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Election Poll - Call It

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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,927 Founders Club
    Trump in a tight one because all the poles are bullshit.
    I don't actually think polls are bullshit as much as I think pollsters are

    2020 has shown us how eager the media is to manipulate the people at the beck and call of their master @dnc

  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,927 Founders Club
    Trump in a tight one because all the poles are bullshit.

    Relevant to the pole. Worth the read...https://spectator.org/polls-trump-biden/

    2. American culture is trending Trump’s way, not Biden’s.
    You’re aware there has been a massive run on guns and ammunition this year, right? Do you think the people buying those guns are Biden voters? Biden has been one of the foremost gun-grabbers in American politics over the past half century. Why would people rush out to buy guns Biden wants to take away, and then vote for Biden to take them?

    Then there is the massive departure of America’s urban middle class to the suburbs and the exurbs. Yes, there is the danger that those transplants, many of whom are vacating the deep blue states for the purple and red ones, might bring their politics with them.

    But that isn’t, generally speaking, what has happened. Most expatriate Californians in Texas, for example, are Republicans. Some middle-class voters from places like New York might have been Democrats in the Big Apple simply because Republicans couldn’t win where they lived, but move them to Orlando and they might turn out to be set free politically. Look at voter registration in Florida so far this year; it’s a blowout for the GOP. More on that below.
  • huskyhooligan
    huskyhooligan Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,041 Swaye's Wigwam
    The idiot Injun is stupid and the correct answer is:
    Honest take is Biden in a big win.

    Unless rural American and right wing voters in cities turn out in force for Trump (see Pennsyltucky, West West Virginia aka Ohio, Cow Farmers in Wisconsin, swamp people in Florida), I think Harris walks to the win pretty easily.
  • Houhusky
    Houhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    Biden in a landslide. Big orange dummy finally bested by geriatric creeper.

    Biden wins a tight EC victory. Call it 278- 260. Wins national popular vote by 3 or 4 points.


    Seems like PA, MI, and NC will spell out what is going to happen early that night.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,832 Founders Club
    Biden, but much closer than the poles predicted because polesters are charlatans.

    Houhusky said:

    Biden wins a tight EC victory. Call it 278- 260. Wins national popular vote by 3 or 4 points.


    Seems like PA, MI, and NC will spell out what is going to happen early that night.
    If this drags out it will be ugly

    For America we need a winner by morning

    Not sure we will though
    I'm not buying into the degree of vote by mail fraud that many in the Tug expect. I do, however, think the Dems have done America a disservice to America with their insistence on it. We don't want to have a scenario where Trump is clinging to a narrow EC lead on election night and then have it overturned in the coming days in week by mail in ballots. It will be perceived as illegitimate by many.