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My thoughts on the class so far (long)

I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!
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Comments

  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
    Why even play the games at all? We can determine championships based on gold stars being handed out! The Ducks are back!

    image
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
    Why even play the games at all? We can determine championships based on gold stars being handed out! The Ducks are back!

    image
    Take it to the 'Alabama is doing it the wrong way' bored.
    Let's hire Sark as their head coach and see what happens to all that talent.
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Irregardless it's fucking June and I trust the coaches. OKG!
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    edited June 2018
    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
    Why even play the games at all? We can determine championships based on gold stars being handed out! The Ducks are back!

    image
    Take it to the 'Alabama is doing it the wrong way' bored.
    Let's hire Sark as their head coach and see what happens to all that talent.
    You might like to read this: https://www.seccountry.com/alabama/nick-saban-changed-college-footballs-recruiting-culture

    I'll summarize: Saban thinks recruiting is the most important thing he does.

    I'll summarize the relevance to this bored: Pete is much closer to Saban than to Sark.

    I will do some extra math for you:

    If you don't think recruiting matters, you are wrong.

    If you are arguing 'what matters more' then you are a fucking idiot who doesn't understand simple path models of causation.

    Most fucking Americans are so fucking retarded they cannot even conceptualize a world in which an outcome can have more than one variable affecting it... but it turns out...

    WAIT FOR IT




    WAIT FOR IT






    WAIR FOT IW






    WAIT... JUST A LITTLE LONGER...

















    WE HAVE THE TECHNOLOGY!!!!!!!! WOAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAA WOWOWOWOWOWOWOWOWWOWOW!!!!











  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    If you want to pass freshman stats, J, you might want to brush up on this super complicated conceptual model explanation that takes TWO WHOLE FUCKING PARAGRAPHS to explain.

    http://mdcw.socsci.uva.nl/?p=55
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    I'm not denying that recruiting is important, but LIPO you homos.

    Azeem, Gaines, Kevin King were all 3* recruits. Sounds like we should totally listen to the teen boy stalkers! They get it!
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    If you want to pass freshman stats, J, you might want to brush up on this super complicated conceptual model explanation that takes TWO WHOLE FUCKING PARAGRAPHS to explain.

    http://mdcw.socsci.uva.nl/?p=55

    I passed freshman stats in high school. FWIW.

    Trying to quantify something that is qualitative is silly. So is using performance in high school to try to predict collegiate success. Good luck with that.
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    Oh my fucking god - before you lose your mind over there... just hold on for a second.

    I will draw you an analogy:

    Imagine a stereo...

    imagine there is music going into it at level 10. Imagine now we have a MAGIC KNOB...

    That can either leave the music at it's level. Turn it up to 20. Or turn it down to 0.

    In this case - WHAT MATTERS MORE - THE MUSIC OR THE KNOB?!?!?!?!?!?

    Oh wait...

    You can't quantify it because music is qualitative!!!!
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    Oh my fucking god - before you lose your mind over there... just hold on for a second.

    I will draw you an analogy:

    Imagine a stereo...

    imagine there is music going into it at level 10. Imagine now we have a MAGIC KNOB...

    That can either leave the music at it's level. Turn it up to 20. Or turn it down to 0.

    In this case - WHAT MATTERS MORE - THE MUSIC OR THE KNOB?!?!?!?!?!?

    Oh wait...

    You can't quantify it because music is qualitative!!!!

    What a silly analogy.
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    I know you are the not the most ready for conceptual analogies so let me try to explain it to you a different way:

    Imagine talent is rated on a scale from 1-5. (like stars - trying to make it easy on you)

    And a coach can multiply the talent any where from 0-2.

    What are the possible outcomes?

    0-10.

    Are you following?

