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ELECTION GAME THREAD

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  • EsophagealFeces
    EsophagealFeces Member Posts: 13,443
    Dude61 said:

    Fuck. That. Guy.
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  • NorthwestFresh
    NorthwestFresh Member Posts: 7,972
    PurpleThrobber said:

    Biden down 18 points in Lackawanna County, PA. Bidens hometown of Scranton is in Lackawanna County

    Erie County, PA which Trump won by 2 points in 2016. He’s up 20 points right now.

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  • PurpleThrobber
    PurpleThrobber Member Posts: 48,813 Standard Supporter
    NorthwestFresh said:

    PurpleThrobber said:

    Biden down 18 points in Lackawanna County, PA. Bidens hometown of Scranton is in Lackawanna County

    Erie County, PA which Trump won by 2 points in 2016. He’s up 20 points right now.

    You heard it from the Throbber first!

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  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,259
    Teq's thoughts at 7:30 pm on Election Night

    Florida

    This one is an absolute lock - Trump picking up a ton of latino votes ... it was massively under reported the aversion that those of a Cuban and Latin American heritage have with socialist regimes given their direct experience. For as much as the Democrats are moving to the left, the odds that they have effectively lost the State of Florida for the foreseeable future I think is worth watching as we move into 2024.

    Texas

    I'll give it up to the Fox News coverage on their big board at really digging into the counties and with Biden's early lead there ... was it possible that #TheScript was flipped? Nope ... all the early voting was in Dallas, Austin, San Antonio, and Houston. All of the vote out in West/East Texas that is almost entirely going to go towards Trump was still outstanding and Trump will still win in the 4-5% range.

    One word of advice to Texas and the Republican Party ... about time that the State works hard at developing strong Republican candidates going forward and reinvests efforts in the big cities of Texas before the population centers drive a flip blue. If the Republicans end up losing Texas, it's really hard to see where they can find the states to be relevant going forward.

    Between now and 2024 ... this needs to be a priority for the Republicans.

    Ohio

    This is one that really stood out to me and something to keep in mind. As the more rural areas and day of counts come in Ohio will remain in Trump's column. That's not a huge surprise given that it didn't even appear to be contested this time around. One thing that is standing out here is that the major suburbs, which was considered to be a potential weakness for Trump, has materialized. In the really close states this will be an important trend combined with higher turnout.

    North Carolina

    This one is going to be really close and what's likely going to be a big deciding factor will be the areas around Raleigh-Durham how much of that is turning more and more away from Trump (the suburban issue) and vote counts higher than in 2016. This one is going to be really close. I predicted that Biden was going to win North Carolina in my predictions and I definitely think at this point North Carolina is more likely to flip towards Biden than Georgia.

    Georgia

    Early numbers are looking good for Trump in Georgia with the caveat that there's a lot still outstanding in the greater Atlanta area. It's a strange state in the sense that it's one huge population that is blue and the rest of the state is red.

    Pennsylvania

    Get the popcorn ready ...

    Virginia

    I'm fascinated to see where this race ends up ... I expect Biden to still win but it's going to be close and come 2024 there's a decent chance Virginia moves into a toss up category. In 2016, Hillary won by 5% points. I expect it to be a 2-3% win this time around.
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  • theknowledge
    theknowledge Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 5,951 Founders Club
    RaceBannon said:

    Nate thought he could take on an 800 year old man and win

    Even though I was worried for the last few days, grocers usually align with ancient, monolithic humans. They tend to have their fingers on the pulse of historic ley lines.
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  • Sledog
    Sledog Member Posts: 38,788 Standard Supporter
    Vegas up to 91% on Trump
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