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538 now gives trump a 1 in 3 shot to win

dhdawg
dhdawg Member Posts: 13,326
edited November 2016 in Tug Tavern
http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast

their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.
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Comments

  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,580 Standard Supporter
    dhdawg said:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast

    their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
    this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they havelike always.

    IRYK
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    dhdawg said:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast

    their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
    this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.

    Hillary absolutely deserves to lose.

    The problem is that the GOP nominated the one person she can beat.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    edited November 2016
    It's gonna be closer to 2/5 or coin flip by election day, baring the media dropping another Trump bomb.

    But let's be real, somebody somewhere is sitting on video of Trump saying the N word or faggot (abundance? DDY??) and is waiting for just the right moment (or the right price) to release it.

    Gonna be an interesting five days.
  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,566
    edited November 2016
    I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.
  • Sledog
    Sledog Member Posts: 38,619 Standard Supporter
    dhdawg said:

    http://www.vox.com/2016/11/3/13147678/nate-silver-fivethirtyeight-trump-forecast

    their model, which is usually incredibly accurate. gives Hillary a path to win if she takes Pennsylvania, Virginia, colorado, and new Hampshire. I still think she wins, but I can't see her getting more than 280 at the most.
    this is gonna be a tight, nerve-wracking election. and the democrats deserve it for nominating Hillary and running the condescending and shitty campaign that they have.

    That anyone would vote for a candidate with such blatant disregard for our laws, ethics and morals is the scary part. She'll be impeached and jailed and that idiot Kane would be president.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter

    I think another appeal to Trump is to watch the heads explode on CNN, ABC, CBS, and MSNBC, if Trump actually wins. The looks on Don Lemon, Anderson Cooper, Chris Matthews, Chuck Todd, Rachel Maddow, and George Stephanonopoupoulos.... would be hilarious.

    They'd turn the tables on election result disputes fast than a cheap Chinese family-style lazy susan.

    image