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Mariners update

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  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,559
    Tuesday night football was great tonight. Kind of surprised the Lions won 19-9.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Tequilla said:

    The season depends on the starting rotation. I'm buying Paxton. He just needs to stay healthy. I think Felix is about done. If he can even pitch to last year's level for a full season, it's a win.

    If they can get to July in contention, a deal has to be made for a starter. They won't survive as is, especially considering the bullpen is mostly subpar.

    I think it's a bit premature to say that Felix is done and it is early in the year ... but there is reason for concern ...

    So far this year his batting average against is .330 ... even last year his batting average against was .239 (that's inline with his career average of .240) ... his issue last year was his BB rate of almost 4 BBs per 9 innings. You could look at a higher HR rate against last year and so far this year 5 in 24.2 IP as an issue. But then again, he's at a 20:1 K:BB rate this year ... so the control is better and he's still getting K's at a decent clip (although slightly lower than his career average).

    He's probably more properly slotted as a #2 starter at this point in his career ... but still capable of delivering a #1 performance. I think he's in the process of trying to reinvent himself ... he's too good to not eventually transition into the next phase of his career. Right now he's getting too much of the plate and throwing too many strikes. I'm sure he'll continue to make an adjustment(s).

    As for Paxton, I agree that he's a buy in his performance. The first thing I look for in a pitcher is how easy their throwing motion is ... for Paxton he's throwing an easy 97 right now getting great action on his pitches as the ball is exploding on hitters without their ability to get any kind of comfortable swings on him. As much as everybody looks at speed and hard throwers to get outs ... at the core pitching is about making the batter uncomfortable and the inability to make confident swings/contact on the ball.

    The flaw from DiPoto IMO was his inability to build out a strong bullpen ... a necessity in today's game. I don't have a ton of confidence in Kuma and Gallardo is a JAG at this point in his career. They desperately need Smyly to come back healthy as he's going to be desperately missed.
    Bump
  • Intersectional_Dawg
    Intersectional_Dawg Member Posts: 524
    Tequilla said:

    The season depends on the starting rotation. I'm buying Paxton. He just needs to stay healthy. I think Felix is about done. If he can even pitch to last year's level for a full season, it's a win.

    If they can get to July in contention, a deal has to be made for a starter. They won't survive as is, especially considering the bullpen is mostly subpar.

    I think it's a bit premature to say that Felix is done and it is early in the year ... but there is reason for concern ...

    So far this year his batting average against is .330 ... even last year his batting average against was .239 (that's inline with his career average of .240) ... his issue last year was his BB rate of almost 4 BBs per 9 innings. You could look at a higher HR rate against last year and so far this year 5 in 24.2 IP as an issue. But then again, he's at a 20:1 K:BB rate this year ... so the control is better and he's still getting K's at a decent clip (although slightly lower than his career average).

    He's probably more properly slotted as a #2 starter at this point in his career ... but still capable of delivering a #1 performance. I think he's in the process of trying to reinvent himself ... he's too good to not eventually transition into the next phase of his career. Right now he's getting too much of the plate and throwing too many strikes. I'm sure he'll continue to make an adjustment(s).

    As for Paxton, I agree that he's a buy in his performance. The first thing I look for in a pitcher is how easy their throwing motion is ... for Paxton he's throwing an easy 97 right now getting great action on his pitches as the ball is exploding on hitters without their ability to get any kind of comfortable swings on him. As much as everybody looks at speed and hard throwers to get outs ... at the core pitching is about making the batter uncomfortable and the inability to make confident swings/contact on the ball.

    The flaw from DiPoto IMO was his inability to build out a strong bullpen ... a necessity in today's game. I don't have a ton of confidence in Kuma and Gallardo is a JAG at this point in his career. They desperately need Smyly to come back healthy as he's going to be desperately missed.
    Classic Teq.
  • dhdawg
    dhdawg Member Posts: 13,326
    I was wrong. Injuries have decimated the roster now.

    They'll be 10 under by memorial day
  • Kaepsknee
    Kaepsknee Member Posts: 14,913
    dhdawg said:

    I was wrong.



    Take this to the Tug where it belongs!
  • doogie
    doogie Member Posts: 15,072
    I never dreamed we'd be at .500 and only one game back in the Wildcard race this late in the season.
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,128
    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.
  • CuntWaffle
    CuntWaffle Member Posts: 22,499

    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.

    Right now it is yea. The bullpen can't be fixed. The rotation will be good in about 3 months but it will be too late then when they are 15 games under .500

    I do like what Dipoto is doing though. Its nice having young players like Haniger and Gammel who are actually good instead of the fucking dreckfest that was Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, Michael Saunders, Nick Franklin etc.



  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,128

    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.

