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Mariota is a 57% passer & DAT is probably out
They've gashed teams for big plays through the air but this guy is not a pure passer. Our pass D is #3 in the nation against the #14 SOS (Sagarin). Peters is on guys like stink on shit and Parker is excellent. Ducre and Shamburger are two huge surprises. Last year Mariota was only 21-37 against Stanford. Thats why they lost. Mariota was only 62% against UW last year. Certainly, these will be the best WRs we've faced but its a matchup we shouldnt lose.
I don't think DAT plays. Sprained ankle, not going to be ready in only two weeks. More like 4-6. And Byron Marshall is no James or Barner. The key will be keeping Mariota from killing us on the ground. We have the secondary to neutralize their passing game and our LB's have to be disciplined and tackle well in the open-field. I'd hit Mariota early and often...even if we get a few PF penalties.
Oregon gave up 300 yards last week in the first half to Colorado (and 200 to Virginia) and doesn't have Dion Jordan, Kiko Alonso and Michael Clay anymore...three experienced and big-time players on defense. Sankey will go for over 100. Kasen and ASJ need to step up and play like All-Americans.
Not downgrading how good Oregon is, just think the opportunity for UW is ripe due to some slight overlooked things. Do we get a Seahawk-esque crowd? Are we mentally tough enough to come back and play a solid four quarters? These things are key. If Sark doesn't coach us out of a win I like our chances. Each year Sark has had 1 upset victory and its come in the first half of the season. UW is 15-2 in last 17 at home. Over the last 6 games at home, UW is +14ppg avg against the spread. Over the last three games is +20ppg. (Ex-Idaho St).
Fuck Ted fucking stupid Miller for saying its a win if we keep it close.
This is the definition of abundance gentlemen. Win this game AND it increases chances of Sark to USC.
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Oregon will win.
TSIO
Bonus note: The Ducks only put up 755 yards without DAT last week
http://scores.espn.go.com/ncf/boxscore?gameId=332780038
http://mbd.scout.com/mb.aspx?s=128&f=1423&t=12105280
Seen leaving practice doesn't mean anything. Of course he has to practice to see how it is.
Even if DAT plays, odds of him being 100% are very low.
It's like like they have ever owned our stadium like Nebraska in 2010 or Ohio State in 2007.
Oregon is the one team on our schedule who is just legitimately better. They may be the best team in the country.
Stanford was the game for the taking. We were the better team.
But let's not pretend UW should win this week.
I think the real issue is the one you touched on - Thomas. Fucker is a game changer. If he plays, no way he's 100%, and guys like that don't do what they do at 85%. It's hard to cut as hard as he does while going Mach 5 on a bum ankle. That's the first thing that a bum ankle takes away from you.
That will matter at some point in the game. Let's hope it's at a critical point.
I hope DAT is hampered by it, but he may be just fine. Even at 80% he is still an incredible player. I do agree about Marshall and Tyner not being anywhere close to as good as James and Barner. I'm not really worried about any RB but DAT. That said, even without Thomas, they have some dangerous playmakers. Mariota may be only hitting 57% of his passes, but he is averaging 10.13 yards per attempt, which is sensational. He also has not thrown an INT, and he is a fast motherfucker who can break a long run at any time. He's a hell of a player, and by far, the best QB we have faced so far this year.
Josh Huff and Bralon Addison are two great playmakers at WR. Special teams is another concern because Oregon has a couple of guys who are big time returners and last week showed that we are still prone to giving up big returns.
I know it is cliché, but there is no way we beat these guys unless we force multiple turnovers. I think the crowd will play a factor and help keep us in the game, but at this point, it is a stretch to say we will beat Oregon. I'm fucking pumped for the game though.
You made the assumption we kick it to the goal line.
And Thomas, at 80%, would be a COMPLETELY different player. He earns his bacon by cutting hard and often at full speed - something most people can't do. When you roll your ankle, you are vulnerable in precisely the last place you can afford to be vulnerable -the outside of your ankle.
I have no idea how bad the injury is - only he knows that. But if he's less than 100%, it will show big time. I remember when Santana Moss rolled his ankle the week before Miami came here to play UW, and he was a shell of himself. Same type of player - small, very fast and a hard cutter.
I WANNA DIP MY BALLS IN IT!!!!