Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.

Trump Confidence to Win Pole - 5 weeks out edition

YellowSnow
YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,319 Founders Club
What is your percentage of confidence in Trump's re-election as of today?

Trump Confidence to Win Pole - 5 weeks out edition 41 votes

81% or better
17% 7 votes
51% to 80%
26% 11 votes
25% to 50%
31% 13 votes
10% to 24%
19% 8 votes
Turn out the lights, the party is over (i.e., no chance in hell)
4% 2 votes
«1

Comments

  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,319 Founders Club
    LebamDawg said:

    I actually don't have a clue what will happen other than total destruction of major cities.

    My new neighborhood because it's full of CA, Portland and Seattle ex-pats seems to be pretty Biden / Harris yard sign heavy. Cross the river and it starts to feel more MAGA. Still if Trump pulls it off, I don't think my neighbors will try to burn things down.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 114,112 Founders Club
    Anecdotally I see zero Biden signs or bumper stickers and I've been everywhere man. Traveling around SO Cal the last couple of days scraping up some work that we can lose when Biden shuts down the country again.

    Now, maybe Biden voters are scared to show support but Hillary was massively represented in 16

    See Trump flags and big Trump signs along the freeway. Biden wins California. Trump win America

    https://foxnews.com/media/abc-martha-raddatz-enthusiasm-joe-biden

    Interesting article on the enthusiasm gap from an ABC writer who left her basement to find out

    The Vid isn't much of an issue.
  • Houhusky
    Houhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    Trump could preform perfectly and he wouldn't have a chance.

    The last time around they were illegally spying on his campaign and they had FBI agents trying to get their dicks wet from sub 6s creating insurance plans and no one thought Trump was actually a threat to win.

    The media is more consolidated against him, the population more radicalized, and the left/DNC is no longer ruled by the iron fist of the Clinton but content to unite behind a Manchurian candidate in Biden and then hash it out between themselves after the election.

  • Bob_C
    Bob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,729 Founders Club
    edited September 2020

    Anecdotally I see zero Biden signs or bumper stickers and I've been everywhere man. Traveling around SO Cal the last couple of days scraping up some work that we can lose when Biden shuts down the country again.

    Now, maybe Biden voters are scared to show support but Hillary was massively represented in 16

    See Trump flags and big Trump signs along the freeway. Biden wins California. Trump win America

    https://foxnews.com/media/abc-martha-raddatz-enthusiasm-joe-biden

    Interesting article on the enthusiasm gap from an ABC writer who left her basement to find out

    The Vid isn't much of an issue.

    Far more Bernie out there than Biden that I see.

    Frankly in my Issaquah neighborhood, I’ve seen more Culp out there than any of the presidentials. There was a Trump sign in my neighbors yard last week that lasted a whole 24 hours.
  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 25,679 Standard Supporter
    Trump wins. A lot of people think he's a vile narcissist but the alternative of Joe and da ho plus SJW re education brainwashing is worse.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,319 Founders Club

    Anecdotally I see zero Biden signs or bumper stickers and I've been everywhere man. Traveling around SO Cal the last couple of days scraping up some work that we can lose when Biden shuts down the country again.

    Now, maybe Biden voters are scared to show support but Hillary was massively represented in 16

    See Trump flags and big Trump signs along the freeway. Biden wins California. Trump win America

    https://foxnews.com/media/abc-martha-raddatz-enthusiasm-joe-biden

    Interesting article on the enthusiasm gap from an ABC writer who left her basement to find out

    The Vid isn't much of an issue.

    I think Hillary only won Riverside County by 5%. Still a lotta MAGA there. He actually won Deschutes County by 3 points even though it doesn't feel that way in our hood.
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,068
    Still not convinced last night's gaffe disappears, but still think Biden brings too much nothing to lose to him. If he does, it will be epically embarrassing for everyone.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 114,112 Founders Club

    It's hard to know. It seems like Biden rolls to victory, but the silent majority is still out there. People with money vote republican and they also are less likely to engage in loud Twitter wars.

    People I know irl who don't live on social media think Trump wins

    They want him to so its meaningless but still.

    People who want him who hang on Twitter and the like think he loses

    The debate thread was like a Huskie game thread
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,477 Founders Club
    These ranges are a little too broad.

    I really think it's a coin-flip, edge Trump. 52-55%
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter

    Trump wins. A lot of people think he's a vile narcissist but the alternative of Joe and da ho plus SJW re education brainwashing is worse.

    Speaking of Bernie.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 114,112 Founders Club

    Trump wins. A lot of people think he's a vile narcissist but the alternative of Joe and da ho plus SJW re education brainwashing is worse.

    Speaking of Bernie.
    He already got canceled but let's do it again
  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,126 Standard Supporter

    Trump wins. A lot of people think he's a vile narcissist but the alternative of Joe and da ho plus SJW re education brainwashing is worse.

    Speaking of Bernie.
    There are multiple dicks Bernies.

