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ELECTION 2020 POLE

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Comments

  • WillyRBeek
    WillyRBeek Member Posts: 133
    TRUMP
    Biden will win the popular vote, but Trump will win the presidency again.

    Looking at the margins in a lot of the "Swing states", they are a lot closer than I think a lot of people realize.
    I don't think Trump will take Michigan or Wisconsin this time around, but if he can carry Ohio, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Arizona, all of which are realistic expectations, he should have enough to get to 270.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,788 Founders Club
    TRUMP
    To me early voting is the only wild card. And cheating but still lots of votes cast while Joe was in the basement. Even limited appearances drag Joe down

    The fact that there is record early voting is meaningless. The pandemic and everyone getting a mail in ballot will cause record early voting

    But for who? That conventional wisdom may be wrong this year as well.
  • Houhusky
    Houhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    BIDEN
    Trump losing suburban middle class whites (especially women) but picking up Hispanics (40%+) and Black Males (20%+)

    Not sure if Trump will be able to overcome the racist white woman firewall Biden and the democrats have erected.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    PGOS

    I was so sure Hillary was going to win in 2016. Any political prognostication on my part is worthless.

    #IMWITHHER