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ELECTION 2020 POLE
Comments
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TRUMP
49 states in 72NorthwestFresh said:I don’t know how much endorsements really mean but this seems like a positive.
H thinks that is a bad thing
Trump won't get more than 40 this time -
TRUMPRedRocket said:
This is what doesn't make sense about the 538 prediction. 538 gives Trump a 10% chance of winning BUT also says PENN is the tipping point state for either candidate. Polls still indicate a Biden lean in PENN but even Silver is saying that the state could be more of a toss up. Following 538's own logic Trump's chances should be way higher than 1 in 10.GrundleStiltzkin said:
Yep, the 10% is probably putting way too much weight on Georgia, Florida, Iowa and Texas being polled close as even or slightly in Biden’s favor. Would be shocked if Trump lost any of them. Take that premise out and it’s way more than 10%, probably more like 40%. You can say the odds of winning 3 coin flips in a row is 12.5% on the surface, but if the first 2 are a given as wins its 50% in reality.RedRocket said:
This is what doesn't make sense about the 538 prediction. 538 gives Trump a 10% chance of winning BUT also says PENN is the tipping point state for either candidate. Polls still indicate a Biden lean in PENN but even Silver is saying that the state could be more of a toss up. Following 538's own logic Trump's chances should be way higher than 1 in 10.GrundleStiltzkin said: -
BIDENNate Silver is an effing moron and Trump winning or losing on Tuesday doesn’t change that fact.
The idea people still take anything that clown says seriously blows my mind... -
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PGOS
Depends on how many ballots you think are outstanding.Sledog said: -
TRUMP
Watching tucker it seemed ~66% of requested ballots had been returned. However Ohio and N.C. have until 13th/14th to count them... what the fuckGrundleStiltzkin said:
Depends on how many ballots you think are outstanding.Sledog said: -
TRUMPHe’s not bought by globalists so they hate him.
He works for all of us to be better off and doesn’t say “Learn to Code” to blue-collar workers.
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TRUMPHard-hitting journalism by the CBS White House correspondent.
Huge scoop. It’s warmer in Miami than Michigan. Do these morons even leave their Georgetown condos?
