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Mariners Baby, stretch run edition

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  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    Julio is a different breed. He’s on of those humans you see in movies that are artificially made in a test tube.

    I was just watching a few highlight clips and kind of chuckled about the debates over his spot in the batting order. People have been fooled by the HR Derby and the occasional 115mph bomb. I've even been fooled by his size and the assumption that he's too big to be a center fielder long term.

    Julio is a leadoff hitter and table setter all the way. Just watching him run and ignoring how he towers over most other players one could easily be fooled into thinking he's a 5'10", pure base running and defensive specialist. He's a lot better at slapping the ball around and occasionally driving a mistake than he is at swinging for the big fly. I think his peak will still be 30 homers or so but with a .300+ batting average, a ton of doubles, and 30-40 steals. The only thing he doesn't have in his game as a leadoff guy is a high walk rate and real high on base %, but I see those both improving.
    He hits the ball much harder than a slap hitter. That's why people forecast all the power. It's there he just has to lift the ball a little more to get to it.

    He'll hit 40 in a season at least once by the time he's 25.
    He's getting a ton of slap hits. That's what drove the 17 hit streak. Three infield singles and multiple jam shots into right field. Yes, he can crush the ball but he's best at hitting for average over power.

    I don't think we'll ever see 40 homers.
    Let's take a look at his exit velocities in the streak (if nothing is noted it's a normal single)

    Wednesday (4-6)

    112.2 (double)
    100.7
    93.4 (flyout)
    95.4
    K
    89.6 (If hit)

    Thursday (5-5)

    89.4 (If hit)
    95.6
    96
    110.5 (double)
    110.5 (HR)

    Friday (4-5)

    97.6
    100.7 (HR)
    76.9
    72.1 (reached on error)
    83.1 (If hit)

    Saturday

    106.1
    K
    109.2
    95.3
    93.5
    K

    That's a dude who is mostly hitting the snot out of the ball who has the wheels to still beat it out when he doesn't. Not a guy who is, or should, go up looking to slap the ball.

    He'll hit 40. Maybe even 50. Get your screenshots.
    So he crushed 5/17 of his hits in that hot streak and has two more a hair over 100mph. The rest were slaps.
    You're counting balls hit over 100 mph as slaps? Seriously?

    Well in that case sure, he's a slap hitter.
  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,819 Swaye's Wigwam
    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    Julio is a different breed. He’s on of those humans you see in movies that are artificially made in a test tube.

    I was just watching a few highlight clips and kind of chuckled about the debates over his spot in the batting order. People have been fooled by the HR Derby and the occasional 115mph bomb. I've even been fooled by his size and the assumption that he's too big to be a center fielder long term.

    Julio is a leadoff hitter and table setter all the way. Just watching him run and ignoring how he towers over most other players one could easily be fooled into thinking he's a 5'10", pure base running and defensive specialist. He's a lot better at slapping the ball around and occasionally driving a mistake than he is at swinging for the big fly. I think his peak will still be 30 homers or so but with a .300+ batting average, a ton of doubles, and 30-40 steals. The only thing he doesn't have in his game as a leadoff guy is a high walk rate and real high on base %, but I see those both improving.
    He hits the ball much harder than a slap hitter. That's why people forecast all the power. It's there he just has to lift the ball a little more to get to it.

    He'll hit 40 in a season at least once by the time he's 25.
    He's getting a ton of slap hits. That's what drove the 17 hit streak. Three infield singles and multiple jam shots into right field. Yes, he can crush the ball but he's best at hitting for average over power.

    I don't think we'll ever see 40 homers.
    Let's take a look at his exit velocities in the streak (if nothing is noted it's a normal single)

    Wednesday (4-6)

    112.2 (double)
    100.7
    93.4 (flyout)
    95.4
    K
    89.6 (If hit)

    Thursday (5-5)

    89.4 (If hit)
    95.6
    96
    110.5 (double)
    110.5 (HR)

    Friday (4-5)

    97.6
    100.7 (HR)
    76.9
    72.1 (reached on error)
    83.1 (If hit)

    Saturday

    106.1
    K
    109.2
    95.3
    93.5
    K

    That's a dude who is mostly hitting the snot out of the ball who has the wheels to still beat it out when he doesn't. Not a guy who is, or should, go up looking to slap the ball.

