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Just Passing Along What I'm Hearing (NERD EDITION)
ESPN released their metrics (FPI) shit today for CFB... Pac12 Results:
UW: projected to win 9.2 games, 2nd best chance to win the conference at 23.4% (Behind USC at 30.4%)
USC: 8.2 wins
UCLA: 8.2
Stanford: 7.8
Arizona: 7.3
Oregon: 7.3
Utah: 6.7
WSU: 6.6
ASU: 5.7
CAL: 5.1 (Still too high)
Colorado: 4.7
Oregon State: 3.8
espn.go.com/college-football/statistics/teamratings/_/sort/projectedWPct
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Comments
You have to be carrying a lot of scar tissue and pessimism to not see where this team has a chance to be really good next year.
The built in excuse for the remaining Doogs is that we're too young in year 3, but that year 4 might be a step back because of early departures defensively. Puppy championed this idea in earlier threads.
There is some validity that the D might take a step back if there is a mass exodus, but the team as a whole will be much stronger. Either way, this is the year the offense needs to click. There are no more excuses.
I'm staying pessimistic because Pete hasn't accomplished anything yet and it's the way he lost some of those games. Not encouraging, but I'm not saying he should be gone yet. I'll give him this year, but he better win the division.
And how they inevitably shit the bed when any expectations of contention are raised.
I agree there are some reasons to be optimistic. But we suck until we don't. Right now we suck.
The script is Pete botches the North because of a 3rd straight year of last place offense and fires Smith. Then Death Row leaves for the NFL or graduates and year 4 ends in a Sun Bowl victory against Boston College.