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P12 Championship line going up

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Comments

  • Member Posts: 6,766
    bisonduck said:

    Be more like @Sources. He just spams my poasts with NYBE, Fuck offs, Bury Post, and Flag.
    Typical duck. Not #battletested
  • Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 32,783 Founders Club
    Sources said:


    .

    Case closed.
  • Member Posts: 14,566
    edited November 2023
    HFNY said:

    It's my understanding there would be no math on this bored.

    But I also thought that the sharps tend to come in the day before a game once the line has settled and they see an arbitrage opportunity (I concede that I am certainly not a "sharp").
    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
  • Member Posts: 776

    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    I've only been able to arbitrage bet once and it was an amazing feeling.

  • Member Posts: 21,823
    DucksFC said:

    I already put $100 down on three amputations
    Over and under is always 5
  • Member Posts: 715

    Sharps do a lot of things. It was large sum bets that originally drove the spread from -7.5 to -9.5. Large bets are assumed as sharps even though there are a lot of rich idiots who just get the itch and don’t have much knowledge. But general the larger the bet, the more likely it’s a sharp. They make big bets when they see an advantage. What I think will happen is they already got the Ducks at -7.5. I have a feeling they are hoping this gets bet to -10.5, then they go hard on Washington. That creates the arbitrage that if Oregon wins by between 8-10 points, the bettor wins on both tickets.
    That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.
  • Member Posts: 2,843
    I don't get the point of this "championship" since we? already beat the Dukx and finished first. Money? Staff, true?
  • Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 1,785 Swaye's Wigwam
    bisonduck said:

    That’s what i heard on a podcast as well. Expect this to breach 10 and swing the other way. If it doesn’t get bet down, there’s something going on like an injury or something of that nature.
    Do tell?

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