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I've got a good feeling about this game

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  • Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    U just gotta BELIEVE in our DAWGS! Ignore what those CLASSLESS yuck TROLLS have to SAY and BELIEVE in OUR DAWGS!!!!! Wear PURPLE and be GOLD! WE CAN DO IT! SHOCK THE WORLD!!!!!!!!!!


    WOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOF!!!!!!!!!
  • Member Posts: 37,643 Founders Club
    Serious post....I think we are better in the trenches (I like to call the LOS that). That's gotta count for something, or not.
  • Member Posts: 5,380
    But the spread opened at 19 and went up to 21 indicating at least to me that Dook fans think Oregon is a-ok with 1 player back. It is has now moved down a half point and probably will settle at 20 to 19.5 because the smarter money started coming in starting on the Dawgs +21.

    The O/U has also dropped a little which is positive for U-Dub all-around. Likely the only way UW covers (let alone wins) is if the game is slower on the scoring side and the Huskies blast away with the front 7 and the running game.

    At least that's how I see it.

    Not even many UO fans are picking Oregon against the spread but it remains at 21. So the money isn't moving. UW looks like a sucker bet. Oregon covers if they win but UW shocks the world and wins outright. If you think Oregon is going to win they are going to cover

    This made sense to me when I wrote it

  • Member Posts: 4,622
    HFNY said:

    My crystal balls are now saying Oregon wins 39-24 but they have been wrong, shrunken, and wrinkly before.

    I'll be watching to see how RS-Frosh Coleman Shelton (has started 4 or 5 games now IIRC) does against their DL / Tony Washington. I don't think TW is all that great but he's pretty productive for them. At least Shelton already was thrown into the fire against Henry Anderson of Stanford a few weeks ago.

    Jake Fisher being back for them is a big plus but how will he play as a LT (he started at RT for them in 2012 and 2013) coming off a leg injury against Kikaha? How will the U-Dub pass-rush do when Kikaha is head up on their walk-on starter at RT and RS-SR Andrew Hudson is over Fisher as a down-lineman? Or what if UW uses Kikaha and Feeney (or Littleton) as stand-up rush guys on the edges with Shelton or E. Hudson and A. Hudson as the interior DL? I love Kikaha or Feeney / Littleton going up against their walk-on RT!!11@!!!#@1!!!

    I'll also be interested to see how we defend their read-option to start the game. Do we mostly focus on stopping their RBs and let Mariota carry the ball so we can attempt to (legally) incapacitate him and / or make him extremely uncomfortable. Mariota is very good but he's human so his accuracy and decision making will suffer if he's taking hits (preferably high-low hits):

    image

    image


    It's interesting that you show photos of stanford abusing mariotta. Just as important as Shelton and Kikaha (or nearly important) are our LBs.

    stanford effectively mixed up their LB blitzes. Guys like shane skov and ben gardner were coming from all different directions, AND THEY SUCCESSFULLY GOT INTO THE BACKFIELD WITHOUT GETTING BLOCKED! THIS IS WHAT KAWASAKI MUST DO! If Timu, Shaq and Feeney are asked to disrupt oregon's backfield, then they better fucking get there. If oregon picks up the blitzes, mariotta will torch us.

    Solid play from our front four, and disruption from a myriad of LB blitzes is the key.
  • Member Posts: 30,123

    UW has played 1 decent game. And even in that game the offense was underwhelming. Caps defense is worse than Oregons. 21 points is the right betting line.

    Not surprised you missed the point.
  • Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,673 Founders Club

    Yes, Oregon has out recruited UW for awhile. But if we are going by recruiting rankings, USC and UCLA have the most talented teams in the league. Talent itself doesn't mean dick. I've read from you many times that coaching matters and player development is equally, if not more important than recruiting. Michigan State is the best team in the Big 10. Baylor and TCU are way better than Texas, and right there with Oklahoma in the Big 12. Mississippi and Miss State are two of the best teams in the country. I know Mississippi has recruited really well lately, but Alabama, LSU, and Auburn's rankings would shit on them if you look at the past 5 years.

