Jon Wilner on UW's soft, flaccid, cupcake, cream puff schedule
Comments
-
Somewhere in the 15% range feels about right to meFremontTroll said:
Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.
.96^12=.69
Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.
Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%. -
For those looking to bet the mortgage ... that's a very appealing option if you are of the belief that it's hard to beat the Death Row Dawgs defense without a QBntxduck said:UW is -1 over Furd at the Westgate right now if you are into free money handouts. I hit that hard last weekend.
-
-
The speed difference between UW and Stanford was unreal last year...I have a hard time believing Stanford closed even 20% of that gap in the offseason. May be close for a half, but UW will pull away to win rather easily, say, 34-17?Tequilla said:
For those looking to bet the mortgage ... that's a very appealing option if you are of the belief that it's hard to beat the Death Row Dawgs defense without a QBntxduck said:UW is -1 over Furd at the Westgate right now if you are into free money handouts. I hit that hard last weekend.
-
You guys I screwed up 5th grade maff. I suck. Ignore me.
-
Here, lemme help:FremontTroll said:
Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.
.96^12=.69
Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.
Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%.
= real fucking high probability of 12-0 -
i need roaddawg to verify the math.89ute said:
Here, lemme help:FremontTroll said:
Apologies in advance for injecting some MAFF into the discussion but a 25% chance of going undefeated over a 12 game schedule is extremely high.89ute said:
I put your 12-0 much higher. If yooze have a loss, it's a WTF loss. Pete built his career at Boise avoiding WTF losses. It would not shock me if Pete has more undefeated seasons than any other coach. (this is a good question by the way)YellowSnow said:
I think OSU, UCLA and UO will all be harder outs than last year, but I also think we? are a better team than last year. The way I see it is:Mosster47 said:The conference overall is going to be a lot better. The three high school games before conference play is helpful though.
I see 10-2 for the Doogs.
10-2 - 25%
11- 1 - 50%
12-0 - 25%
Pete knows how to run the table against inferior competition.
UW would basically need to be >95% favorites in every single game.
.96^12=.69
Small probabilities accumulate over 12 games.
Then throw in a couple games where UW is less than 66% to win and it is pretty much impossible to get to 25%.
= real fucking high probability of 12-0 -
Coker deserves a good defense.YellowSnow said:
Christ you're worse than me at Maff. You best stick to wearing a cheap seer suckersucker suit, defending pederasts in non air conditioned, backwoods Appalachia court rooms.tenndawg said:Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention
Here's my odds:
12-0 37%
11-1 44.3%
10-2. 5.1 %
Total Record: 33-3
Total Percent: 86.4%
33-3 =30
30 X 86.4 = 2592
2592 is the correct answer -
@tenndawg as general counsel for the TSIO is over. Love it!Swaye said:
Coker deserves a good defense.YellowSnow said:
Christ you're worse than me at Maff. You best stick to wearing a cheap seer suckersucker suit, defending pederasts in non air conditioned, backwoods Appalachia court rooms.tenndawg said:Whiskey swilling anti-Confederte historians and bumbling mathematicians- pay close attention
Here's my odds:
12-0 37%
11-1 44.3%
10-2. 5.1 %
Total Record: 33-3
Total Percent: 86.4%
33-3 =30
30 X 86.4 = 2592
2592 is the correct answer -
I came againGladstone said:here's the game
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OfWNkD7haeA
very gg