    He'll hit 40. Maybe even 50. Get your screenshots.
    So he crushed 5/17 of his hits in that hot streak and has two more a hair over 100mph. The rest were slaps.
    You're counting balls hit over 100 mph as slaps? Seriously?

    Well in that case sure, he's a slap hitter.
    Count em. 5 well over 100. Two more just over 100. Exactly as I said.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    Julio is a different breed. He’s on of those humans you see in movies that are artificially made in a test tube.

    I was just watching a few highlight clips and kind of chuckled about the debates over his spot in the batting order. People have been fooled by the HR Derby and the occasional 115mph bomb. I've even been fooled by his size and the assumption that he's too big to be a center fielder long term.

    Julio is a leadoff hitter and table setter all the way. Just watching him run and ignoring how he towers over most other players one could easily be fooled into thinking he's a 5'10", pure base running and defensive specialist. He's a lot better at slapping the ball around and occasionally driving a mistake than he is at swinging for the big fly. I think his peak will still be 30 homers or so but with a .300+ batting average, a ton of doubles, and 30-40 steals. The only thing he doesn't have in his game as a leadoff guy is a high walk rate and real high on base %, but I see those both improving.
    He hits the ball much harder than a slap hitter. That's why people forecast all the power. It's there he just has to lift the ball a little more to get to it.

    He'll hit 40 in a season at least once by the time he's 25.
    He's getting a ton of slap hits. That's what drove the 17 hit streak. Three infield singles and multiple jam shots into right field. Yes, he can crush the ball but he's best at hitting for average over power.

    I don't think we'll ever see 40 homers.
    Let's take a look at his exit velocities in the streak (if nothing is noted it's a normal single)

    Wednesday (4-6)

    112.2 (double)
    100.7
    93.4 (flyout)
    95.4
    K
    89.6 (If hit)

    Thursday (5-5)

    89.4 (If hit)
    95.6
    96
    110.5 (double)
    110.5 (HR)

    Friday (4-5)

    97.6
    100.7 (HR)
    76.9
    72.1 (reached on error)
    83.1 (If hit)

    Saturday

    106.1
    K
    109.2
    95.3
    93.5
    K

    That's a dude who is mostly hitting the snot out of the ball who has the wheels to still beat it out when he doesn't. Not a guy who is, or should, go up looking to slap the ball.

    He'll hit 40. Maybe even 50. Get your screenshots.
    So he crushed 5/17 of his hits in that hot streak and has two more a hair over 100mph. The rest were slaps.
    You're counting balls hit over 100 mph as slaps? Seriously?

    Well in that case sure, he's a slap hitter.
    Count em. 5 well over 100. Two more just over 100. Exactly as I said.
    Anything over 100 is crushed. 7/17.

    But that doesn't make the rest of them slaps. Anything over 95 is defined as "hard hit" (I didn't make the labels so don't take it up with me).

    Thats's 12/17 "hard hit" balls and 5 slaps (if you count the 93s as slaps, which seems generous).

    He wasn't out there slapping the ball around.
  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,819 Swaye's Wigwam
    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    Julio is a different breed. He’s on of those humans you see in movies that are artificially made in a test tube.

    I was just watching a few highlight clips and kind of chuckled about the debates over his spot in the batting order. People have been fooled by the HR Derby and the occasional 115mph bomb. I've even been fooled by his size and the assumption that he's too big to be a center fielder long term.

    Julio is a leadoff hitter and table setter all the way. Just watching him run and ignoring how he towers over most other players one could easily be fooled into thinking he's a 5'10", pure base running and defensive specialist. He's a lot better at slapping the ball around and occasionally driving a mistake than he is at swinging for the big fly. I think his peak will still be 30 homers or so but with a .300+ batting average, a ton of doubles, and 30-40 steals. The only thing he doesn't have in his game as a leadoff guy is a high walk rate and real high on base %, but I see those both improving.
    He hits the ball much harder than a slap hitter. That's why people forecast all the power. It's there he just has to lift the ball a little more to get to it.

