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Now Inslee Ducking Debates?

24

Comments

  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,259
    It’d be high comedy if Inslee didn’t debate and then lost

  • LebamDawg
    LebamDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,855 Swaye's Wigwam
    he could die and still win.



    but more people would feel better about him winning
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter

    Take all the screenshots you need. I think he actually could lose.

    First let's look at some recent results. Actually pretty close for the last 2 elections. I bet 9/10 folks don't even remember who he ran against in '16.





    No one like Culp has run in a long time. Huge wildcard. Pandemic. Huge Wildcard. Demotivated democrats since Biden is running. Wildcard. Racial Justice issues and the state's handling of it. Another wildcard.

    He's going to bring a lot of people out, as will Trump. People sick of the bullshit. Gonna be a squeaker.

    I admire a man with hope.

    I’m not terribly impressed so perhaps this colors my opinion: Crushed.
  • LebamDawg
    LebamDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 8,855 Swaye's Wigwam
    What else does Culp say about how to run a state? I am not a fan of Chinslee at all, but can a small town cop really get the people of this state to support him?

    All I have heard is "he won't debate me".

    I will probably vote for him because I refuse to vote for Chinslee.

    But I am not Seattle by 154 miles or so
  • I actually expected much better from Inslee in the primary. Lot of Culp (and Freed) signs in rural Washington, more than there are Trump signs imo.

    I agree the Republicans in Washington will probably be more energized, but still Inslee had >50% in the primary. If Culp runs a good campaign he could get within 5, won't win though.
  • MelloDawg
    MelloDawg Member Posts: 6,917

    Take all the screenshots you need. I think he actually could lose.

    First let's look at some recent results. Actually pretty close for the last 2 elections. I bet 9/10 folks don't even remember who he ran against in '16.





    No one like Culp has run in a long time. Huge wildcard. Pandemic. Huge Wildcard. Demotivated democrats since Biden is running. Wildcard. Racial Justice issues and the state's handling of it. Another wildcard.

    He's going to bring a lot of people out, as will Trump. People sick of the bullshit. Gonna be a squeaker.

    Bill Bryant was a Port of Seattle guy, McKenna was AG. People knew them. People now know Culp because he’s running against Inslee but that’s really all.

    Now, you go get yourself Dave Reichert and we’ll have a conversation here.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    Divided government would be a very good thing for the state. Culp not going to do it.
  • Tequilla
    Tequilla Member Posts: 20,259

    Take all the screenshots you need. I think he actually could lose.

    First let's look at some recent results. Actually pretty close for the last 2 elections. I bet 9/10 folks don't even remember who he ran against in '16.





    No one like Culp has run in a long time. Huge wildcard. Pandemic. Huge Wildcard. Demotivated democrats since Biden is running. Wildcard. Racial Justice issues and the state's handling of it. Another wildcard.

    He's going to bring a lot of people out, as will Trump. People sick of the bullshit. Gonna be a squeaker.

    The above tells me you can almost guarantee that a Republican candidate can get up to the 1.5M vote range.

    Democratic totals seem dependent upon energy levels. 2016 seems high given Washington one of the first “Never Trump” states.

    I think there are two main issues in 2020:

    1) Does Biden excite enough, or Trump drive enough hate, to have people hit the ballot box

    2) Has Inslee pissed off or fatigued enough people to get 100K people to change their vote?

    I can see why Inslee doesn’t want to debate ... he’s not operating from a position of strength