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Uh-oh!!! California is begging Trump for help.

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  • USMChawkUSMChawk Member Posts: 1,800
    2001400ex said:

    Is Calpers only a 10 year plan now? Do you really think they only invest in US stock market equities? The financial statements are online, you can see everything and they're assumptions.

    If you are only getting 3% return on your investments over time, good luck in retirement. You are barely keeping pace with inflation.
    Is it only a one year plan? You’re basing your objection to a 3% discount rate because of a 10% return in one year. Do you believe there are no negative years? Do you not think there are constraints to the investment types a pension plan can participate in? I bet all the high risk, high reward stocks are forbidden and, conversely, I bet there’s a minimum amount of low risk, low yield bonds that are mandated. Al of this will lower the rate of return below any index rate of return.
  • GreenRiverGatorzGreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,165
    2001400ex said:

    The $1 trillion is a lie. That's using a 3% rate rather than a better rate on their investments.

    https://www.pensiontracker.org/

    The use of this discount rate here is intended, as most financial economists agree, to more closely represent market realities and system liabilities.


    That's from your own link about the market basis. So if the experts agree that a 3% rate is appropriate for the pension's investments, on what basis do you disagree with them? I would wager that they know more about their investment holdings and expected returns than you do.
  • BendintheriverBendintheriver Member Posts: 6,674 Standard Supporter


    The use of this discount rate here is intended, as most financial economists agree, to more closely represent market realities and system liabilities.


    That's from your own link about the market basis. So if the experts agree that a 3% rate is appropriate for the pension's investments, on what basis do you disagree with them? I would wager that they know more about their investment holdings and expected returns than you do.
    Whoever this hondo guy is, he is a gigantic idiot. He is trying to argue against the experts and he clearly does not understand investments over time.
  • CirrhosisDawgCirrhosisDawg Member Posts: 6,390

    Whoever this hondo guy is, he is a gigantic idiot. He is trying to argue against the experts and he clearly does not understand investments over time.
    Three percent is not the actuarial rate of return. Jumping and up and down like a hysterical lunatic doesn’t make your asinine “analysis” true. Maybe you can post additional op-Eds from the OC register or Dan Walters to make yourself feel better?
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457


    The use of this discount rate here is intended, as most financial economists agree, to more closely represent market realities and system liabilities.


    That's from your own link about the market basis. So if the experts agree that a 3% rate is appropriate for the pension's investments, on what basis do you disagree with them? I would wager that they know more about their investment holdings and expected returns than you do.
    GASB standards and the historical return on the plan make me think the 3% rate is wrong. There's very technical calculations required by the accounting standards, that are prepared by knowledge people at the TPA and audited by CPAs. What you read was a link that was in a link provided by Mike that I'm mocking. Cause his news source, and what you quote, are shit.
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457
    USMChawk said:

    Is it only a one year plan? You’re basing your objection to a 3% discount rate because of a 10% return in one year. Do you believe there are no negative years? Do you not think there are constraints to the investment types a pension plan can participate in? I bet all the high risk, high reward stocks are forbidden and, conversely, I bet there’s a minimum amount of low risk, low yield bonds that are mandated. Al of this will lower the rate of return below any index rate of return.
    Go to page 60. You are wrong when it comes to their investments.

    https://www.calpers.ca.gov/docs/forms-publications/cafr-2018.pdf
  • USMChawkUSMChawk Member Posts: 1,800
    edited July 2019
    2001400ex said:

    GASB standards and the historical return on the plan make me think the 3% rate is wrong. There's very technical calculations required by the accounting standards, that are prepared by knowledge people at the TPA and audited by CPAs. What you read was a link that was in a link provided by Mike that I'm mocking. Cause his news source, and what you quote, are shit.
    They’ve gone into the red using a 7% investment return assumption. From this article https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/02/13/borenstein-calpers-piling-more-pension-debt-on-california-taxpayers/

    As for the 7 percent investment assumption, many like to cherry-pick the pension system’s past years of strong performance returns to justify the forecast.

    But, Yu Ben Meng, CalPERS newly appointed chief investment officer, told his board last month that over the past 10 years and past 20 years, the system had fallen short of the 7 percent mark. Moreover, he said, market conditions make hitting that target in the future even more challenging.

    Reaching that target requires making riskier investments, with greater upside potential and, of course, greater downside peril. It’s risk that an already underfunded pension system cannot afford to take.


