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Zoom Towns

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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,474 Founders Club
    In W Bellevue/Eastside the final straw will be kids not going back to schools. Nearly all the private schools announced today no in-person learning.

    Expect inventory levels to rise significantly over the next few weeks.
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    pawz said:

    In W Bellevue/Eastside the final straw will be kids not going back to schools. Nearly all the private schools announced today no in-person learning.

    Expect inventory levels to rise significantly over the next few weeks.

    Inventory of booze in people's liquor cabinets?
  • Doog_de_Jour
    Doog_de_Jour Member Posts: 8,041 Standard Supporter

    https://msn.com/en-us/news/us/40-million-americans-are-at-risk-of-eviction-without-a-stimulus-bill/ar-BB17GEPC?ocid=msedgntp

    Zoom this. I think its great that the 1% can now work from their oceanfront homes and not have to commute from their fabulously rich in town neighborhood. Might want to stock up on guns and ammo in case unwelcome guests show up

    The thousands of small businesses and the millions of people already out may not find comfort in this


    Sorry for being the man of the people but I am. We have the largest crisis in our history waiting for us when we? wake the fuck up from this dream

    Don’t disagree with you there Race. It won’t help most people.

    However, anything we can do to spread people and businesses out is a good thing.
  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,474 Founders Club
    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    YEP. This is absolutely what's happening. It's my day-to-day existence.

    Not sure how long the pent-up demand in Bellevue (to some degree Seattle) will last, but those than can are OUT.

    It's beyond important to be priced aggressively right now. Now is not the time to be greedy.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,102

    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    I apologize I don’t have the KOMO4 link at the ready, but I read the Facebooks and Microsofts of the world are starting to be open to letting their employees LEAVE! mega-expensive Silicon Valley and Seattle to work/live wherever they want. It makes total sense. (Though I’m curious if they’ll try to fuck them over salary wise by saying “oh, you don’t have a high cost of living anymore.”)
    They absolutely will

    If companies were smart they'd completely embrace this as a means of driving down labor costs as not only can they re-index compensation for people that live elsewhere, but as the costs in major cities drop, it will result in a lower indexing there as well.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,102

    https://msn.com/en-us/news/us/40-million-americans-are-at-risk-of-eviction-without-a-stimulus-bill/ar-BB17GEPC?ocid=msedgntp

    Zoom this. I think its great that the 1% can now work from their oceanfront homes and not have to commute from their fabulously rich in town neighborhood. Might want to stock up on guns and ammo in case unwelcome guests show up

    The thousands of small businesses and the millions of people already out may not find comfort in this


    Sorry for being the man of the people but I am. We have the largest crisis in our history waiting for us when we? wake the fuck up from this dream

    Don’t disagree with you there Race. It won’t help most people.

    However, anything we can do to spread people and businesses out is a good thing.
    Honestly, it's so much bigger than this from my perspective

    Going forward, what will actually be jobs that require people to be present? Food/Hospitality/Recreation? Essential services? Then what?

    We've found that we can largely exist having products shipped to our homes. Companies get to lessen their footprint. Etc Etc Etc

    I'm fascinated to see how companies reinvent themselves.
  • Blu82
    Blu82 Member Posts: 1,673
    Bloomberg is spot on as it relates to our neighborhood. Most homes here are 2nd or vacation homes and folks visiting for the summer have no intention of leaving this year.
    If you are a nanny or a retired teacher looking to do some tutoring you are a hot commodity right now. Also, our small town is looking forward to their financial shot in the arm this is going to provide.
    Private schools are swamped with applications.
  • Doog_de_Jour
    Doog_de_Jour Member Posts: 8,041 Standard Supporter
    Baseman said:

    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    I’m hearing more businesses are allowing employees to keep bottles in their office desk drawers. “It’s no big deal,” one with knowledge said “everybody does it.”
    My office has a fridge full of beer in the conference room.

    ‘Cause we’re all about transparency.
  • Swaye
    Swaye Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 41,739 Founders Club
    None of this helps me as a male hooker.
  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,513 Founders Club

    Tequilla said:

    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    I apologize I don’t have the KOMO4 link at the ready, but I read the Facebooks and Microsofts of the world are starting to be open to letting their employees LEAVE! mega-expensive Silicon Valley and Seattle to work/live wherever they want. It makes total sense. (Though I’m curious if they’ll try to fuck them over salary wise by saying “oh, you don’t have a high cost of living anymore.”)
    They absolutely will

    If companies were smart they'd completely embrace this as a means of driving down labor costs as not only can they re-index compensation for people that live elsewhere, but as the costs in major cities drop, it will result in a lower indexing there as well.
    Teq right, as labor demands lower prices salaries will reflect that. Actually a good thing long term for the US competitively but probably not for big US cities.

    The Renaissance of US small towns will accelerate from having a microbrewery and coffee roaster to having tech workers and distance workers etc.

    We are going to see urban decay and flight the same as before but at an accelerated pace. Sure doesn't seem like we learned anything politically from history as dem controlled cities are enacting the same self defeating policies.

