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First Coranovirus Death in WA State

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Comments

  • PurpleThrobberPurpleThrobber Member Posts: 44,775 Standard Supporter
    And once you wrap your peabrain around that maff....let's move on to higher level statistics.

    https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

    In the US, cases of the flu range between 25,000,000 and 45,000,000 each year.

    In the US there are currently 43 cases of coronavirus.

    On the low end, the sample of coronavirus compared to the population is approximately 1/1,000,000th of the high end of flu incidence and 1/500,000th on the low end.

    That means shit statistically.

    Now, go grab your nuts and stock up on toilet paper. The world is clearly ending.

  • PurpleThrobberPurpleThrobber Member Posts: 44,775 Standard Supporter

    Here: I help you with maff....use all your fingers and toes.

    Base population of the US = approximately 325,000,000 people.

    Mortality rate = Deaths from a particular disease divided by 325,000,000


    2019-2020 Deaths from flu in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of flu = 10,000 / 325,000,000 = 0.0030769%

    2019-2020 Deaths from coronavirus in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of coronavirus = 6 /325,000,000 = 0.0000018%


    0.0030769% > 0.0000018%

    Now go knock back a good dose of STFU.




    I'm not talking about mortality rate. My point the entire time has been that if you contract corona virus, as of now, the numbers say you're more likely to die from it than the flu. Please, keep ignoring the point and obsessing over mortality rate which was not what I intended to get at.

    You get mad way too easy. Sad way to go through life.
    Better than fat, dumb and stupid.

    You do you.

  • DJDuckDJDuck Member Posts: 5,970
    Internet tough guy.
  • Fire_Marshall_BillFire_Marshall_Bill Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 24,434 Founders Club
    There are probably hundreds if not thousands of undetected Covid cases. Many people probably think they have a cold. I'd pump the brakes on the more fatal narrative.
  • dncdnc Member Posts: 56,804

    There are probably hundreds if not thousands of undetected Covid cases. Many people probably think they have a cold. I'd pump the brakes on the more fatal narrative.

    Wouldn't that same logic also apply to the flu?

    I think it's less fatal than we think but still far more fatal than the flu.
  • GrundleStiltzkinGrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,515 Standard Supporter


    Read the numbers on infections and deaths and see if you can add things up. Better yet, let me do it for you. Most generous numbers for the flu in the US has it killing about 1 in 150 in the US this season. 6 of 100 reported corona virus cases thus far have resulted in death. It would take another 800 reported cases without a death to fall to that rate for the flu.

    https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-disease-2019-vs-the-flu


    Here: I help you with maff....use all your fingers and toes. Christ, I'll even use your own stats.

    Base population of the US = approximately 325,000,000 people.

    Mortality rate = Deaths from a particular disease divided by 325,000,000


    2019-2020 Deaths from flu in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of flu = 12,000 / 325,000,000 = 0.0036923%



    2019-2020 Deaths from coronavirus in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of coronavirus = 6 /325,000,000 = 0.0000018%


    0.0036923% > 0.0000018%

    Now go knock back a good dose of STFU.

    There's no point in laypersons doing mortality calculations based on the numbers above. The ranges are far too broad.
  • PurpleThrobberPurpleThrobber Member Posts: 44,775 Standard Supporter


    Read the numbers on infections and deaths and see if you can add things up. Better yet, let me do it for you. Most generous numbers for the flu in the US has it killing about 1 in 150 in the US this season. 6 of 100 reported corona virus cases thus far have resulted in death. It would take another 800 reported cases without a death to fall to that rate for the flu.

    https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-and-diseases/coronavirus/coronavirus-disease-2019-vs-the-flu


    Here: I help you with maff....use all your fingers and toes. Christ, I'll even use your own stats.

    Base population of the US = approximately 325,000,000 people.

    Mortality rate = Deaths from a particular disease divided by 325,000,000


    2019-2020 Deaths from flu in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of flu = 12,000 / 325,000,000 = 0.0036923%



    2019-2020 Deaths from coronavirus in US divided by 325,000,000
    Mortality rate of coronavirus = 6 /325,000,000 = 0.0000018%


    0.0036923% > 0.0000018%

    Now go knock back a good dose of STFU.

    There's no point in laypersons doing mortality calculations based on the numbers above. The ranges are far too broad.
    That goes into higher level statistics and probability...which is what I'm saying, the sample size is waaaaay too small to reach conclusions vs. historic influenza stats that have been tracked for years, if not decades.

    Ebola, SSARS, Mersa....we've seen this doomsday, kill everybody shit before.

    But but MEAN ORANGE MAN!!!!!

    Fuck.

  • SourcesSources Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 4,012 Founders Club
    It's only been a number of weeks. Wait until Coronavirus gets its own strains in there.

    Too early to see how this will go - normal flus have had YEARS to do their thing. LIPO
  • GrundleStiltzkinGrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,515 Standard Supporter
    Sources said:

    It's only been a number of weeks. Wait until Coronavirus gets its own strains in there.

    Too early to see how this will go - normal flus have had YEARS to do their thing. LIPO

    COVID > SARS POTD.

    Fluugs gotta Fluug.
  • HoustonHuskyHoustonHusky Member Posts: 5,993
    You got another month before it starts falling off in cases and the news...




  • dncdnc Member Posts: 56,804


    EJ Savannah missed practice because of the Coronavirus, CONFIRMED!

    Another mystery solved!
  • Fire_Marshall_BillFire_Marshall_Bill Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 24,434 Founders Club
    edited March 2020
    It's already dropping off in China.

    What are the media and politicians going to mindlessly scare us with next?
  • insinceredawginsinceredawg Member Posts: 5,117
    edited March 2020

    It's already dropping off in China.

    What are the media and politicians going to mindlessly scare us with next?

    China basically declared martial law and shut down major cities to contain it. That's not a feasible option here. The trajectory in South Korea and Italy will give us a better indication of what to expect.
  • UWhuskytskeetUWhuskytskeet Member Posts: 7,113
    Are you retarded? Are you comparing the infection rate of the flu that's present in every country on Earth to a virus that just started spreading?
  • DooglesDoogles Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,615 Founders Club

    It's already dropping off in China.

    What are the media and politicians going to mindlessly scare us with next?

    China basically declared martial law and shut down major cities to contain it. That's not a feasible option here. The trajectory in South Korea and Italy will give us a better indication of what to expect.
    Gotta keep hope alive!
  • HoustonHuskyHoustonHusky Member Posts: 5,993
    Stats like this are meaningless because its new and I don't think anyone knows an accurate count of the number of actual cases.
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