    Right now it is yea. The bullpen can't be fixed. The rotation will be good in about 3 months but it will be too late then when they are 15 games under .500

    I do like what Dipoto is doing though. Its nice having young players like Haniger and Gammel who are actually good instead of the fucking dreckfest that was Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, Michael Saunders, Nick Franklin etc.

    Agree with the 2nd paragraph. Haniger kept the team afloat when he was healthy and Gamel has been a huge surprise. The rotation is horrible though. Obviously injuries have decimated it, but it wasn't good to begin with and Paxton getting injured should not be a surprise.
  • CuntWaffle
    CuntWaffle Member Posts: 22,499

    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.

    Right now it is yea. The bullpen can't be fixed. The rotation will be good in about 3 months but it will be too late then when they are 15 games under .500

    I do like what Dipoto is doing though. Its nice having young players like Haniger and Gammel who are actually good instead of the fucking dreckfest that was Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, Michael Saunders, Nick Franklin etc.

    Agree with the 2nd paragraph. Haniger kept the team afloat when he was healthy and Gamel has been a huge surprise. The rotation is horrible though. Obviously injuries have decimated it, but it wasn't good to begin with and Paxton getting injured should not be a surprise.
    At full strength Felix lite, Paxton, Smyly, Iwakuma, and Gallardo is a very good rotation. Smyly was killing it before the injury, even bad Felix is still better than most, and Paxton has been pitching at a very consistent level... not just one of those random 2 game sprees he use to go on, he wants to get paid. So I disagree that the rotation was never good to begin with, it just hasn't been 100% healthy at any point of the season.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839

    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.

    Right now it is yea. The bullpen can't be fixed. The rotation will be good in about 3 months but it will be too late then when they are 15 games under .500

    I do like what Dipoto is doing though. Its nice having young players like Haniger and Gammel who are actually good instead of the fucking dreckfest that was Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, Michael Saunders, Nick Franklin etc.

    Agree with the 2nd paragraph. Haniger kept the team afloat when he was healthy and Gamel has been a huge surprise. The rotation is horrible though. Obviously injuries have decimated it, but it wasn't good to begin with and Paxton getting injured should not be a surprise.
    At full strength Felix lite, Paxton, Smyly, Iwakuma, and Gallardo is a very good rotation. Smyly was killing it before the injury, even bad Felix is still better than most, and Paxton has been pitching at a very consistent level... not just one of those random 2 game sprees he use to go on, he wants to get paid. So I disagree that the rotation was never good to begin with, it just hasn't been 100% healthy at any point of the season.
    Kuma is done. Gallardo is done. Felix might be. Paxton is the shit and Smyly is solid. The rotation was the concern going into the year and for good reason. It's not a good rotation.

    The offense is fanfuckingtastic though.
  • CuntWaffle
    CuntWaffle Member Posts: 22,499
    dnc said:

    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.

    Right now it is yea. The bullpen can't be fixed. The rotation will be good in about 3 months but it will be too late then when they are 15 games under .500

    I do like what Dipoto is doing though. Its nice having young players like Haniger and Gammel who are actually good instead of the fucking dreckfest that was Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, Michael Saunders, Nick Franklin etc.

    Agree with the 2nd paragraph. Haniger kept the team afloat when he was healthy and Gamel has been a huge surprise. The rotation is horrible though. Obviously injuries have decimated it, but it wasn't good to begin with and Paxton getting injured should not be a surprise.
    At full strength Felix lite, Paxton, Smyly, Iwakuma, and Gallardo is a very good rotation. Smyly was killing it before the injury, even bad Felix is still better than most, and Paxton has been pitching at a very consistent level... not just one of those random 2 game sprees he use to go on, he wants to get paid. So I disagree that the rotation was never good to begin with, it just hasn't been 100% healthy at any point of the season.
    Kuma is done. Gallardo is done. Felix might be. Paxton is the shit and Smyly is solid. The rotation was the concern going into the year and for good reason. It's not a good rotation.

    The offense is fanfuckingtastic though.
    Look at Paxton this year. 1.47 ERA through 6 games and he has looked way better than he ever has. Maybe he had his Henry Roengardner moment and this injury reset him to suck, but you can't deny he has been one of the better pitchers in the AL until he got hurt. Iwakuma has these weird 10/11 ER games but the rest he can keep teams from 2-4 very consistently which is what any team wants. Gollardo is a #5 pitcher and pitches like a #5 pitcher would. 4.58 ERA for a #5 isn't horrible.
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Yankees in 1st
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839

    dnc said:

    Tsio. The pitching is horrible.

    Right now it is yea. The bullpen can't be fixed. The rotation will be good in about 3 months but it will be too late then when they are 15 games under .500

    I do like what Dipoto is doing though. Its nice having young players like Haniger and Gammel who are actually good instead of the fucking dreckfest that was Brad Miller, Justin Smoak, Michael Saunders, Nick Franklin etc.

