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A Favor to Ask of @Pawz ... May We Have a Real Estate Fupdate??

245

Comments

  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 116,018 Founders Club

    I’m rich biatch for selling NE Seattle!!! But still that house has only increased since I sold.

    I think about it this way: if, in the middle of all this shit, houses in the city have continued to appreciate, then what's gonna happen when the sun comes back out, and people are boating in Lake Union and things return to normal?
    Look ese, I was long Seattle single family when I sold in spite of all the bull shit. There’s no land to build on and too many high paying jerbs. The idea that Seattle real estate is gonna collapse is something for Tug fetishers.

    All that being said, I think zoom town RE outpaces SFO, PDX and SEA over the next few years.
    Its still relative. Our Seattle home dropped 200k in value between 05 and 07

    Then came back the last decade

    Location is still location but until the weight of rent failures and mortgage defaults is known we don't know

    High end in top coastal areas will always have value because the buyer pool is world wide

    I didn't imagine thousands of abandoned homes in burbs at the last crash. An entire industry sprung up

    Politicians are of course in safe areas
  • BleachedAnusDawg
    BleachedAnusDawg Member Posts: 13,869 Standard Supporter

    I’m rich biatch for selling NE Seattle!!! But still that house has only increased since I sold.

    I think about it this way: if, in the middle of all this shit, houses in the city have continued to appreciate, then what's gonna happen when the sun comes back out, and people are boating in Lake Union and things return to normal?
    Look ese, I was long Seattle single family when I sold in spite of all the bull shit. There’s no land to build on and too many high paying jerbs. The idea that Seattle real estate is gonna collapse is something for Tug fetishers.

    All that being said, I think zoom town RE outpaces SFO, PDX and SEA over the next few years.
    Its still relative. Our Seattle home dropped 200k in value between 05 and 07

    Then came back the last decade

    Location is still location but until the weight of rent failures and mortgage defaults is known we don't know

    High end in top coastal areas will always have value because the buyer pool is world wide

    I didn't imagine thousands of abandoned homes in burbs at the last crash. An entire industry sprung up

    Politicians are of course in safe areas
    This is it for me. I would, however, tell anyone listening to absolutely not buy real estate in Seattle if it's an investment property. The regulatory burdens and associated risk are not worth the returns. You can make that money in most areas of Puget Sound.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,850 Founders Club
    edited January 2021

    I’m rich biatch for selling NE Seattle!!! But still that house has only increased since I sold.

    I think about it this way: if, in the middle of all this shit, houses in the city have continued to appreciate, then what's gonna happen when the sun comes back out, and people are boating in Lake Union and things return to normal?
    Look ese, I was long Seattle single family when I sold in spite of all the bull shit. There’s no land to build on and too many high paying jerbs. The idea that Seattle real estate is gonna collapse is something for Tug fetishers.

    All that being said, I think zoom town RE outpaces SFO, PDX and SEA over the next few years.
    Its still relative. Our Seattle home dropped 200k in value between 05 and 07

    Then came back the last decade

    Location is still location but until the weight of rent failures and mortgage defaults is known we don't know

    High end in top coastal areas will always have value because the buyer pool is world wide

    I didn't imagine thousands of abandoned homes in burbs at the last crash. An entire industry sprung up

    Politicians are of course in safe areas
    Fair points. My two cents...

    I don’t know what percentage of single family in Seattle are owner occupied vs rentals. Also not all renters are equal right? We could have rented our home for between $3000 and $3500 a month. Renters with that kind of income probably haven’t lost their jobs due to Covid lockdowns. Apartments, are a whole different type of ball game.

    I would also imagine borrowers who bought in Seattle after the crash are better qualified than those prior to 2008.

    Finally, Amazon is really the game changer in Seattle and they weren’t the 3rd most valuable company in the world in 2008. Shit, they still officed up in some Art Deco building on Beacon Hill in them days.
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,380
    USMChawk said:

    USMChawk said:

    USMChawk said:

    I’m rich biatch for selling NE Seattle!!! But still that house has only increased since I sold.

    I had a nice bidding war that is paying for half the cost of this hole in my backyard



    Did you finally leave the north end? The state?
    Yup. Moved to AZ back in July.
    Congrats. How do you like to so far? I’ll
    bet you like it quite a lot right about now eh??

    Any other places you considered? All western US?

    That’ll be a nice pool.
    We really like all the sunshine and the neighborhood will be great once it’s completed. We’re the third family to move into our new development so we’ve put up with a lot of construction. It’ll probably be another year before it’s completed, and it can be aggravating (two flat tires so far), but I look at it as the cost of appreciation. The new homes are already selling for almost a $100k more than what we paid.

    I work from home so all I needed was reliable internet. I’m not a humidity fan so that eliminated two thirds of the country. Honestly, Southern California’s climate would have been perfect if it wasn’t for the politics and high taxes. Plus I’d have to sell most of my guns and magazines. We drove through Boise and Twin Falls on the way here and I really liked what I saw. That was in the summer though. I do miss the green of the NW but not all the rain it takes to keep it that way. I won’t get to ski this year but that’s more from the Covid restrictions than the move.

    Here’s a rendering of the completed pool. If you squint you can see the two barstools next to the stairs, facing the TV wall That’s where I plan to watch a lot of football.



    Very nice man. Very nice.
  • Fishpo31
    Fishpo31 Member Posts: 2,682
    We got burned in 2008, had four rentals (all in Seattle) and had to dump them, including our newly-remodeled house. After hunkering down for several years, we moved, got a much better house (for same mortgage), and got back into the rental game again. NOT in Seattle...
  • creepycoug
    creepycoug Member Posts: 24,380
    Fishpo31 said:

    We got burned in 2008, had four rentals (all in Seattle) and had to dump them, including our newly-remodeled house. After hunkering down for several years, we moved, got a much better house (for same mortgage), and got back into the rental game again. NOT in Seattle...

    Makes sense, and glad to hear you recovered. Is the notion that rents in Seattle are volatile? Or is it that underlying value is volatile? Because I gotta say, I've not seen prices drop in Seattle, ever, since I moved up here in 87.