P12 Championship line going up
Comments
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Typical duck. Not #battletestedbisonduck said:
Be more like @Sources. He just spams my poasts with NYBE, Fuck offs, Bury Post, and Flag.RaceBannon said:Retardation gif
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bisonduck said:
Be more like @Sources. He just spams my poasts with NYBE, Fuck offs, Bury Post, and Flag.RaceBannon said:Retardation gif
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Case closed.Sources said:
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Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.HFNY said:
It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.greenblood said:Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.
But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp"). -
I've only been able to arbitrage bet once and it was an amazing feeling.greenblood said:
Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.HFNY said:
It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.greenblood said:Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.
But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
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Over and under is always 5DucksFC said:
I already put $100 down on three amputationsIslandDawg said:Is there an over/under on how many times the ducks will soccer flop to stop the clock?
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Fucking goldSources said:bisonduck said:
Be more like @Sources. He just spams my poasts with NYBE, Fuck offs, Bury Post, and Flag.RaceBannon said:Retardation gif
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That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.greenblood said:
Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.HFNY said:
It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.greenblood said:Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.
But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp"). -
I don't get the point of this "championship" since we? already beat the Dukx and finished first. Money? Staff, true?
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Do tell?bisonduck said:
That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.greenblood said:
Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.HFNY said:
It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.greenblood said:Bet volume has been trending Washington while total dollars is trending Oregon. It’s the public picking Washington and sharps picking Oregon. Both have been known to be wrong in big ways, just providing the data trend. It’s about a 63-37 split in bet volume favoring Washington and the points.
But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
