Gallardo had a mid 3 ERA pitching in the NATIONAL LEAGUE in a division with a few teams last year that couldn't hit their way out of a wet paper bag. He had an ERA over 4 in 2013. I would somewhat surprised if he kept his ERA under 4 in Texas. He could easily find himself giving up 25-30 HRs pitching in Arlington. He's no longer the guy that strikes out a guy per inning (which isn't going to be helped by facing a DH instead of a pitcher) and you could very easily point to his abnormally lower walk rate last year as the reason for his mid 3 ERA as anything else. His batting average against has been .261 each of the last 2 years .. wouldn't shock me if it goes up into the .265 to .270 range this year. Just don't see it with him.I completely disagree about the floor for the Mariners. The worst case scenario for them is IF they have significant injuries in the rotation. They have 6 MLB caliber starters right now. I think they need to find 1 more between now and the start of the season. They will increase their rotation by the trade deadline (most likely in a package that moves Walker and one of their high end minor league OFs). Regardless of what Cruz does this year, it will be a massive upgrade compared to what they got at the DH spot last year. It will be next to impossible for them to get worse production from the SS spot. If Zunino improves at all, there's a 3rd offensive spot where you'll get improvement. The Smith/Ruggiano platoon will be far more productive than what the Mariners produced last year. I haven't even touched on getting anywhere close to historical production from Austin Jackson (who I do think that there's reason to be concerned about him going forward) or if Ackley can take the next step like he showed in the 2nd half of the season. Seager is Seager. Cano is Cano. LoMo could be about to hit his prime. The pen will still be very good even if it takes a slight step back. 22 games were started last year by a shit sandwich of starters (and that's not counting in the pen games). .500 would probably be the floor for them in my mind. They are one of the more well built teams from top to bottom that I see in baseball at the moment and a team that I'd say is a 90+ win team. Remember, I said that they'd be 85+ last year. If everything breaks right for this team, I could see them in the 95-100 range.
For someone who claims to hate baseball, @RoadDawg55 sure likes to pop off.
For someone who claims to hate baseball, @RoadDawg55 sure likes to pop off. I'm a box score guy. I haven't watched a Mariner's game in years.
For someone who claims to hate baseball, @RoadDawg55 sure likes to pop off. I'm a box score guy. I haven't watched a Mariner's game in years. We can all tell.
For someone who claims to hate baseball, @RoadDawg55 sure likes to pop off. I'm a box score guy. I haven't watched a Mariner's game in years. We can all tell. I don't need to watch to know that the Mariners' season is over.
For someone who claims to hate baseball, @RoadDawg55 sure likes to pop off. I'm a box score guy. I haven't watched a Mariner's game in years. We can all tell. I don't need to watch to know that the Mariners' season is over. You should leave Sven's material to Sven.
For someone who claims to hate baseball, @RoadDawg55 sure likes to pop off. I'm a box score guy. I haven't watched a Mariner's game in years. We can all tell. I don't need to watch to know that the Mariners' season is over. You should leave Sven's material to Sven. It's the rare topic in which Sven and I agree.
