they'll go on a late april may run as they always do. and then collapse late in the season cause they don't have enough pitching.
The offense isn't going to continue to perform theirs badly
Have you watched the Mariners the last 15 years? Yes this offense can and most likely will continue to perform this badly.
One year Felix won the cy young with almost a sub 2 era but finished something like 15-12 because the offense was so shitty.
The M's scored just over 2 runs a game in their first 6 games. There's no chance, zero, that their offense is anything close that bad. The worst offense in the Al scored over 4 runs a game last year.
It's fun to bag on the M's, and they will probably suck. But @dhdawg is right, their offense is not going to continue performing anywhere near this badly.
I love the Mariners losing. It's the same shit year after year. If the are supposed to be good, they are awful. If they are expected to suck, they do well, just not well enough.
First Z and Wakamatsu were the answer after over achieving their first year. Then disaster. Then McLendon. Next year, he's gone.
Now Dipoto. He likely sucks too (the Segura/Hanniger trade was a good one though). The Angels were a mess by the time he was fired and their farm system was supposedly terrible.
How many managers have had their careers ruined by coming to seattle? One guy had a stroke and nearly died mid season. Managers are already basically helpless out there.. surely there's go to be a better career choice than putting your life on the line for the worst team in the history of sports. Holy fuck all
90-72 just requires being 18 games over .500 ... over a 6 month season that's basically 15-12 every month ...
Get to the end of April at or around .500 and you're generally on schedule ...
Next milestone is to get to Memorial Day at or around 3-5 games over .500 ...
Then get to the 4th of July at 8-10 games over .500 ...
Then have a strong August/September and in particular dominate the teams that are out of the race ...
The schedule for the Mariners will be interesting this year as the travel is definitely different with periods where they are hardly at home (not home the rest of April) and some periods where they are almost always at home.
The season depends on the starting rotation. I'm buying Paxton. He just needs to stay healthy. I think Felix is about done. If he can even pitch to last year's level for a full season, it's a win.
If they can get to July in contention, a deal has to be made for a starter. They won't survive as is, especially considering the bullpen is mostly subpar.
The season depends on the starting rotation. I'm buying Paxton. He just needs to stay healthy. I think Felix is about done. If he can even pitch to last year's level for a full season, it's a win.
If they can get to July in contention, a deal has to be made for a starter. They won't survive as is, especially considering the bullpen is mostly subpar.
I think it's a bit premature to say that Felix is done and it is early in the year ... but there is reason for concern ...
So far this year his batting average against is .330 ... even last year his batting average against was .239 (that's inline with his career average of .240) ... his issue last year was his BB rate of almost 4 BBs per 9 innings. You could look at a higher HR rate against last year and so far this year 5 in 24.2 IP as an issue. But then again, he's at a 20:1 K:BB rate this year ... so the control is better and he's still getting K's at a decent clip (although slightly lower than his career average).
He's probably more properly slotted as a #2 starter at this point in his career ... but still capable of delivering a #1 performance. I think he's in the process of trying to reinvent himself ... he's too good to not eventually transition into the next phase of his career. Right now he's getting too much of the plate and throwing too many strikes. I'm sure he'll continue to make an adjustment(s).
As for Paxton, I agree that he's a buy in his performance. The first thing I look for in a pitcher is how easy their throwing motion is ... for Paxton he's throwing an easy 97 right now getting great action on his pitches as the ball is exploding on hitters without their ability to get any kind of comfortable swings on him. As much as everybody looks at speed and hard throwers to get outs ... at the core pitching is about making the batter uncomfortable and the inability to make confident swings/contact on the ball.
The flaw from DiPoto IMO was his inability to build out a strong bullpen ... a necessity in today's game. I don't have a ton of confidence in Kuma and Gallardo is a JAG at this point in his career. They desperately need Smyly to come back healthy as he's going to be desperately missed.
Comments
Losers lose.
Water is wet.
Baabs flags unless there's pics.
Say like about 81 sq miles more.
World series here we come.
This is playing out exactly as I said. They will probably be 5 to 10 games above 500 by mid may and fizzle out in august
Get to the end of April at or around .500 and you're generally on schedule ...
Next milestone is to get to Memorial Day at or around 3-5 games over .500 ...
Then get to the 4th of July at 8-10 games over .500 ...
Then have a strong August/September and in particular dominate the teams that are out of the race ...
The schedule for the Mariners will be interesting this year as the travel is definitely different with periods where they are hardly at home (not home the rest of April) and some periods where they are almost always at home.
If they can get to July in contention, a deal has to be made for a starter. They won't survive as is, especially considering the bullpen is mostly subpar.
So far this year his batting average against is .330 ... even last year his batting average against was .239 (that's inline with his career average of .240) ... his issue last year was his BB rate of almost 4 BBs per 9 innings. You could look at a higher HR rate against last year and so far this year 5 in 24.2 IP as an issue. But then again, he's at a 20:1 K:BB rate this year ... so the control is better and he's still getting K's at a decent clip (although slightly lower than his career average).
He's probably more properly slotted as a #2 starter at this point in his career ... but still capable of delivering a #1 performance. I think he's in the process of trying to reinvent himself ... he's too good to not eventually transition into the next phase of his career. Right now he's getting too much of the plate and throwing too many strikes. I'm sure he'll continue to make an adjustment(s).
As for Paxton, I agree that he's a buy in his performance. The first thing I look for in a pitcher is how easy their throwing motion is ... for Paxton he's throwing an easy 97 right now getting great action on his pitches as the ball is exploding on hitters without their ability to get any kind of comfortable swings on him. As much as everybody looks at speed and hard throwers to get outs ... at the core pitching is about making the batter uncomfortable and the inability to make confident swings/contact on the ball.
The flaw from DiPoto IMO was his inability to build out a strong bullpen ... a necessity in today's game. I don't have a ton of confidence in Kuma and Gallardo is a JAG at this point in his career. They desperately need Smyly to come back healthy as he's going to be desperately missed.