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Danger Scale 10

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  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,028
    RaceBannon said:

    I predicted both teams to win

    I like to do that

    Yes, I know, and you get away with it. As for me and my bold and @ballz -ie prediction? I almost got Kane-hall'd again by kingdomeurinals and one or two other Hitler utes.

    @YellowSnow
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    Utah 9.0
    OSU 6.5 (+1.5)

    Too many unknowns. Utah’s danger scale inches towards a “likely defeat” for the Oregon Ducks. An available Bo Nixed brings the model down to an 8. Watch this space for updates.

    OSU moves up to a 6.5. An available Nixed moves the model to a road danger scale of a 6.
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,745 Founders Club
    I think the reverse jinx comes into play for Mighty Oregon this week

    No Bo no chance and on and on. My ducks take it personally and beat the UTES
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  • BennyBeaver
    BennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    I like the Fighting Whittinghams in this one.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    RaceBannon said:

    I think the reverse jinx comes into play for Mighty Oregon this week

    No Bo no chance and on and on. My ducks take it personally and beat the UTES

    I can’t do this, this week.
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  • 46XiJCAB
    46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    RaceBannon said:

    After all the malarkey and triple reverse double jinxes it was when I heard that Lanning pumped BDTW into practice and called it a big game that I thought UW had a shot

    Sure.
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  • 46XiJCAB
    46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    Bo plays they win rather easily. If it’s T. Portal not a chance because this game will require the completion of a forward pass. Something Portal can’t do.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

    We’re hearing things. Danger scale Utah vs Oregon men’s football game update running the new model:

    “This one goes to 11”

    🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨
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  • TheHB
    TheHB Member Posts: 6,457
    46XiJCAB said:

    Bo plays they win rather easily. If it’s T. Portal not a chance because this game will require the completion of a forward pass. Something Portal can’t do.

    Sure
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 113,745 Founders Club
    RaceBannon said:

    I think the reverse jinx comes into play for Mighty Oregon this week

    No Bo no chance and on and on. My ducks take it personally and beat the UTES


    dialed in
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  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,028
    RaceBannon said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I think the reverse jinx comes into play for Mighty Oregon this week

    No Bo no chance and on and on. My ducks take it personally and beat the UTES


    dialed in
    Basically beat them with Bo impersonating a pocket passer. IOW, defense showed up.

    It was stunning how much not having the threat of Nix running stifled their? running game.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    creepycoug said:

    RaceBannon said:

    RaceBannon said:

    I think the reverse jinx comes into play for Mighty Oregon this week

    No Bo no chance and on and on. My ducks take it personally and beat the UTES


    dialed in
    Basically beat them with Bo impersonating a pocket passer. IOW, defense showed up.

    It was stunning how much not having the threat of Nix running stifled their? running game.
    And missing two starting O-linemen, but still.
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  • 46XiJCAB
    46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.
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  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,673 Swaye's Wigwam
    46XiJCAB said:

    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.

    I've been curious about OSU - UO matchup since UW played beavis. I wanted to know if they could contain an offense with both a good running game, mobile QB, and downfield passing threat.

    My guess was that no, they couldn't, but Nix being hobbled kind of wrecks it for me.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    46XiJCAB said:

    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.

    chuck said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.

    I've been curious about OSU - UO matchup since UW played beavis. I wanted to know if they could contain an offense with both a good running game, mobile QB, and downfield passing threat.

    My guess was that no, they couldn't, but Nix being hobbled kind of wrecks it for me.
    The Danger Scales don’t care about your opinion.
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  • 46XiJCAB
    46XiJCAB Member Posts: 20,967
    chuck said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.

    I've been curious about OSU - UO matchup since UW played beavis. I wanted to know if they could contain an offense with both a good running game, mobile QB, and downfield passing threat.

    My guess was that no, they couldn't, but Nix being hobbled kind of wrecks it for me.
    They did a nice job on SC for 58 minutes. Then Williams and Addison bit them in the ass for the game winner.
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  • chuck
    chuck Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 11,673 Swaye's Wigwam
    MikeSeaver said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.

    chuck said:

    46XiJCAB said:

    OSU is a solid 5. Still searching for that signature win this year to go along with their signature losses to every team played worth a shit.

    I've been curious about OSU - UO matchup since UW played beavis. I wanted to know if they could contain an offense with both a good running game, mobile QB, and downfield passing threat.

    My guess was that no, they couldn't, but Nix being hobbled kind of wrecks it for me.
    The Danger Scales don’t care about your opinion.
    The what?

    I thought this was the civil war game thread.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    Updated model 7:18 am Pacific November 24, 2022

    OSU: 6 (Even)

    No movement this week in the final Danger Scale of the regular season. OSU recorded a 6 last week with Oregon QB Bo Nixed availability in question for the remainder of the season. Oregon State has remained in the “possible upset +” category with the game in Corvallis and the the tendency for odd results on Reaser logo field. Running a secondary model, this game is a Danger Scale 4 at Autzen so we can see the affect Corvallis has on the model.

    Key data points:
    -You can’t even throw the records out at 9-2 & 8-3
    -Health uncertainty
    -History of odd results in Pullman with an OSU tendency of “Sticking Around” or what the model indicates as “Late Recovery Margins” in this series at home.
    -The model sees a new Oregon tendency of “Outside Maneuvers” also know as “Unnecessary Self Trauma Actions”
    -OSU is a Justin Wilcox fever dream. Cal makes teams look like shit, OSU does an even better job of it.
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  • BennyBeaver
    BennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    *Reser
    *Pullman

    A couple of key input errors into the analysis call the whole process into question.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    BennyBeaver said:

    *Reser
    *Pullman

    A couple of key input errors into the analysis call the whole process into question.

    Model*

    Don’t shoot the messenger.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

    Danger scale update alert

    OSU: 7

    (Strong upset possibility)

    This is now a more dangerous game than when Oregon kicked off against UW.


    🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    I see Vegas is now using the Danger Scale 10.
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  • BennyBeaver
    BennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    Did the model factor in the fog and power outage in Corvallis this am?
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    BennyBeaver said:

    Did the model factor in the fog and power outage in Corvallis this am?

    We’re on it. Lots of noise this morning.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    Danger Scale 10 moved the line 4.5 towards the Beavs this morning.

    We’re appreciative of all the support this year on our little experiment, thanks guys.
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  • MikeSeaver
    MikeSeaver Member Posts: 5,800
    edited November 2022
    MikeSeaver said:



    Key data points:
    -You can’t even throw the records out at 9-2 & 8-3
    -Health uncertainty
    -History of odd results in Pullman with an OSU tendency of “Sticking Around” or what the model indicates as “Late Recovery Margins” in this series at home.
    -The model sees a new Oregon tendency of “Outside Maneuvers” also know as “Unnecessary Self Trauma Actions”
    -OSU is a Justin Wilcox fever dream. Cal makes teams look like shit, OSU does an even better job of it.

    Danger Scales dialed the fuck in.
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