    I'll wait for your response. Let's see if we can get this one licked today.
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    edited June 2018
    Dennis, you seem to like to write a lot just to state the obvious here. Coaching and talent both matter. Yeah, no shit Einstein. My point is that: a. It's fucking June and b: recruiting analysts are often wrong and stupid

    See you in five years when the wins and losses tell me how good this class that hasn't even been signed is. Good luck the rest of the way!
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,037 Founders Club

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
    Why even play the games at all? We can determine championships based on gold stars being handed out! The Ducks are back!

    image
    Take it to the 'Alabama is doing it the wrong way' bored.
    Let's hire Sark as their head coach and see what happens to all that talent.
    You might like to read this: https://www.seccountry.com/alabama/nick-saban-changed-college-footballs-recruiting-culture

    I'll summarize: Saban thinks recruiting is the most important thing he does.

    I'll summarize the relevance to this bored: Pete is much closer to Saban than to Sark.

    I will do some extra math for you:

    If you don't think recruiting matters, you are wrong.

    If you are arguing 'what matters more' then you are a fucking idiot who doesn't understand simple path models of causation.

    Most fucking Americans are so fucking retarded they cannot even conceptualize a world in which an outcome can have more than one variable affecting it... but it turns out...

    WAIT FOR IT




    WAIT FOR IT






    WAIR FOT IW






    WAIT... JUST A LITTLE LONGER...

















    WE HAVE THE TECHNOLOGY!!!!!!!! WOAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAA WOWOWOWOWOWOWOWOWWOWOW!!!!











    I can't remember who it was(recruiting coordinator?) that either came from Georgia to our staff or went to Georgia from our staff but they said we essentially recruit using a similar process. One of the differences being that Peterman tries to be even more personal in the process which inevitably means fewer offers.

    Georgia TBS's well
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    It's so hard to explain things to morons because you need to be able to imagine something that is not actually in existence and think of the relationships between ideas.

    It's fundamentally the thing that makes us different than monkeys.

    I know this is hard.

    Do you get the basic concept of this or not? Things can be caused by more than one thing.

    that doesn't mean they aren't qualitative. Do you follow?
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    I know you are the not the most ready for conceptual analogies so let me try to explain it to you a different way:

    Imagine talent is rated on a scale from 1-5. (like stars - trying to make it easy on you)

    And a coach can multiply the talent any where from 0-2.

    What are the possible outcomes?

    0-10.

    Are you following?

    I'll wait for your response. Let's see if we can get this one licked today.

    If you trust recruiting analysts to accurately judge it every time, then sure. Sure Dennis. Sounds foolproof.
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
    Why even play the games at all? We can determine championships based on gold stars being handed out! The Ducks are back!

    image
    Take it to the 'Alabama is doing it the wrong way' bored.
    Let's hire Sark as their head coach and see what happens to all that talent.
    You might like to read this: https://www.seccountry.com/alabama/nick-saban-changed-college-footballs-recruiting-culture

    I'll summarize: Saban thinks recruiting is the most important thing he does.

    I'll summarize the relevance to this bored: Pete is much closer to Saban than to Sark.

    I will do some extra math for you:

    If you don't think recruiting matters, you are wrong.

    If you are arguing 'what matters more' then you are a fucking idiot who doesn't understand simple path models of causation.

    Most fucking Americans are so fucking retarded they cannot even conceptualize a world in which an outcome can have more than one variable affecting it... but it turns out...

    WAIT FOR IT




    WAIT FOR IT






    WAIR FOT IW






    WAIT... JUST A LITTLE LONGER...

















    WE HAVE THE TECHNOLOGY!!!!!!!! WOAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAA WOWOWOWOWOWOWOWOWWOWOW!!!!











    I can't remember who it was(recruiting coordinator?) that either came from Georgia to our staff or went to Georgia from our staff but they said we essentially recruit using a similar process. One of the differences being that Peterman tries to be even more personal in the process which inevitably means fewer offers.

