idea how accurate this is but there’s a possibility we? play Utah.


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  • CFetters_Nacho_Lover
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,197 Founders Club
    The other possibility is us? playing USC.
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  • whatshouldicareabout
    whatshouldicareabout Member Posts: 12,990
    If USC wins, no champ game but maybe sliding into NY6 depending on how other teams fall in CFP rankings

    If USC loses, Oregon needs to lose to either Ute or OSU for us to get in to play Ute
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  • Mad_Son
    Mad_Son Member Posts: 10,194
    UW_Doog_Bot said:

    I can conclusively say that Washington needs to win out to make the pac 12 championship game.

    @TheChart is likely wrong, but according to the chart that isn't true.
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  • bigcc
    bigcc Member Posts: 900
    So ignoring some of the extremely unlikely scenarios where teams get upset by scrubs:

    UCLA needs to beat USC no matter what
    Oregon needs to lose either game (can't win out)
    UW needs to win out

    At that point its (in all likelihood) going to be either USC or Utah (no situation we play anyone else)

    Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.... Go bruins I guess, probably worth watching the 1.5 spread usc/ucla game live, and recording the 31.5 spread uw/colorado game to watch later or watch highlights or whatever the fuck
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  • bigcc
    bigcc Member Posts: 900
    Mad_Son said:

    UW_Doog_Bot said:

    I can conclusively say that Washington needs to win out to make the pac 12 championship game.

    @TheChart is likely wrong, but according to the chart that isn't true.
    Would require numerous other losses including Colorado over Utah, not worth giving it much thought,
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  • backthepack
    backthepack Member Posts: 19,937
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:

    bigcc said:

    So ignoring some of the extremely unlikely scenarios where teams get upset by scrubs:

    UCLA needs to beat USC no matter what
    Oregon needs to lose either game (can't win out)
    UW needs to win out

    At that point its (in all likelihood) going to be either USC or Utah (no situation we play anyone else)

    Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.... Go bruins I guess, probably worth watching the 1.5 spread usc/ucla game live, and recording the 31.5 spread uw/colorado game to watch later or watch highlights or whatever the fuck

    If you toss out the possibility of Colorado beating Utah, then the only team UW would play is Utah. And yeah, it can only happen with UCLA beating USC, UW winning out and Oregon losing a game.
    Good thing it sounds like Bo Nix is out vs. Utah.
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  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,648 Founders Club
    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.
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  • bigcc
    bigcc Member Posts: 900
    CFetters_Nacho_Lover said:

    bigcc said:

    So ignoring some of the extremely unlikely scenarios where teams get upset by scrubs:

    UCLA needs to beat USC no matter what
    Oregon needs to lose either game (can't win out)
    UW needs to win out

    At that point its (in all likelihood) going to be either USC or Utah (no situation we play anyone else)

    Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.... Go bruins I guess, probably worth watching the 1.5 spread usc/ucla game live, and recording the 31.5 spread uw/colorado game to watch later or watch highlights or whatever the fuck

    If you toss out the possibility of Colorado beating Utah, then the only team UW would play is Utah. And yeah, it can only happen with UCLA beating USC, UW winning out and Oregon losing a game.
    With Nix's injury status up in the air, playing utah and then on the road at OSU is a tough draw, I'd honestly be surprised if they don't lose one.

    Not sure what to think about ucla/usc though, I'm leaning towards usc winning, but it wouldn't surprise me if ucla slides through.

