538 now gives trump a 1 in 3 shot to win
Comments
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I thought you liked Trump?Sledog said:
That anyone would vote for a candidate with such blatant disregard for our laws, ethics and morals is the scary part. She'll be impeached and jailed and that idiot Kane would be president.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have. -
FREE PUBES!greenblood said:I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
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On ethics and morals you are pretty much right, but only one candidate is in the middle of a criminal investigation.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
I thought you liked Trump?Sledog said:
That anyone would vote for a candidate with such blatant disregard for our laws, ethics and morals is the scary part. She'll be impeached and jailed and that idiot Kane would be president.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
On pure wit alone, I had to awesome it. -
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat. -
That was the first of many horrible moments in 2016.DonLemonParty said:
FREE PUBES!greenblood said:I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
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Primaries are different than a general election. However, I don't we'd be seeing these leaks if another candidate was running. Trump would out perform every primary opponent except for Kasich.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
Kasich would be up about 10 points right now. He'd carry Ohio, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. He had more crossover appeal than Trump in a general election. -
Hi.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
The general electorate is much different than the Republican primary electorate.
Trump doesn't appeal to enough women or minorities to win. His only hope is that Hillary turns off enough of her base to lose.
The other Republicans could have eaten into her base and won more moderates.
The fact that the Republican party nominated a candidate that is so badly misaligned with the country as a whole is a bad sign for the party's future. -
Boobs seems worried.
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Nah. If Hillary Lockie loses, she deserves it.PurpleJ said:Boobs seems worried.
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I don't think Cruz would have had appeal.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hi.DugtheDoog said:
This is a terrible argument and used far too often. Trump receive more primary votes than any republican ever. And Trump basically lapped everyone else in the field. But since you say Trump is the only republican Hilary can beat, how many points ahead would Jeb be right now? And who do you think would have a bigger lead, Jeb or Lyin Ted? What about Kasich? He'd be winning in a landslide, right? Carly Fiorina would totally be outperforming Trump as wll.TierbsHsotBoobs said:
Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.dhdawg said:http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast
their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
The general electorate is much different than the Republican primary electorate.
Trump doesn't appeal to enough women or minorities to win. His only hope is that Hillary turns off enough of her base to lose.
The other Republicans could have eaten into her base and won more moderates.
The fact that the Republican party nominated a candidate that is so badly misaligned with the country as a whole is a bad sign for the party's future.
I would add Rubio to the mix. He'd be a big boost in Florida, Nevada, New Mexico, and Colorado.
I think Rubio or Kasich would have more appeal. The other 15 candidates no.
Christie- lmao
Fiorina- Not a chance
Cruz- Would scare away moderates
Bush- Would be spending 3/4 of the election defending what his brother did.
Paul- I don't know
Everybody else had no chance from the beginning
