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  • PurpleBaze
    PurpleBaze Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 30,309 Founders Club
  • HuskyJW
    HuskyJW Member Posts: 15,265
    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough
  • ntxduck
    ntxduck Member Posts: 6,116



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or ASU in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Depends who else loses. A 1 loss Clemson, osu, Oklahoma, or sec west rep would get in over any 1 loss pac12 team. So the pac12 would need one of those above 4 to lose twice.
  • BennyBeaver
    BennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    There will be many tears in Mudville when the Beavs SHOCK the Huskys.
  • whlinder
    whlinder Member Posts: 5,266
    It's funny how the teams ranked at the top have lower odds of winning their conference than making the playoff. Which does make sense, only 1 SEC team can win the conference but 2 (or more!) could make the playoff.
  • Laocoön
    Laocoön Member Posts: 529
    edited October 2019



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or UTAH in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Fixed! Very hurtful to @89ute to not include his Yoots! Plus, the chances of a rematch with ASU are pretty much zilch.

  • Ice_Holmvik
    Ice_Holmvik Member Posts: 2,912

    ntxduck said:



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or ASU in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Depends who else loses. A 1 loss Clemson, osu, Oklahoma, or sec west rep would get in over any 1 loss pac12 team. So the pac12 would need one of those above 4 to lose twice.
    We can all agree that 1 loss Clemson, tOSU, OU, are assured to get in. 1 loss Notre Dame most likely. But where it gets murky to a 1 loss non SEC champ vs 1 loss Pac Champ Oregon or Washington. We also know that, historically speaking, chaos is still likely an you it's long odds to see like 4 or 5 12-1 or 11-1 teams log jammed.


    "Log Jammin!!!"
  • DerekJohnson
    DerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 68,280 Founders Club

    There will be many tears in Mudville when the Beavs SHOCK the Huskys.

    2037 will be special?
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696
    Laocoön said:



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or UTAH in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Fixed! Very hurtful to @89ute to not include his Yoots! Plus, the chances of a rematch with ASU are pretty much zilch.

    Bullshit. @puppylove_sugarsteel has your Dwags seeking REVENGE in that rematch!
  • RoadDawg55
    RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,127
    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    10% seems right. If we won out we would probably make it. We won’t tho. We will lose at least one more, probably 2.
  • godawgst
    godawgst Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 2,552 Swaye's Wigwam
    1) No Pac-12 is going undefeated the rest of the way including us but even if they did

    2) A one loss Georgia/LSU/Bama/Penn State/Oklahoma/Notre Dame/Clemson/Penn State/Wisconsin/Auburn all get in over any Pac-12 team with a loss.

    Granted several teams still have to play each other along the way, but the odds that 7 of the above will have the necessary 2 losses to be leap frogged by a one loss Pac-12 team are not good.
  • Emoterman
    Emoterman Member Posts: 3,333
    godawgst said:

    1) No Pac-12 is going undefeated the rest of the way including us but even if they did

    2) A one loss Georgia/LSU/Bama/Penn State/Oklahoma/Notre Dame/Clemson/Penn State/Wisconsin/Auburn all get in over any Pac-12 team with a loss.

    Granted several teams still have to play each other along the way, but the odds that 7 of the above will have the necessary 2 losses to be leap frogged by a one loss Pac-12 team are not good.

    Say.............. 10%?
  • BennyBeaver
    BennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    edited October 2019

    There will be many tears in Mudville when the Beavs SHOCK the Huskys.


    That's some dark shit dude, not sure I want to even post here anymore.
    Do you have any idea how important the furry beav was the the economy of the Republic in the first half of the 19th century?


    It’s estimated there were 400 million Beavers in North America before the white man came and attempted speciecide.

    https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-wild/id1455418690?i=1000436128707


    https://www.amazon.com/dp/160358739X/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_awdb_t1_NpeMDb5CHM1CE
  • 1to392831weretaken
    1to392831weretaken Member Posts: 7,696

    There will be many tears in Mudville when the Beavs SHOCK the Huskys.


    That's some dark shit dude, not sure I want to even post here anymore.
    Do you have any idea how important the furry beav was the the economy of the Republic in the first half of the 19th century?


    It’s estimated there were 400 million Beavers in North America before the white man came and attempted speciecide.

    https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-wild/id1455418690?i=1000436128707


    https://www.amazon.com/dp/160358739X/ref=cm_sw_r_cp_awdb_t1_NpeMDb5CHM1CE
    About three blocks from my house is Whatcom Falls, city park and tourist spot (neat waterfalls, I guess). There's a pond in the park that's stocked with trout for kids to fish in, and I take the kids down five or six times per summer. If you go upstream from the pond a little, the fishing's better. Not only that, but you basically find yourself in this nature wonderland right in town: You can catch a trout, toss it up in the air to the two big blue heron that hang out above you waiting to be fed. Meanwhile, there are three beaver who live right there on that stretch of the creek, and they're always busy doing beaver things, sometimes six feet in front of you. Worth a short walk down the hill.

    /csb
  • PurpleBaze
    PurpleBaze Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 30,309 Founders Club
    I like beaver things.