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Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
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  • PurpleBazePurpleBaze Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 29,764 Founders Club
  • HuskyJWHuskyJW Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 14,344 Swaye's Wigwam
    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough
  • ntxduckntxduck Member Posts: 5,596



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or ASU in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Depends who else loses. A 1 loss Clemson, osu, Oklahoma, or sec west rep would get in over any 1 loss pac12 team. So the pac12 would need one of those above 4 to lose twice.
  • BennyBeaverBennyBeaver Member Posts: 13,346
    There will be many tears in Mudville when the Beavs SHOCK the Huskys.
  • whlinderwhlinder Member Posts: 4,616 Standard Supporter
    It's funny how the teams ranked at the top have lower odds of winning their conference than making the playoff. Which does make sense, only 1 SEC team can win the conference but 2 (or more!) could make the playoff.
  • LaocoönLaocoön Member Posts: 529
    edited October 2019



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or UTAH in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Fixed! Very hurtful to @89ute to not include his Yoots! Plus, the chances of a rematch with ASU are pretty much zilch.

  • Ice_HolmvikIce_Holmvik Member Posts: 2,912

    ntxduck said:



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or ASU in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Depends who else loses. A 1 loss Clemson, osu, Oklahoma, or sec west rep would get in over any 1 loss pac12 team. So the pac12 would need one of those above 4 to lose twice.
    We can all agree that 1 loss Clemson, tOSU, OU, are assured to get in. 1 loss Notre Dame most likely. But where it gets murky to a 1 loss non SEC champ vs 1 loss Pac Champ Oregon or Washington. We also know that, historically speaking, chaos is still likely an you it's long odds to see like 4 or 5 12-1 or 11-1 teams log jammed.


    "Log Jammin!!!"
  • DerekJohnsonDerekJohnson Administrator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 62,527 Founders Club

    There will be many tears in Mudville when the Beavs SHOCK the Huskys.

    2037 will be special?
  • 1to392831weretaken1to392831weretaken Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 7,539 Swaye's Wigwam
    Laocoön said:



    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    Not necessarily when you think about it. I think it's just about right. If we beat Oregon at home it means we are likely good enough to run the table through the Pac 12 title game. We'd have 3 quality top 25 wins over USC, Oregon and Utah, plus a rematch with a ranked USC or UTAH in the title game. 12-1 Washington with 1 flukey weather delay loss would be hard to keep out.

    BONEM
    Fixed! Very hurtful to @89ute to not include his Yoots! Plus, the chances of a rematch with ASU are pretty much zilch.

    Bullshit. @puppylove_sugarsteel has your Dwags seeking REVENGE in that rematch!
  • RoadDawg55RoadDawg55 Member Posts: 30,123
    HuskyJW said:

    10% seems really high

    And do we want a Pac 12 team in the playoff? Our reputation is bad enough

    10% seems right. If we won out we would probably make it. We won’t tho. We will lose at least one more, probably 2.
  • godawgstgodawgst Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 2,451 Founders Club
    1) No Pac-12 is going undefeated the rest of the way including us but even if they did

    2) A one loss Georgia/LSU/Bama/Penn State/Oklahoma/Notre Dame/Clemson/Penn State/Wisconsin/Auburn all get in over any Pac-12 team with a loss.

    Granted several teams still have to play each other along the way, but the odds that 7 of the above will have the necessary 2 losses to be leap frogged by a one loss Pac-12 team are not good.
  • EmotermanEmoterman Member Posts: 3,333
    godawgst said:

    1) No Pac-12 is going undefeated the rest of the way including us but even if they did

    2) A one loss Georgia/LSU/Bama/Penn State/Oklahoma/Notre Dame/Clemson/Penn State/Wisconsin/Auburn all get in over any Pac-12 team with a loss.

    Granted several teams still have to play each other along the way, but the odds that 7 of the above will have the necessary 2 losses to be leap frogged by a one loss Pac-12 team are not good.

    Say.............. 10%?
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