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538 now gives trump a 1 in 3 shot to win
Comments
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Trump > Hillary > Bernie
Simple fact. -
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Agree, but it's not the role of the FBI to campaign on behalf of Trump.dnc said:
“There are lots of people who don’t think Trump is qualified, but also believe Clinton is corrupt. What you hear a lot is that it’s a bad choice, between an incompetent and a corrupt politician,” said a former FBI official.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump
They're right, you know
That's some SS level shit. -
You have the SS FBI against the SS DOJTierbsHsotBoobs said:
Agree, but it's not the role of the FBI to campaign on behalf of Trump.dnc said:
“There are lots of people who don’t think Trump is qualified, but also believe Clinton is corrupt. What you hear a lot is that it’s a bad choice, between an incompetent and a corrupt politician,” said a former FBI official.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump
They're right, you know
That's some SS level shit.
Sark>Ty -
Look at Mr losers blame the refs nowTierbsHsotBoobs said:
Agree, but it's not the role of the FBI to campaign on behalf of Trump.dnc said:
“There are lots of people who don’t think Trump is qualified, but also believe Clinton is corrupt. What you hear a lot is that it’s a bad choice, between an incompetent and a corrupt politician,” said a former FBI official.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump
They're right, you know
That's some SS level shit. -
DNC is right ... it's probably closer to a coin flip than 1 in 3 ... there will be more bombs between now and Tuesday ... but the trending IMO favors Trump.
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disagree. Things could change but as of now he would have to win florida, which is still a toss up, and win NC, Nevada, and then upset in NH, Virginia, Penn or Colorado.
Even if he does, if Hillary wins the 3rd EV in Maine it would be a 269-269 tie, which I guess would be a win for trump.
It's going to be damn close, but if the election was held today she'd win -
if Hillary wasn't so slimy and involved in so much bad shit they wouldn't have anything to campaign on. Same thing as the media objectively going after trump more than Hillary for all the horrible shit he's said. in both cases it's deservedTierbsHsotBoobs said:
Agree, but it's not the role of the FBI to campaign on behalf of Trump.dnc said:
“There are lots of people who don’t think Trump is qualified, but also believe Clinton is corrupt. What you hear a lot is that it’s a bad choice, between an incompetent and a corrupt politician,” said a former FBI official.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought that too until I read this article:greenblood said:
The GOP hate all Dems, and vice versa. But for the FBI to hate her, it leads me to think of the smoke and fire analogy. There's something there if the FBI is on her like white on rice.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
We would see the stuff against Hillary regardless because the GOP and the FBI hate her.greenblood said:
Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election.
I also don't think the FBI's anger is towards Hillary specifically. I think it's more towards the DOJ trying to thwart their investigation, because of their relationship with the Cintons.
https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/03/fbi-leaks-hillary-clinton-james-comey-donald-trump
They're right, you know
That's some SS level shit. -
The Hillary fan boys here were cheering last July when the DOJ didn't pursue. It was the best outcome for Trump.
It pissed off the FBI and Comey had to go forward now with all the evidence there is. -
yes. at that time it would have still given them a chance to nominate someone else. she didn't have enough pledged delegatesRaceBannon said:The Hillary fan boys here were cheering last July when the DOJ didn't pursue. It was the best outcome for Trump.
It pissed off the FBI and Comey had to go forward now with all the evidence there is.
