So I decided to spend some time entering my county's (Orange County) data and looking at the numbers myself...
Fuck these guysm. They reported another 31 deaths today. If you look at their trend lines, the death rate is going up (dotted red line below).
However:
To date, when looking at the "Date of Death", there hasn't been a single day over 15 deaths (tallest blue spike below). In fact, in their "Death Report Date" numbers, they've reported TEN daily totals that are higher than our max (15) number of people that died on any particular date.
When you look at the "Date of Death", our numbers actually peaked around 7/8.
Using Orange County Covid 19 Dashboard (Deaths Tab), the Blue series below is actual "Date of Death" Using The Global Covid 19 Tracker, (filtered down to CA and OC, which match the deaths by "Death Report Date" that the county has been reporting) the Red series is "Death Report Date" Both sets of data total 697 deaths, which is our county's total.
A 3-7 day rolling average would help filter some of the peaks and valleys that only occur due to administrative constraints. Backlogged peaks are really good at tricking humans into trends.
Also a third aspect on the graph, plotting the average delay in “date of death” to “reported date of death” for each specific date might yield something interesting.
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
Not as skeptical as this board is about your legal credentials, Dazzler.
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
Not as skeptical as this board is about your legal credentials, Dazzler.
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
I guess government can only keep vast conspiracies when it involves the WH and Iraqi WMDs or Russian hooker pee tapes....
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
I guess government can only keep vast conspiracies when it involves the WH and Iraqi WMDs or Russian hooker pee tapes....
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
I guess government can only keep vast conspiracies when it involves the WH and Iraqi WMDs or Russian hooker pee tapes....
Incoherent, but you're so likeable.
I am EXTREMELY hateable, actually. But, somehow, less so than you.
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
The government actually tried to say Trump was a Russian agent, Lionel. That’s never been proven so fuck off from people like me who don’t trust your government.
Pretty sure HHusky doesn’t read, or want to read the Ethical Skeptic feed. He just likes to spout CNN talking points.
You and I were right.
ES = Kevin Bacon
Just the opposite in fact, Dazzler.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
Right. Government is so incompetent that it can only accomplish (and keep secret) vast conspiracies requiring massive numbers of people and extraordinary coordination.
Comments
A 3-7 day rolling average would help filter some of the peaks and valleys that only occur due to administrative constraints. Backlogged peaks are really good at tricking humans into trends.
Also a third aspect on the graph, plotting the average delay in “date of death” to “reported date of death” for each specific date might yield something interesting.
ES is saying NOT all is well - it's fucked the government and state health agencies have cooked the books.
ES is quite the "skeptic".
I approve of the subject even if I quarrel with the opinion.
Here’s your ribbon.
Yeah keep them and lie about them.
I’ve wondered a tim or two whether this was elaborate social media performance art. Is that cynical or skeptical? I never can tell.