    He'll hit 40 in a season at least once by the time he's 25.
    He's getting a ton of slap hits. That's what drove the 17 hit streak. Three infield singles and multiple jam shots into right field. Yes, he can crush the ball but he's best at hitting for average over power.

    I don't think we'll ever see 40 homers.
    Let's take a look at his exit velocities in the streak (if nothing is noted it's a normal single)

    Wednesday (4-6)

    112.2 (double)
    100.7
    93.4 (flyout)
    95.4
    K
    89.6 (If hit)

    Thursday (5-5)

    89.4 (If hit)
    95.6
    96
    110.5 (double)
    110.5 (HR)

    Friday (4-5)

    97.6
    100.7 (HR)
    76.9
    72.1 (reached on error)
    83.1 (If hit)

    Saturday

    106.1
    K
    109.2
    95.3
    93.5
    K

    That's a dude who is mostly hitting the snot out of the ball who has the wheels to still beat it out when he doesn't. Not a guy who is, or should, go up looking to slap the ball.

    He'll hit 40. Maybe even 50. Get your screenshots.
    So he crushed 5/17 of his hits in that hot streak and has two more a hair over 100mph. The rest were slaps.
    You're counting balls hit over 100 mph as slaps? Seriously?

    Well in that case sure, he's a slap hitter.
    Count em. 5 well over 100. Two more just over 100. Exactly as I said.
    Anything over 100 is crushed. 7/17.

    But that doesn't make the rest of them slaps. Anything over 95 is defined as "hard hit" (I didn't make the labels so don't take it up with me).

    Thats's 12/17 "hard hit" balls and 5 slaps (if you count the 93s as slaps, which seems generous).

    He wasn't out there slapping the ball around.
    Ok internet bully. We can argue semantics and opinions all day about what a hard hit ball is. Julio can crush it at 120mph. When he's taking jam shots and bouncing them past the second baseman or making the 3b go deep down the line and beating the throw, call it whatever you want.

    Again it's clear that you took umbrage with the use of the word slap. How about spray hitting? The point is he's not up there swinging from the heels most of the time, and I think he's at his best like that.

  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,819 Swaye's Wigwam
    On another note, what do all two of you who care think of them sending Swaggerty down and keeping Ford?
  • Fishpo31
    Fishpo31 Member Posts: 2,676
    chuck said:

    On another note, what do all two of you who care think of them sending Swaggerty down and keeping Ford?

    For me, with Murph and Kelenic out they need some pop at DH. It’s not ideal, it is sporadic, but I see the reasoning behind it.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    chuck said:

    On another note, what do all two of you who care think of them sending Swaggerty down and keeping Ford?

    Not a big Ford fan, I think they have enough lefties off the bench. But Haggerty isn't especially essential with Moore, Rojas and Caballero around either. I'd prefer Haggerty but I don't really hate it. I do wish Ford was starting less. I'd rather see Canzone and Marlowe get the ABs.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    Also you can't option Ford but you can Haggerty, wouldn't be surprised if that was the difference in the decision.
  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,819 Swaye's Wigwam
    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    On another note, what do all two of you who care think of them sending Swaggerty down and keeping Ford?

    Not a big Ford fan, I think they have enough lefties off the bench. But Haggerty isn't especially essential with Moore, Rojas and Caballero around either. I'd prefer Haggerty but I don't really hate it. I do wish Ford was starting less. I'd rather see Canzone and Marlowe get the ABs.
    Feel the same. I wish they had another righty outfielder or at least DH type. Even in this route tonight it struck me how few options they have from the right side. I guess Julio sitting contributed to that a bit too.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,855
    chuck said:

    dnc said:

    chuck said:

    On another note, what do all two of you who care think of them sending Swaggerty down and keeping Ford?

    Not a big Ford fan, I think they have enough lefties off the bench. But Haggerty isn't especially essential with Moore, Rojas and Caballero around either. I'd prefer Haggerty but I don't really hate it. I do wish Ford was starting less. I'd rather see Canzone and Marlowe get the ABs.
    Feel the same. I wish they had another righty outfielder or at least DH type. Even in this route tonight it struck me how few options they have from the right side. I guess Julio sitting contributed to that a bit too.
    Pollock bombing definitely left a hole for a lefty masher. Especially since Cal is so good against righties but pretty meh against southpaws.