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Massive and frequent testing is our only way out of this

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  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781

    The hospital system isn't and was never going to be overwhelmed.

    Whether or not that's true is a moot point. The Tug isn't going to be in charge of the pandemic response anytime soon.

    What is true is that most of the world is convinced that letting the disease run amok will overwhelm the hospital systems. You can argue about how stupid that is, but no government is going to choose door 1 of "let's go back to normal with no mitigating steps". So the only realistic way out of here is wide scale testing.
    “Most of the world” = politicians who panicked based on faulty computer models and then realized it was perfect opportunity to advance and agenda. See Gavin Newsom for details.
    Okay!

    I'm sure your debunking of the "computer models" is a fascinating read, but the fact remains that the world economy isn't going to open back up for business whether you, me, or even fucking Trump thinks it's safe to do so. That's not happening until confidence is restored, and right now testing looks like the fastest way to get that done.
    Debunking is easy. They've been wrong. Fascinated?
  • GreenRiverGatorz
    GreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,168

    The hospital system isn't and was never going to be overwhelmed.

    Whether or not that's true is a moot point. The Tug isn't going to be in charge of the pandemic response anytime soon.

    What is true is that most of the world is convinced that letting the disease run amok will overwhelm the hospital systems. You can argue about how stupid that is, but no government is going to choose door 1 of "let's go back to normal with no mitigating steps". So the only realistic way out of here is wide scale testing.
    “Most of the world” = politicians who panicked based on faulty computer models and then realized it was perfect opportunity to advance and agenda. See Gavin Newsom for details.
    Okay!

    I'm sure your debunking of the "computer models" is a fascinating read, but the fact remains that the world economy isn't going to open back up for business whether you, me, or even fucking Trump thinks it's safe to do so. That's not happening until confidence is restored, and right now testing looks like the fastest way to get that done.
    Debunking is easy. They've been wrong. Fascinated?
    Fascinated, captivated, all of it.
  • BayDawg
    BayDawg Member Posts: 1,623
    The point with testing is to see who has had it. 50 million people get the flu, 50,000 die and life goes on. We need the ANTIBODIES testing so we can eliminate the fear factor and prove that it isn't as deadly as it is being made out to be. If we can prove 25 million people have had it and only 75,000 people died it will go a long way to getting the country back to business as usual. But without that, (and I'm not saying its correct) many are going to be paralyzed with fear and this could drag on to the point of cratering the US as we know it.

    The one thing Trump said that I agree with is the cure cant be worse than the disease. It's true, but until it can be shown that the mortality rate is alot less than it appears as of now it's going to be alot more difficult to convince people. It doesn't matter who 're-opens' the economy, ultimately the American people will decide. My opinion is massive antibodies testing is how that can happen.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,741 Founders Club
    There is another option here besides mass testing, or continual rolling shutdowns.

    Let. People. Die. Get. On. With. Life.

    Herd immunity works er'y tim. Let's just blow the whistle and play some ball. Will people die? Yep. Get over it. Vaccine will be out soon. Even with vaccines flu kills 40K per year. Oh well. Nobody is hand wringing over that.
  • BayDawg
    BayDawg Member Posts: 1,623
    Swaye said:

    There is another option here besides mass testing, or continual rolling shutdowns.

    Let. People. Die. Get. On. With. Life.

    Herd immunity works er'y tim. Let's just blow the whistle and play some ball. Will people die? Yep. Get over it. Vaccine will be out soon. Even with vaccines flu kills 40K per year. Oh well. Nobody is hand wringing over that.

    If only 40,000 people die from this, you are 100% correct. But without a vaccine or mitigation the death number would probably be close to a million. People won't stomach that. Right or wrong, perception is reality.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,765 Founders Club
    I don'[t think the evidence is in that the VId is as bad as advertised, hence the shifting sands of time

    So far the evidence points to a massive over reaction that took on a life of its own and scared our soft fucking population to death

    Now undo it

    We've gone from a rational acceptance that loads of people die everyday from all sorts of shit to not one person can die if we re open.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,741 Founders Club
    BayDawg said:

    Swaye said:

    There is another option here besides mass testing, or continual rolling shutdowns.

    Let. People. Die. Get. On. With. Life.

    Herd immunity works er'y tim. Let's just blow the whistle and play some ball. Will people die? Yep. Get over it. Vaccine will be out soon. Even with vaccines flu kills 40K per year. Oh well. Nobody is hand wringing over that.

    If only 40,000 people die from this, you are 100% correct. But without a vaccine or mitigation the death number would probably be close to a million. People won't stomach that. Right or wrong, perception is reality.
    If a million would die then I agree, some type of targeted mitigation is required. The issue is, I am not convinced a million would die. I do not think we have accurate statistics to support that assertion.
  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,919
    edited April 2020
    BayDawg said:

    Swaye said:

    There is another option here besides mass testing, or continual rolling shutdowns.

    Let. People. Die. Get. On. With. Life.

    Herd immunity works er'y tim. Let's just blow the whistle and play some ball. Will people die? Yep. Get over it. Vaccine will be out soon. Even with vaccines flu kills 40K per year. Oh well. Nobody is hand wringing over that.

    If only 40,000 people die from this, you are 100% correct. But without a vaccine or mitigation the death number would probably be close to a million. People won't stomach that. Right or wrong, perception is reality.
    Hi there. Anywhere from 25K to 70K people die every year from the virus' that we already have vaccinations for.
    Coronabros make 2 major mistakes.

    They still consider epidemiologists, who have been guessing all the way through this, to be experts.

    And they think that we can somehow snap our fingers to think that even 2 months from now, our way of life will be remotely the same as it is now.

    People have the stomach for mass death once they get used to it.

    One only needs to look at the hundreds of thousands that die from cancer here in America. If people really wanted to DO SOMETHING!!! They would demand that tobacco products and all of the BS that is put in our food be BANNED. No warning. Gone.

    But they don't. Because that would involve too much effort. So we will continue to lose over a half million people to cancer each year and not do anything about it.

    But because the media and local Governments have told us that we are all going to die from corona, we need to repeal half of the bill of rights and destroy our way of life because we MAY lose what is lost during a bad flu season.

    And that's fucked up.
  • GreenRiverGatorz
    GreenRiverGatorz Member Posts: 10,168
    Swaye said:

    BayDawg said:

    Swaye said:

    There is another option here besides mass testing, or continual rolling shutdowns.

    Let. People. Die. Get. On. With. Life.

    Herd immunity works er'y tim. Let's just blow the whistle and play some ball. Will people die? Yep. Get over it. Vaccine will be out soon. Even with vaccines flu kills 40K per year. Oh well. Nobody is hand wringing over that.

    If only 40,000 people die from this, you are 100% correct. But without a vaccine or mitigation the death number would probably be close to a million. People won't stomach that. Right or wrong, perception is reality.
    If a million would die then I agree, some type of targeted mitigation is required. The issue is, I am not convinced a million would die. I do not think we have accurate statistics to support that assertion.
    The problem is that we don't have accurate statistics that give us any way of estimating what the unknown variable is - how many people would die if we let the virus run its course with no intervention?

    It could be small, it could be massive. Most people I see trying to guess fall neatly into one of the two camps based on their ideology. A coincidence I'm sure. Widespread testing gives us a much clearer answer and puts an end to this fucktarded partisan guessing game.