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P12 Championship line going up

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Comments

  • TheHBTheHB Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,072 Swaye's Wigwam
    bisonduck said:

    Retardation gif

    Be more like @Sources. He just spams my poasts with NYBE, Fuck offs, Bury Post, and Flag.
    Typical duck. Not #battletested
  • CFetters_Nacho_LoverCFetters_Nacho_Lover Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 30,420 Founders Club
    Sources said:


    .

    Case closed.
  • greenbloodgreenblood Member Posts: 14,437
    edited November 2023
    HFNY said:

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
  • no_uhno_uh Member Posts: 765

    HFNY said:

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    I've only been able to arbitrage bet once and it was an amazing feeling.

  • FireCohenFireCohen Member Posts: 21,823
    DucksFC said:

    Is there an over/under on how many times the ducks will soccer flop to stop the clock?

    I already put $100 down on three amputations
    Over and under is always 5
  • bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714

    HFNY said:

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.
  • AOGAOG Member Posts: 1,826
    I don't get the point of this "championship" since we? already beat the Dukx and finished first. Money? Staff, true?
  • flatusflatus Member Posts: 1,068
    bisonduck said:

    HFNY said:

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.
    Do tell?
  • bisonduckbisonduck Member Posts: 714
    flatus said:

    bisonduck said:

    HFNY said:

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.
    Do tell?
    I think UW is mostly healthy except for recurring vaginitis.
  • Seven_ElevenSeven_Eleven Member Posts: 120
    LaZoris said:

    There are way more rich idiots betting than one would think. A lot of them bet online so I don;t know if several 6 digit bets move the line if it's done on fan duel or draft kings.
    Know someone who is a book... He said some idiot called him and bet $30k on Alabama money line. They were favored -13 over Auburn at the time.

    $30k on the moneyline was -1600 odds. Total payout was $1875. Risk $30k to win $1875 and it took a 4th&31 to do it. He should have live bet $100 late in 4th Qtr when Bama had less that 1% to win he would have got a way better payout.

    There are thousands and thousands of fucktards out there who bet like "sharps" - not sure if those dipshits move the line tho.

    CSB

    I get your point, but using an example of somebody who won their bet isn't a good example.
  • UW_Doog_BotUW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 15,828 Swaye's Wigwam

    Sources said:

    bisonduck said:

    Retardation gif

    Be more like @Sources. He just spams my poasts with NYBE, Fuck offs, Bury Post, and Flag.


    Fucking gold

  • KaepskneeKaepsknee Member Posts: 14,885

    LaZoris said:

    There are way more rich idiots betting than one would think. A lot of them bet online so I don;t know if several 6 digit bets move the line if it's done on fan duel or draft kings.
    Know someone who is a book... He said some idiot called him and bet $30k on Alabama money line. They were favored -13 over Auburn at the time.

    $30k on the moneyline was -1600 odds. Total payout was $1875. Risk $30k to win $1875 and it took a 4th&31 to do it. He should have live bet $100 late in 4th Qtr when Bama had less that 1% to win he would have got a way better payout.

    There are thousands and thousands of fucktards out there who bet like "sharps" - not sure if those dipshits move the line tho.

    CSB

    I get your point, but using an example of somebody who won their bet isn't a good example.
    U gnu hear?
  • EwaDawgEwaDawg Member Posts: 4,214

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    I think you and I can disagree on the meaning of the term "sharps". NTTIATWWT
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 26,200 Swaye's Wigwam

    HFNY said:

    Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    "Sharp" superiority guy
  • FireCohenFireCohen Member Posts: 21,823

    AOG said:

    I don't get the point of this "championship" since we? already beat the Dukx and finished first. Money? Staff, true?

    Utah didn’t complain when they had to beat Oregon twice two years ago, and then USC twice last year. Quit being and bitch a grow a pair. Win and you’re in. Don’t and you can’t finish. It is what it is. This isn’t 2011 anymore.
    Yup, just need to prove it on the field
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