    This *might be the cure for small and medium sized cities in the rust belt if they position themselves correctly.
    your last sentence is so intriguing
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,183 Founders Club

    Tequilla said:

    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    I apologize I don’t have the KOMO4 link at the ready, but I read the Facebooks and Microsofts of the world are starting to be open to letting their employees LEAVE! mega-expensive Silicon Valley and Seattle to work/live wherever they want. It makes total sense. (Though I’m curious if they’ll try to fuck them over salary wise by saying “oh, you don’t have a high cost of living anymore.”)
    They absolutely will

    If companies were smart they'd completely embrace this as a means of driving down labor costs as not only can they re-index compensation for people that live elsewhere, but as the costs in major cities drop, it will result in a lower indexing there as well.
    Teq right, as labor demands lower prices salaries will reflect that. Actually a good thing long term for the US competitively but probably not for big US cities.

    The Renaissance of US small towns will accelerate from having a microbrewery and coffee roaster to having tech workers and distance workers etc.

    We are going to see urban decay and flight the same as before but at an accelerated pace. Sure doesn't seem like we learned anything politically from history as dem controlled cities are enacting the same self defeating policies.

    This *might be the cure for small and medium sized cities in the rust belt if they position themselves correctly.
    your last sentence is so intriguing
    Low cost of living and real estate. Existing and under utilized airports and infrastructure for those couple of in person meetings in LA or NY.

    The trouble is going to be the Dem legacy of fucking that all up with Government.
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,066

    Swaye said:

    None of this helps me as a male hooker.

    Have you explored being a cam girl?
    It’s not as lucrative as you think.
    Boom! You on fire girl.
  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,513 Founders Club

    Swaye said:

    None of this helps me as a male hooker.

    Have you explored being a cam girl?
    It’s not as lucrative as you think.
    Boom! You on fire girl.
    she's really bringing it lately
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,066
    Baseman said:

    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    I’m hearing more businesses are allowing employees to keep bottles in their office desk drawers. “It’s no big deal,” one with knowledge said “everybody does it.”
    And oldie but goodie. I so remember that one. JFC Kim.
  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,513 Founders Club

    doogie said:

    My oldest started a new position at a Big software co. in Feb. He manages a large highly visible project with teams of engineers. Hasn’t been to the office once.

    He’s recently begun shopping for waterfront homes in more remote areas reflecting what he calls the new norm.

    This could be a boon for places like Montana and Idaho. A lot of people, yours truly included, love it there (assuming you can flee for the winter), but even with Boise, there isn't enough commerce in that region. You move to Montana and whatever gig you had going folds for whatever reason then you are fucked unless you want to open the 10,000th fly fishing store. We? have manufacturing facilities over there and some regional HQ shit. All of the people in the office jobs have always angled for a spot in Seattle even though they'd be upside down housing-wise. It was because of the economic risk of losing their job with us and being incapable of replacing it.

    That won't matter in a world where people are all over the place.
    Once upon a time, Los Angeles was seen as paradise on earth. Today's boon can be tomorrow's plague.
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    I think this whole take-it-to-the-Tug circle jerk ignores that most of these jobs don't need to happen remotely OR in person. The jobs will eventually go away full-stop. I'm telling my kids to skip college and become plumbers. Algorithms and robots aren't going to be fixing Jack Buttcrack's shoddy work from the 80s anytime soon.
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 114,099 Founders Club
    Learn a trade and get paid. Home remodeling picked up during the close down
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,066

    Learn a trade and get paid. Home remodeling picked up during the close down

    On behalf of all of us who can barely hang a picture or tighten a bolt, FUCK YOU!

    Actually, I replaced my own garbage disposal (once), so I'm good if need be.
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,183 Founders Club
    edited August 2020

    I think this whole take-it-to-the-Tug circle jerk ignores that most of these jobs don't need to happen remotely OR in person. The jobs will eventually go away full-stop. I'm telling my kids to skip college and become plumbers. Algorithms and robots aren't going to be fixing Jack Buttcrack's shoddy work from the 80s anytime soon.

    Eh, I'd agree that 10% or so of administrative jobs are probably gone, just gone since you can't fake working from home the way you can fake working in an office. Sorry Tracy in HR.

    As for the constant refrains of "automation will put everyone out of work" the same thing was said about the steam engine, large scale machine farm equipment, and PC's. It just frees people from monotonous work and moves labor up the capital chain.

    You no longer will be able to get a degree in astronomy and then get a job in payroll sure, and there will probably be a hollowing out of tech, but that will probably be from sectors that were already outsourced to places like India anyway.

    The exponential growth other sectors will receive though will be more than off setting. A small business will just buy a program subscription for $50 a year to maximize their accounting instead of hiring an accountant. A small manufacturer will maximize it's supply chain with 1 person part time instead of needing a department. A department like regulatory compliance in a large business will be outsourced to an AI platform. THESE ARE GOOD THINGS.

    Anyone beating the automation drum and saying "they'll take are jerbssss" is missing some key concepts in economics.

    ATBS getting a job in a trade and becoming highly skilled will pay well. That's never not been the case.