    If Chip was coach, I'm sure Oregon's talent would look better. I've watched three Oregon games and in each one, the OL was shoddy and the DL was average. The have an outstanding QB, very good RB's, and a pretty good secondary. The rest of their team is unremarkable.
    This is a good post and I don't disagree. We are discussing whether two years of Slingblade have degraded UO to the point that one partial year of Petermen can raise UW to victory. Coaching is more important. I watched a red shirt freshman QB fuck up a few times and still lead Arizona to a win at Autzen. If Petermen gets the guys to believe I like Washington in this one. I did pick them, I just think it is still a pretty big upset
  • Member Posts: 2,294
    WASH+13 in the first half is the way to go if you want a "win" tomorrow.
  • Member Posts: 370
    I want to believe we can pull a win out, but I have to see it to believe it. Next year I think the tables will have definitely turned in our favor. Prepare for mass suicides off the I-5 bridge crossing the Columbia, if we win.
  • Member Posts: 15,501

    I think UW is or two years away yet. After that, the tables will be turned. Oregon is on its way to down. Not to the level they were, but will be down quite a bit.

    Talking about the ten wins in a row a false narrative. It doesn't tell the whole story. UW went through the worst stretch in their history while Oregon went though it's best. The odds of that happening were low and even lower in the future. Shit, most teams had a several game win streak going against UW, it wasn't that hard. Add to that Oregon was beating everyone. I think they have a 10-2 record against UCLA since 2000. In 2006 and 2007 Oregon was average. But UW sucked ass. In the Sark years, UW was average, but Oregon was at the top of their game. It's been a while since both teams were either both petty good, or pretty shitty at the same time.
    We know it couldn't possibly be the case, but it's almost like Oregon hiring Chip Kelly and UW hiring Willingham had more to do with the lopsided onfield results of late than a random pick-6 in 1994.
  • Member Posts: 37,781
    Vegasdawg said:

    I want to believe we can pull a win out, but I have to see it to believe it. Next year I think the tables will have definitely turned in our favor. Prepare for mass suicides off the I-5 bridge crossing the Columbia, if we win.

    What about the I-5 bridge across the Willamette? I think that's a lot higher and more lethal.
  • Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 12,720 Founders Club
    I'm doogin' so hard on this game.

    We've improved week by week in all areas of perceived deficiency (fire kwitikoski anyone? ) and i expect the best version of Petersen's huskies to arrive in autzen.

    I think this throw back 20 year anniversary gives us some weird juju, and our northwest frost get up is filthy.

    I really think danny Shelton is about to cement himself as a first rounder. I think he is going to murder the stoner lined up across him and fuck this game up for the classy Hawaiian mariota.

    Clearly i haven't slept in 48 hours.
  • Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,199 Founders Club
    MadHusky said:

    @RaceBannon‌'s mojo hasn't been on point since he predicted the 3-and-6 2010 Huskies to win out and become bowl-eligible, much to the shock of iDawg. He deserves credit, did anyone actually believe that smug confidence behind the 1980s Yugoslavian cell phone?

    Race deserves credit, but there's a little myth involved there. If you go listen to the episodes, when we were 3-6 he predicted they would lose out. When we won and were 4-6, he predicted they would finish 6-6.
  • Member Posts: 37,781

    Race deserves credit, but there's a little myth involved there. If you go listen to the episodes, when we were 3-6 he predicted they would lose out. When we won and were 4-6, he predicted they would finish 6-6.
    That's Auburndoog territory right there.
  • Member Posts: 30
    edited October 2014
    Of the last 11 years, this is UW's best chance to win. OR's Oline is beat up, WA's D line is big and strong. UW's O isn't very good, but Oregon's D is worse than it has been in all 11 meetings. Petersen is the best coach UW has had in the 11 meetings; OR has a new(er) HC, OC and DC.... OR lost at home to AZ...

