538 now gives trump a 1 in 3 shot to win
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
Comments
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IRYKdhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaignthat they havelike always. -
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat. -
It's gonna be closer to 2/5 or coin flip by election day, baring the media dropping another Trump bomb.
But let's be real, somebody somewhere is sitting on video of Trump saying the N word or faggot (abundance? DDY??) and is waiting for just the right moment (or the right price) to release it.
Gonna be an interesting five days. -
I hate trump with a passion. however during the world series game last night they showed about 10 Clinton/trump emails combined.
Clinton's were terrible and were nothing more than "the children are watching! he says naughty words!." fucking zero to get you excited about voting for her.
Trump's were partially terrible but still had scenes of him talking to workers, making speeches about bringing back jobs, etc.
Had you known nothing else, just by watching their ads, trump would win by 30 points -
loldhdawg said:I hate trump with a passion. however during the world series game last night they showed about 10 Clinton/trump emails combined.
Clinton's were terrible and were nothing more than "the children are watching! he says naughty words!." fucking zero to get you excited about voting for her.
Trump's were partially terrible but still had scenes of him talking to workers, making speeches about bringing back jobs, etc.
Had you known nothing else, just by watching their ads, trump would win by 30 points -
Fuck. I'm not even gonna correct that. That's hilarious
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#Election2016 in a nutshelldhdawg said:Fuck. I'm not even gonna correct that. That's hilarious
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I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
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That anyone would vote for a candidate with such blatant disregard for our laws, ethics and morals is the scary part. She'll be impeached and jailed and that idiot Kane would be president.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have. -
They'd turn the tables on election result disputes fast than a cheap Chinese family-style lazy susan.greenblood said:I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
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I thought you liked Trump?Sledog said:
That anyone would vote for a candidate with such blatant disregard for our laws, ethics and morals is the scary part. She'll be impeached and jailed and that idiot Kane would be president.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have. -
FREE PUBES!greenblood said:I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
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On ethics and morals you are pretty much right, but only one candidate is in the middle of a criminal investigation.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought you liked Trump?Sledog said:
That anyone would vote for a candidate with such blatant disregard for our laws, ethics and morals is the scary part. She'll be impeached and jailed and that idiot Kane would be president.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
On pure wit alone, I had to awesome it. -
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat. -
That was the first of many horrible moments in 2016.DonLemonParty said:
FREE PUBES!greenblood said:I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
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Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election. -
Hi.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
The general electorate is much different than the Republican primary electorate.
Trump doesn't appeal to enough women or minorities to win. His only hope is that Hillary turns off enough of her base to lose.
The other Republicans could have eaten into her base and won more moderates.
The fact that the Republican party nominated a candidate that is so badly misaligned with the country as a whole is a bad sign for the party's future. -
Boobs seems worried.
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Nah. If Hillary Lockie loses, she deserves it.PurpleJ said:Boobs seems worried.
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I don't think Cruz would have had appeal.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hi.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
The general electorate is much different than the Republican primary electorate.
Trump doesn't appeal to enough women or minorities to win. His only hope is that Hillary turns off enough of her base to lose.
The other Republicans could have eaten into her base and won more moderates.
The fact that the Republican party nominated a candidate that is so badly misaligned with the country as a whole is a bad sign for the party's future.
I would add Rubio to the mix. He'd be a big boost in Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado.
I think Rubio or Kasich would have more appeal. The other 15 candidates no.
Christie- lmao
Fiorina- Not a chance
Cruz- Would scare away moderates
Bush- Would be spending 3/4 of the election defending what his brother did.
Paul- I don't know
Everybody else had no chance from the beginning -
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election. -
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons. -
Obama just needs more time to get his own guys into the FBI.
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Paul and maybe Kasich would have beaten her. Not sure about the rest.
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This is very true. He choose to put a Republican in charge when he didn't need to. This is partially on him. It's mostly on hillary for opening the door up for the fbi to do this thoughPurpleJ said:Obama just needs more time to get his own guys into the FBI.
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Bernie Sanders would be up by 10+ right now. He would have gotten all of the liberal base plus a lot of cross over from the white trash as ozone calls them.
But the democratic party had to force a corrupt insider involved in approximately 818,181 scandals down everyone's throats while calling anyone that didn't like her a mysoginist -
But the difference with Ozone...dhdawg said:Bernie Sanders would be up by 10+ right now. He would have gotten all of the liberal base plus a lot of cross over from the white trash as ozone calls them.
But the democratic party had to force a corrupt insider involved in approximately 818,181 scandals down everyone's throats while calling anyone that didn't like her a mysoginist
By voting for Bernie instead of Trump, he'd be calling them the less fortunate not white trash. -
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump -
If true, it makes me wonder what else will be leaked between now and Tuesday.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump -
“There are lots of people who don’t think Trump is qualified, but also believe Clinton is corrupt. What you hear a lot is that it’s a bad choice, between an incompetent and a corrupt politician,” said a former FBI official.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump
They're right, you know