  • TurdBomber
    TurdBomber Member Posts: 20,041 Standard Supporter

    LebamDawg said:

    I actually don't have a clue what will happen other than total destruction of major cities.

    My new neighborhood because it's full of CA, Portland and Seattle ex-pats seems to be pretty Biden / Harris yard sign heavy. Cross the river and it starts to feel more MAGA. Still if Trump pulls it off, I don't think my neighbors will try to burn things down.
    Gated community with no border fence, though. Amiright?

    Perfect metaphor for many of your neighbors.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,319 Founders Club

    It's hard to know. It seems like Biden rolls to victory, but the silent majority is still out there. People with money vote republican and they also are less likely to engage in loud Twitter wars.

    People I know irl who don't live on social media think Trump wins

    They want him to so its meaningless but still.

    People who want him who hang on Twitter and the like think he loses

    The debate thread was like a Huskie game thread
    I'll admit I start to be a pole watcher towards the finish line. The challenge Trump faces at this point - unless things tighten somewhat over the next few weeks - is that the polls have to be in error by a wider margin than they were in 2016. Biden's average lead in WI is + 5.5. +5.2 in MI. And +5.7 in Michigan. He can sweep FL, OH and NC but still has to get one of those Blue Wall states that he last won by c-hairs. The math is daunting.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,319 Founders Club

    LebamDawg said:

    I actually don't have a clue what will happen other than total destruction of major cities.

    My new neighborhood because it's full of CA, Portland and Seattle ex-pats seems to be pretty Biden / Harris yard sign heavy. Cross the river and it starts to feel more MAGA. Still if Trump pulls it off, I don't think my neighbors will try to burn things down.
    Gated community with no border fence, though. Amiright?

    Perfect metaphor for many of your neighbors.
    I cannot confirm if there are gates or not. Narrows things down too much for @NSA_Dawg
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,068

    It's hard to know. It seems like Biden rolls to victory, but the silent majority is still out there. People with money vote republican and they also are less likely to engage in loud Twitter wars.

    People I know irl who don't live on social media think Trump wins

    They want him to so its meaningless but still.

    People who want him who hang on Twitter and the like think he loses

    The debate thread was like a Huskie game thread
    So, basically like three people maybe?
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 114,112 Founders Club

    It's hard to know. It seems like Biden rolls to victory, but the silent majority is still out there. People with money vote republican and they also are less likely to engage in loud Twitter wars.

    People I know irl who don't live on social media think Trump wins

    They want him to so its meaningless but still.

    People who want him who hang on Twitter and the like think he loses

    The debate thread was like a Huskie game thread
    So, basically like three people maybe?
    I know a lot of people in my bidness work
  • LebamDawg
    LebamDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,792 Swaye's Wigwam

    LebamDawg said:

    I actually don't have a clue what will happen other than total destruction of major cities.

    My new neighborhood because it's full of CA, Portland and Seattle ex-pats seems to be pretty Biden / Harris yard sign heavy. Cross the river and it starts to feel more MAGA. Still if Trump pulls it off, I don't think my neighbors will try to burn things down.
    major in relationship to population not major as in only town within a county
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,319 Founders Club
    LebamDawg said:

    LebamDawg said:

    I actually don't have a clue what will happen other than total destruction of major cities.

    My new neighborhood because it's full of CA, Portland and Seattle ex-pats seems to be pretty Biden / Harris yard sign heavy. Cross the river and it starts to feel more MAGA. Still if Trump pulls it off, I don't think my neighbors will try to burn things down.
    major in relationship to population not major as in only town within a county
    I know. That’s why I left. Fuck big city living in the age of the peaceful riot.
  • HoustonHusky
    HoustonHusky Member Posts: 6,000
    edited October 2020
    DNC currently working on their mail in ballots...they will keep printing them until they win.

    They are nuts, and in their frame-of-mind they think Orange Man is Hitler so cheating the election is the moral thing to do.

  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,186 Founders Club
    I have no idea who the fuck wins but this pole is chinvalid without a Janet reno option.
  • alumni94
    alumni94 Member Posts: 4,871

    Anecdotally I see zero Biden signs or bumper stickers and I've been everywhere man. Traveling around SO Cal the last couple of days scraping up some work that we can lose when Biden shuts down the country again.

    Now, maybe Biden voters are scared to show support but Hillary was massively represented in 16

    See Trump flags and big Trump signs along the freeway. Biden wins California. Trump win America

    https://foxnews.com/media/abc-martha-raddatz-enthusiasm-joe-biden

    Interesting article on the enthusiasm gap from an ABC writer who left her basement to find out

    The Vid isn't much of an issue.

    I don't think there is a lot of pro Biden people, hence no Biden signs. But if they made a "I have Trump" sign, there would be more of those. Now the question is, will those people vote?
  • TurdBomber
    TurdBomber Member Posts: 20,041 Standard Supporter

    DNC currently working on their mail in ballots...they will keep printing them until they win.

    They are nuts, and in their frame-of-mind they think Orange Man is Hitler so cheating the election is the moral thing to do.

    Fucking THIS.