    Agree with the 2nd paragraph. Haniger kept the team afloat when he was healthy and Gamel has been a huge surprise. The rotation is horrible though. Obviously injuries have decimated it, but it wasn't good to begin with and Paxton getting injured should not be a surprise.
    At full strength Felix lite, Paxton, Smyly, Iwakuma, and Gallardo is a very good rotation. Smyly was killing it before the injury, even bad Felix is still better than most, and Paxton has been pitching at a very consistent level... not just one of those random 2 game sprees he use to go on, he wants to get paid. So I disagree that the rotation was never good to begin with, it just hasn't been 100% healthy at any point of the season.
    Kuma is done. Gallardo is done. Felix might be. Paxton is the shit and Smyly is solid. The rotation was the concern going into the year and for good reason. It's not a good rotation.

    The offense is fanfuckingtastic though.
    Look at Paxton this year. 1.47 ERA through 6 games and he has looked way better than he ever has. Maybe he had his Henry Roengardner moment and this injury reset him to suck, but you can't deny he has been one of the better pitchers in the AL until he got hurt. Iwakuma has these weird 10/11 ER games but the rest he can keep teams from 2-4 very consistently which is what any team wants. Gollardo is a #5 pitcher and pitches like a #5 pitcher would. 4.58 ERA for a #5 isn't horrible.
    Paxton is the shit like I said.

    Kuma is bad.

    Gallardo is shit.

    It's not a good rotation.

    Paxton - very good for a 1
    Smyly - okay for a 2
    Felix - okay for a 3
    Kuma - bad for a 4
    Gallardo - bad for a 5

    That's a below average rotation if all healthy, and it's one where basically everyone is a health risk.

    And an ERA of 4.58 when pitching in Safeco in front of this defense is very bad.
  • dnc
    dnc Member Posts: 56,839
    And the crazy thing is I think the offense is good enough to overcome all that, IF they could get Paxton, Felix and Smyly healthy. That's unlikely though, so they'll probably miss the playoffs, again.
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,128
    We had this conversation already, but Felix might be just plain bad. He was okay for a 3 last year, but the end looked near.

    Paxton is very good, but he has never stayed healthy. I doubt he will this year either. It would be a surprise if he made 30 starts.
  • doogie
    doogie Member Posts: 15,072
    note to dnc: very good ones don't get hurt.
  • phineas
    phineas Member Posts: 4,732
    We are right where we need to be to make that late season playoff push!
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Jeter had his number retired.
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    PurpleJ said:

    Jeter had his number retired.

    Who?
  • Baseman
    Baseman Member Posts: 12,369
    I've been AWOL. Boobs, How's your fantasy team fairing?
  • TierbsHsotBoobs
    TierbsHsotBoobs Member Posts: 39,680
    Baseman said:

    I've been AWOL. Boobs, How's your fantasy team fairing?

    Who the fuck are you?
  • phineas
    phineas Member Posts: 4,732
    Stolen from reddit

    With Robinson Cano landing on the DL today, the Seattle Mariners now have $77,652,843 now on the DL.

    Felix- $26,857,143
    Cano- $24,000,000
    Iwakuma- $14,000,000
    Smyly- $6,850,000
    Paxton- $2,350,000
    Scribner- $907,500
    O'Malley- $544,000
    Haniger- $538,000
    Simmons- $536,200
    Marshall- $535,000
    Weber- $535,000
  • phineas
    phineas Member Posts: 4,732
    Put your rally cap on fellas, the boys need our support
  • Baseman
    Baseman Member Posts: 12,369
    phineas said:

    Put your rally cap on fellas, the boys need our support

    Is it August yet?
  • PurpleJ
    PurpleJ Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club

    PurpleJ said:

    Jeter had his number retired.

    Who?
    You know. That guy who won a bunch of championships at that REAL franchise in New York.
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,128
    Every day the M's bring me a little joy.
  • dhdawg
    dhdawg Member Posts: 13,326
    why is this thread still going? season ended when haniger and felix went down.

    They'll have their classic 10 game worthless winning streak to prevent them from selling like they should and then finish with 80 wins or something mediocre like that
  • dhdawg
    dhdawg Member Posts: 13,326

    We had this conversation already, but Felix might be just plain bad. He was okay for a 3 last year, but the end looked near.

    Paxton is very good, but he has never stayed healthy. I doubt he will this year either. It would be a surprise if he made 30 starts.

    you are likely right. But LIPO.

    pitching is incredibly fickle and small adjustments can make a huge difference. as can rest and better training.
    Guys can lose it like that but can also find themselves again out of nowhere. Justin Verlander looked done and then came back to have a cy young type season last year. Iwakuma looked absolutely finished early last year and then had a tremendous second half. one thing that is clear is he will have to make adjustments. His curveball command is really bad, and fastball changeup no matter how good your changeup is, it doesn't play as a starter (see danny salazar).

    Most likely he's done.