The Rangers have a lot of ifs, but they might be decent. Their roster isn't much, if any worse than the M's. If Fielder can stay healthy and hit 30 HR's. If Choo and Andrus play at their normal level. If Holland and Darvish are healthy. If those things happen, they have a better team than the Mariners. The Rangers are shells of what they used to be. Beltre and Fielder are nice ... although Beltre's aging a bit (so the decline that is talked about Cano applies as well for Beltre who is also older) and we really don't know how Fielder is going to respond to his neck surgery last year. Choo is about the only other offensive piece that I look at on their team and immediately think that he's above league average. Martin may end up being but he's average at best right now. Everybody else is some combination of young, unproven, or inconsistent. Pitching wise, Darvish is obviously crazy talented but his inability to consistently pitch deep into games hurts their team IMO (can't underestimate how draining the summer months are for them - it's probably a 2-3 game difference in the standings). Holland's a solid #2. Gallardo is nothing special at this point in his career and I can't imagine that pitching in Texas is going to be helpful to him. I actually liked Colby Lewis before his injuries, but you can't have a guy in your rotation in the AL West penciled in to make 30 starts with an ERA of 5+ and win. And in all honesty, their pen isn't that good.Vegas projects the Rangers for 77.5 wins in 2015 and I think that's a good number. They strike me as a just below .500 team with 85 wins probably being their high water mark. I think I'd take the Astros +3 in a H2H bet against the Rangers. So you agree? If the Rangers win 80-85 games, they could very well be better than the Mariners. I mentioned they had a lot of ifs, and I agree that they could suck. The Mariners also could suck. Gallardo had a 3.51 ERA pitching in Miller Park. He's a solid #3. Darvish-Holland-Gallardo-Perez is a solid rotation if healthy. They aren't afraid to spend money and will make moves if they are in it come July.
The Rangers have a lot of ifs, but they might be decent. Their roster isn't much, if any worse than the M's. If Fielder can stay healthy and hit 30 HR's. If Choo and Andrus play at their normal level. If Holland and Darvish are healthy. If those things happen, they have a better team than the Mariners. The Rangers are shells of what they used to be. Beltre and Fielder are nice ... although Beltre's aging a bit (so the decline that is talked about Cano applies as well for Beltre who is also older) and we really don't know how Fielder is going to respond to his neck surgery last year. Choo is about the only other offensive piece that I look at on their team and immediately think that he's above league average. Martin may end up being but he's average at best right now. Everybody else is some combination of young, unproven, or inconsistent. Pitching wise, Darvish is obviously crazy talented but his inability to consistently pitch deep into games hurts their team IMO (can't underestimate how draining the summer months are for them - it's probably a 2-3 game difference in the standings). Holland's a solid #2. Gallardo is nothing special at this point in his career and I can't imagine that pitching in Texas is going to be helpful to him. I actually liked Colby Lewis before his injuries, but you can't have a guy in your rotation in the AL West penciled in to make 30 starts with an ERA of 5+ and win. And in all honesty, their pen isn't that good.Vegas projects the Rangers for 77.5 wins in 2015 and I think that's a good number. They strike me as a just below .500 team with 85 wins probably being their high water mark. I think I'd take the Astros +3 in a H2H bet against the Rangers.
The Rangers have a lot of ifs, but they might be decent. Their roster isn't much, if any worse than the M's. If Fielder can stay healthy and hit 30 HR's. If Choo and Andrus play at their normal level. If Holland and Darvish are healthy. If those things happen, they have a better team than the Mariners.
I'm sure that there will be a surprise or two, but I really do think that baseball is relatively defined going into the year this year moreso than it has been in recent years.In the AL, I think the East is relatively wide open between Baltimore, Toronto, and Boston. Both the Yankees and Rays will be pretty bad. I don't think that either of the 3 teams that are going to contend for the division are that great - I think Baltimore was probably a little over their head this past year and will regress a bit (much like they did in 2013). The Central will be relatively wide open as I don't see a team in that division that will win 90 games but can see a path for all 5 teams to be .500 or better. I think this is the year that Detroit misses the playoffs. In the West, I'd be shocked if any team other than the Angels or Mariners made the playoffs. In the NL, the Nationals would need to fall on their face to not win the East. The Marlins and Mets probably have a path to get to 85-90 wins. The Braves and Phillies are going to be horrible. The Cardinals and the Pirates are the class of the NL Central. The Cubs are probably a year away. Milwaukee and Cincy have the chance to outperform but could also blow up in a bad way. The Dodgers are obviously a favorite to make it to the playoffs but their slow starts could end up biting them at some point. The Padres are easily the most improved team in the game. The Giants lost a lot IMO and I'd be shocked if they got into the playoffs this year. DBacks and Rockies will both be bad.