    Fucking arizona, shouldn't have to have our fate in other people's hands this year.
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  • bigcc
    bigcc Member Posts: 900
    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

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  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,648 Founders Club
    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
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  • whatshouldicareabout
    whatshouldicareabout Member Posts: 12,990
    haie said:

    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
    I don't see Cal beating UCLA
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,663 Founders Club
    whatshouldicareabout said:

    haie said:

    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
    I don't see Cal beating UCLA
    @GrandpaSankey
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  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,648 Founders Club
    edited November 2022
    Yeah, after looking at the decision tree of dreck that is the result of UW dropping two road games in a row, FTX U needs to beat UCLA. However if UCLA loses this weekend they might not care and quit on Chip.
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  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    Too bad there is no North and South this year. I guess.
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  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,142
    I thought we needed USC to beat UCLA, Oregon to beat Utah, and Oregon State to beat Oregon

    how does UW not get in, in that scenario???
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  • haie
    haie Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 23,648 Founders Club
    PostGameOrangeSlices said:

    I thought we needed USC to beat UCLA, Oregon to beat Utah, and Oregon State to beat Oregon

    how does UW not get in, in that scenario???

    Cal also has to beat UCLA
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  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,142
    haie said:

    PostGameOrangeSlices said:

    I thought we needed USC to beat UCLA, Oregon to beat Utah, and Oregon State to beat Oregon

    how does UW not get in, in that scenario???

    Cal also has to beat UCLA
    Why? UCLA would have 3 conference losses...
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  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member Posts: 18,028
    haie said:

    bigcc said:

    haie said:

    We can only play USC (replacing Oregon as the #2 seed), the two threads of results we need are both unlikely to happen.

    What did the chart get wrong to where we couldn't play Utah? Not being facetious, I'm genuinely curious.

    Ugh, I thought it was common knowledge that we need beavlet to win out, UCLA to lose out, and Oregon to beat Utah (and obviously lose to beavlet). The alternate thread is Colorado beats Utah which isn't happening.

    So it looked like SC against UW in 1 scenario was all that was possible. Then again it's Twitter.
    It's a rivalry game, anything can happen!
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  • EwaDawg
    EwaDawg Member Posts: 4,329
    edited November 2022
    PostGameOrangeSlices said:

    I thought we needed USC to beat UCLA, Oregon to beat Utah, and Oregon State to beat Oregon

    how does UW not get in, in that scenario???



    I think this is correct. From what i gather in a tie with Utah the tiebreaker is record vs the highest finishing common p12 opponent. We beat oregon and Utah will lose. Utah beat ASU who we lost to but ASU finished below oregon.

    Hope this is correct. Biggest upset would be Beav over oregon.
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  • Canadawg
    Canadawg Member Posts: 5,253
    Pac 12 will make sure they get their premiere LA programs in the CCG. "Good luck in the B10 rep the West!"
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  • no_uh
    no_uh Member Posts: 769
    I dare someone to parlay UW into championship.
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  • Doogles
    Doogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,720 Founders Club
    haie said:

    TheHB said:

    Too bad there is no North and South this year. I guess.

    That happened because the North embarrassed the South for pretty much the whole Pac 12 era.
    The idea was that in the playoff era, if the conference has any chance at producing a playoff team, they need the highest quality championship game available to boost the ranking.

    It avoids one of those weird years where a team loses a few ooc games and then lucks into winning the division with 2 more losses. Then playoff hopeful is playing unranked drek for the title in vegas.
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  • Bread
    Bread Member Posts: 4,067
    Should have made division winner the tie breaker
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  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,123
    edited November 2022
    haie said:

    Yeah, after looking at the decision tree of dreck that is the result of UW dropping two road games in a row, FTX U needs to beat UCLA. However if UCLA loses this weekend they might not care and quit on Chip.

    UCLA could implode, but Charbonnet is a really good RB and UCLA can put up some points on USC. DTR is having a big season too and has been very efficient. USC is 8th in the PAC 12 in rush defense so hopefully Charbonnet has a big game.

    Tough game to predict. I don’t think USC is all that good. Arizona was only down 2 going into the 4th vs USC. Both teams have a lot on the line and hopefully UCLA is fired up after blowing it vs Arizona last week.

    Edit: I’m an idiot and just realized we want USC to win. The reality is, the ASU loss fucked us and it’s gonna be tough to sneak in there.

    Finishing 11-2 and in the top 10 after a bowl win would be a hell of a season.
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