Danger Scale 10
Cal: 3
CU: 1
Harvard: 5
Utah: 8
OSU: 5.5
You can post your own Danger Scales (TM) here but mine will remain the official and I will update along the way as I see necessary.
Comments
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Rhis is a new thing for me, but I like Harvard over OSU.
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If the Ducks beat UCLA they are going to lose to Cal in a major letdown game. Cook it.
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Disagree but Cal did get a bump from a 1.5 to a 3 as we were putting the model together because of the possible letdown factor.BleachedAnusDawg said:If the Ducks beat UCLA they are going to lose to Cal in a major letdown game. Cook it.
Their Danger Scale 10 (TM) rating did increase in our model but not enough to become a legitimate upset candidate.
I should add the “legitimate upset candidate” grading starts at a 5. -
Thank you, Scooby.chuck said:Rhis is a new thing for me, but I like Harvard over OSU.
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Lol fuck off. Typing us hard.MikeSeaver said:
Thank you, Scooby.chuck said:Rhis is a new thing for me, but I like Harvard over OSU.
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This is why you are the king of thread views.MikeSeaver said:UCLA: 7.25
Cal: 3
CU: 1
Harvard: 5
Utah: 8
OSU: 5.5
You can post your own Danger Scales (TM) here but mine will remain the official and I will update along the way as I see necessary. -
That would normally be a good hot take, but Cal is truly fucking dreadful this year, even by their standards. Oregon would have to want to lose that game on purpose I'm afraid.BleachedAnusDawg said:If the Ducks beat UCLA they are going to lose to Cal in a major letdown game. Cook it.
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Oregon will beat Ucla
Not a sandbag or reverse voodoo
Over 20 years Oregon rarely loses games we? think or want them to
This is one of them
Just hoping for a dirty game and lots of injuries -
Which games did you want them to win? They certainly lost the two biggest game you ever wanted them to.RaceBannon said:Oregon will beat Ucla
Not a sandbag or reverse voodoo
Over 20 years Oregon rarely loses games we? think or want them to
This is one of them
Just hoping for a dirty game and lots of injuries
Tomorrows game reminds me of when they used to lose to Cal in the mid oughts. Has that feeling to me. -
I was unclear I guess. I never want them to win anything. I'm saying like Ohio State last year. Sure loss. No chanceMikeSeaver said:
Which games did you want them to win? They certainly lost the two biggest game you ever wanted them to.RaceBannon said:Oregon will beat Ucla
Not a sandbag or reverse voodoo
Over 20 years Oregon rarely loses games we? think or want them to
This is one of them
Just hoping for a dirty game and lots of injuries
Tomorrows game reminds me of when they used to lose to Cal in the mid oughts. Has that feeling to me.
And they win
They lose weird games like Arizona or Stanford. Not games like this Ucla game -
No way. They beat UCLA the aren't losing to Cal. The swarthy Cuban is right, Cal is awful this year.BleachedAnusDawg said:If the Ducks beat UCLA they are going to lose to Cal in a major letdown game. Cook it.
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Really great addition to this thread. Great work. Makes a lot of sense to stick this in here. Amazing stuff.HuskyJW said:
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Danger Scale 10 updated model
Cal: 2.5 (-.5)
CU: 1
MIT: 5
Utah: 7.5 (-.5)
OSU: 6 (+.5) (This is a GOOD Cal team) -
Looks like MIT has a shot. The players will be breaking down the probabilities at math lab today
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MIT sitting there looking like your UofA’s, your ASU’s your off year Stanfords. The model is reading and it comes at a point in the schedule where Oregon gets bit.RaceBannon said:Looks like MIT has a shot. The players will be breaking down the probabilities at math lab today
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If this game isn't decided by halftime that's a 1/2 win for Cal. And I hear 1/2 of anything is a big deal.
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ISWYDT46XiJCAB said:If this game isn't decided by halftime that's a 1/2 win for Cal. And I hear 1/2 of anything is a big deal.
@RaceBannon ? Rebuttal? -
Jealouscreepycoug said:
ISWYDT46XiJCAB said:If this game isn't decided by halftime that's a 1/2 win for Cal. And I hear 1/2 of anything is a big deal.
@RaceBannon ? Rebuttal?
Just
Jealous -
I'm hearing the Canes have 4 and a half
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Send Art The Clown at whoever thought this thread was a good idea.
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Let me run the numbers.RaceBannon said:I'm hearing the Canes have 4 and a half
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Updated model:
CU: .5 (-.5)
Brown: 5.5 (+.5)
Utah: 7 (-.5)
OSU: 6
Ran the numbers on the Cains per a request. Neutral site comparison on a dry field: 2
Happy to run hypothetical games through the model.
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Cambridge: 6 (+5)
Utah: 7.5 (+5)
OSU: 5 (-1)
The model seems to suggest there is quite a bit of danger Oregon splits on the next two games.
This week we’re seeing a lot of “All the pressure is on Oregon” data points along with “So many times the underdog has won in college football.” The model also suggests “This time Cambridge won’t play scared.” This led to a jump late last night of +.5 danger for the gentle Englishmen.
Utah remains the main threat to derailing Oregons playoff hopes adding a +.5 to their scale equaling their highest danger scale level this season. If Oregon defeats the academic giants of Europe this week, the model seems to suggest Utah may hit their all time high danger scale rating next week as Oregon “Always loses one in November, don’t they?” We’ll just have to wait on the outcome of this weeks game to find out.
Finally we saw OSU take a hit in their danger scale (-1) after the model noticed they never beat Oregon home or away when Oregon is anything close to good. (Modeling a 9 and 10 win Oregon) They do, just slightly, remain in the “possible upset” category.
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Oregon won't lose to Utah for a third time in a row. The loss IMO will be to the Chipster in the CCG. Maximum pain
The case for Harvard
Heisman talk
Playoff talk
Piping in Bow Down to Washington
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They always lose one, right about now didn’t make your list?RaceBannon said:Oregon won't lose to Utah for a third time in a row. The loss IMO will be to the Chipster in the CCG. Maximum pain
The case for Harvard
Heisman talk
Playoff talk
Piping in Bow Down to Washington
Should have been #1 -
After all the malarkey and triple reverse double jinxes it was when I heard that Lanning pumped BDTW into practice and called it a big game that I thought UW had a shot
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All I remember were a bunch of DWAGs already bent over with a handful of vaseline applied to their ass cracks calling the plunger, and those were the brave ones. Fudgie and some others wouldn't post. They just wouldn't.RaceBannon said:After all the malarkey and triple reverse double jinxes it was when I heard that Lanning pumped BDTW into practice and called it a big game that I thought UW had a shot
There were a few sage posters who predicted a close game from the beginning.
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I predicted both teams to win
I like to do that
