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Maximum Carnage Week Game Thread

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  • doogie
    doogie Member Posts: 15,072
    Sounds like in about 7 weeks or so, this entire Covid scare should be over! Good. To. Know.
  • Bob_C
    Bob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 13,324 Founders Club

    doogie said:

    So, the Lockdowns are working. Good to know.

    Deaths are overstated. Cases are understated. For those under 60 the chicom crud is less dangerous than the H1NI flu.
    The cases always needed context... In some sense they are totally understated for the ones that create no symptoms and required no testing.

    In another sense they are overstated due to the cycle count threshold being used in testing but not being reported out in the data. US test is potentially 1000 times more sensitive than the European version, at some point in the sensitivity, the test is just picking up dead cells that are not contagious. FDA declined to have the test provide a non-binary result, even though that result is and was always possible.
  • LoneStarDawg
    LoneStarDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 13,741 Founders Club
    PSA from Texas

    Texas is experiencing their most cases daily eVAR! So definitely the sky is falling right?

    Let’s look into it. The real-time indicator of an active outbreak is test positivity.



    The peak was 2 weeks ago and was 2/3 the level of the peak in early July.

    So why so many cases? Because we have 2.5x the testing now as we had in early July



    So .6 x 2.5 = 1.5 x volume cases

    But the hospitals are overrun!!!!




    Three regions in west Texas are suffering, El Paso, Lubbock, Amarillo and they weren’t really part of the July outbreak. The rest of the state is holding and is almost inverse the July outbreak. Houston and Austin hospitals are 6% and 4% covid respectively. All others are below the 15% threshold to start triggering restrictions.

    Thankfully Greg Abbott is seeing this as well and refusing to entertain any lockdown talk.
  • Sledog
    Sledog Member Posts: 38,675 Standard Supporter
    alumni94 said:

    November 24, 2020

    Death rate continues to drop. Now at 2% in the US.

    263,899 deaths, 12,786,174 cases

    Same in California and the county I live in.

    Don't forget to deduct the 139K CDC says don't belong in that number but they NEVR bother to remove them from the stats.
  • alumni94
    alumni94 Member Posts: 4,878
    Sledog said:

    alumni94 said:

    November 24, 2020

    Death rate continues to drop. Now at 2% in the US.

    263,899 deaths, 12,786,174 cases

    Same in California and the county I live in.

    Don't forget to deduct the 139K CDC says don't belong in that number but they NEVR bother to remove them from the stats.
    If you do that and 3X in cases (based off Biden covid czar) it's at .27%

  • TurdBomber
    TurdBomber Member Posts: 20,052 Standard Supporter
    doogie said:

    So, the Masks are working, yes?

    Are you fucking retarded? The death rate is from those infected, you fucking moron.
  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,669 Standard Supporter

    doogie said:

    So, the Masks are working, yes?

    Are you fucking retarded? The death rate is from those infected, you fucking moron.
    Doogies sarcasm meter is finely calibrated.

  • TurdBomber
    TurdBomber Member Posts: 20,052 Standard Supporter
    edited November 2020

    doogie said:

    So, the Masks are working, yes?

    Are you fucking retarded? The death rate is from those infected, you fucking moron.
    Doogies sarcasm meter is finely calibrated.

    Sort of figured that might be the case after reading back a few pages. Self-Wooooshed.

    Poasting late at night after a long day of drinking is not the best idea, perhaps.

    Naaaaaah. I still like calling people morons, rightly or wrongly.