    And that ‘link within a link’ that you mock is a pension tracker run by the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. I’m sure you’re much smarter and more informed than them.
  • CirrhosisDawgCirrhosisDawg Member Posts: 6,390
    USMChawk said:

    They’ve gone into the red using a 7% investment return assumption. From this article https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/02/13/borenstein-calpers-piling-more-pension-debt-on-california-taxpayers/

    As for the 7 percent investment assumption, many like to cherry-pick the pension system’s past years of strong performance returns to justify the forecast.

    But, Yu Ben Meng, CalPERS newly appointed chief investment officer, told his board last month that over the past 10 years and past 20 years, the system had fallen short of the 7 percent mark. Moreover, he said, market conditions make hitting that target in the future even more challenging.

    Reaching that target requires making riskier investments, with greater upside potential and, of course, greater downside peril. It’s risk that an already underfunded pension system cannot afford to take.


    And that ‘link within a link’ that you mock is a pension tracker run by the Stanford Institute for
    Economic Policy Research. I’m sure you’re much smarter and more informed than them.
    JFC. Is there one single trumptard in the universe that can actually read an audited financial statement? Thanks for contributing another opinion piece to the trash heap of painstaking “analysis” from the other retards that have already posted.
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457
    USMChawk said:

    They’ve gone into the red using a 7% investment return assumption. From this article https://www.mercurynews.com/2019/02/13/borenstein-calpers-piling-more-pension-debt-on-california-taxpayers/

    As for the 7 percent investment assumption, many like to cherry-pick the pension system’s past years of strong performance returns to justify the forecast.

    But, Yu Ben Meng, CalPERS newly appointed chief investment officer, told his board last month that over the past 10 years and past 20 years, the system had fallen short of the 7 percent mark. Moreover, he said, market conditions make hitting that target in the future even more challenging.

    Reaching that target requires making riskier investments, with greater upside potential and, of course, greater downside peril. It’s risk that an already underfunded pension system cannot afford to take.


    And that ‘link within a link’ that you mock is a pension tracker run by the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. I’m sure you’re much smarter and more informed than them.
    Don't believe me. Read the actual audited financial statements. Audited by KPMG.
  • UW_Doog_BotUW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 17,363 Swaye's Wigwam

    The California govt were geniuses for locating it on the majority of the west coast.

    California does well in spite of those fuckers not because of them





    THIS

    They were even so forward thinking that they capitalized on 3/5 Major Pacific ports. Genius!
  • MikeDamoneMikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    2001400ex said:

    Don't believe me. Read the actual audited financial statements. Audited by KPMG.
    You haven’t read them
  • BendintheriverBendintheriver Member Posts: 6,674 Standard Supporter
    2001400ex said:

    Don't believe me. Read the actual audited financial statements. Audited by KPMG.
    The cities of San Bernardino, Stockton and Vallejo (with San Diego not far behind) have all gone bankrupt and cited the costs of funding CALPERS as the #1 culprit. But these idiots Hondo and cirrhosis like to ignore the facts.

    Like I said, its like arguing with 3 year olds.
  • CirrhosisDawgCirrhosisDawg Member Posts: 6,390

    The cities of San Bernardino, Stockton and Vallejo (with San Diego not far behind) have all gone bankrupt and cited the costs of funding CALPERS as the #1 culprit. But these idiots Hondo and cirrhosis like to ignore the facts.

    Like I said, its like arguing with 3 year olds.
    You don’t have a clue what you’re talking about. Keep going with this though. It’s good for your brand
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457

    You haven’t read them

    You haven’t read them
    I only linked to the audited financials and pointed to the page where they list their investment by risk level. Did you not read the thread?
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457
    2001400ex said:

    Go to page 60. You are wrong when it comes to their investments.

    https://www.calpers.ca.gov/docs/forms-publications/cafr-2018.pdf
    Here you go Mike.
  • TurdBomberTurdBomber Member Posts: 19,999 Standard Supporter
    2001400ex said:

    Here you go Mike.
    What's that sucking sound?
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457

    What's that sucking sound?
    The sound of you slobbering on every conservatives balls.
  • MikeDamoneMikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    2001400ex said:

    Here you go Mike.
    My internet is spotty today
  • 2001400ex2001400ex Member Posts: 29,457

    My internet is spotty today
    That's cool.
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