    Georgia TBS's well
    Where are the fucking championships? I'll wait...
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    PurpleJ said:

    I know you are the not the most ready for conceptual analogies so let me try to explain it to you a different way:

    Imagine talent is rated on a scale from 1-5. (like stars - trying to make it easy on you)

    And a coach can multiply the talent any where from 0-2.

    What are the possible outcomes?

    0-10.

    Are you following?

    I'll wait for your response. Let's see if we can get this one licked today.

    If you trust recruiting analysts to accurately judge it every time, then sure. Sure Dennis. Sounds foolproof.
    IF ONLY THERE WERE SOME WAY TO SEE WHETHER THE RATINGS CORRESPONDED TO MEANINGFUL OUTCOMES!!!!!!!

    It's so difficult living in the 2049 BC. I wish I could fast forward to a time with a computer where this kind of thing would take seconds.
    See you in five years! Have fun overreacting! I will pray for your autism!
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    The forecast is always wrong.

    Rule fucking one.
  • FireCohen
    FireCohen Member Posts: 21,823
  • Dennis_DeYoung
    Dennis_DeYoung Member Posts: 14,754
    PurpleJ said:

    The forecast is always wrong.

    Rule fucking one.

    WHO COULD HAVE PREDICTED THAT NICK SABAN WITH GREAT RECRUITING CLASSES WOULD WIN?!?! WHO!?!?!

    WHO COULD HAVE PREDICTED IT?!?!?!

    What a shame for you that non-perfect prediction means that everything is meaningless.

    What a shame for you that gas dynamics is not nearly as complicated as projecting football games.

    WHAT A SHAME FOR ALL OF US TO LIVE IN A TIME WHERE IT IS SO HARD TO UNDERSTAND THE FUTURE!!!

    I'm sure you're right. I'm sure none of this matters...

    Oh wait. Everyone who cares about winning football as a job thinks it's the most important thing they do.

    But they are probably wrong and you are right.

    Oh - wait hold on - I'm being told that the SECOND ORDER relationship between coaches evaluations and recruiting rankings are strong enough to generate a good predictive model.

    SORRY J!!!
  • UW_Doog_Bot
    UW_Doog_Bot Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 18,037 Founders Club
    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    PurpleJ said:

    I'll let you know in four or five years! Time will tell! Either way it will be interesting!

    If only there were some way to predict how classes will turn out.
    Why even play the games at all? We can determine championships based on gold stars being handed out! The Ducks are back!

    image
    Take it to the 'Alabama is doing it the wrong way' bored.
    Let's hire Sark as their head coach and see what happens to all that talent.
    You might like to read this: https://www.seccountry.com/alabama/nick-saban-changed-college-footballs-recruiting-culture

    I'll summarize: Saban thinks recruiting is the most important thing he does.

    I'll summarize the relevance to this bored: Pete is much closer to Saban than to Sark.

    I will do some extra math for you:

    If you don't think recruiting matters, you are wrong.

    If you are arguing 'what matters more' then you are a fucking idiot who doesn't understand simple path models of causation.

    Most fucking Americans are so fucking retarded they cannot even conceptualize a world in which an outcome can have more than one variable affecting it... but it turns out...

    WAIT FOR IT




    WAIT FOR IT






    WAIR FOT IW






    WAIT... JUST A LITTLE LONGER...

















    WE HAVE THE TECHNOLOGY!!!!!!!! WOAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAA WOWOWOWOWOWOWOWOWWOWOW!!!!











    I can't remember who it was(recruiting coordinator?) that either came from Georgia to our staff or went to Georgia from our staff but they said we essentially recruit using a similar process. One of the differences being that Peterman tries to be even more personal in the process which inevitably means fewer offers.

    Georgia TBS's well
    Where are the fucking championships? I'll wait...
    Are you talking about Georgia specifically that just missed the championship in OT after being irrelevant forever? Then got a good recruiter and was suddenly a play away from a national title.

    Or were you talking about teams that recruit using that same Alabama system who have won 6 out of the last 10 championships.

    You just trolling at this point.