    The spread is too high.
  • Member Posts: 39,680

    What about the I-405 bridge across the Willamette? I think that's a lot higher and more lethal.
  • Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,417 Founders Club

    I think UW is or two years away yet. After that, the tables will be turned. Oregon is on its way to down. Not to the level they were, but will be down quite a bit.

    Talking about the ten wins in a row a false narrative. It doesn't tell the whole story. UW went through the worst stretch in their history while Oregon went though it's best. The odds of that happening were low and even lower in the future. Shit, most teams had a several game win streak going against UW, it wasn't that hard. Add to that Oregon was beating everyone. I think they have a 10-2 record against UCLA since 2000. In 2006 and 2007 Oregon was average. But UW sucked ass. In the Sark years, UW was average, but Oregon was at the top of their game. It's been a while since both teams were either both petty good, or pretty shitty at the same time.
    Awesome. 2243 is going to be special.
  • Member Posts: 5,479

    image

    Whooshed me. WTF is that guy and what is the reference?
  • Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,673 Founders Club

    Race deserves credit, but there's a little myth involved there. If you go listen to the episodes, when we were 3-6 he predicted they would lose out. When we won and were 4-6, he predicted they would finish 6-6.
    I have no idea what I said on any pod cast
  • Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,673 Founders Club

    Whooshed me. WTF is that guy and what is the reference?
    Ben Crenshaw captain of the 99 Ryder Cup team the night before USA overcame a 10-6 deficit
  • Member Posts: 289
    I'm sick of this "We'll get them next year" shit. 31-28 Dawgs.
  • Member Posts: 4,622
    edited October 2014

    I think UW is or two years away yet. After that, the tables will be turned. Oregon is on its way to down. Not to the level they were, but will be down quite a bit.

    Talking about the ten wins in a row a false narrative. It doesn't tell the whole story. UW went through the worst stretch in their history while Oregon went though it's best. The odds of that happening were low and even lower in the future. Shit, most teams had a several game win streak going against UW, it wasn't that hard. Add to that Oregon was beating everyone. I think they have a 10-2 record against UCLA since 2000. In 2006 and 2007 Oregon was average. But UW sucked ass. In the Sark years, UW was average, but Oregon was at the top of their game. It's been a while since both teams were either both petty good, or pretty shitty at the same time.
    Hilarious, and pathetic. It's like the Germans bragging about the 20-something days they pulverized the Allies in the Ardennes during the Battle of the Bulge. Congratulations, dipshits. But what happened before and after?

    Also, I don't remember UW fans gloating when the Huskies had beaten cal 20 years in a row.

    The little brother syndrome is alive and well.
  • Member Posts: 3,254
    edited October 2014
    Dawgs hole Fucks under 21.


    Defense scores 7. Ross scores 7. Manufacture another 10.

    24-20.
  • Member Posts: 596
    Mariota shreds us again and homefield plays a big factor. Competent coaching keeps us away from the plunger , but I think we're looking at 34-20 UO.
  • Member Posts: 25,569 Standard Supporter
    I really hope we win this year for all the obvious reasons, but also because the nerd students will rush the field like we won the NC if it happens next year.
  • Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    kh83 said:

    Mariota shreds us again and homefield plays a big factor. Competent coaching keeps us away from the plunger , but I think we're looking at 34-20 UO.

    image
  • Member Posts: 7,839
    Oregon has outstanding talent, the key to their game is timing and schemes, which lead to big plays.

    Washington has talent, last year they handled Arizona and played Stanford to the gun. Both those teams beat Oregon with superior coaching and talent equal to or below Washington.

    Discipline and execution is the key to the game. My only fear in this game is if there is still some stark skank left on the team.

    I'm holding strong at Washington 24-20 ... stopping a last minute drive similar to the NFC Championship game.
  • Member Posts: 184
    Talent disparity still huge. Peterson outcoached in every facet.

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