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OFFICIAL Biden-Harris Campaign Thread

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  • incremetal_progress
    incremetal_progress Member Posts: 358
    edited September 2020
    doogie said:

    You don’t believe the poll but you believe the poll. Got it.

    I don't believe Biden is gonna win the state in the end, but I do believe if fricking Rasmussen has Trump down 4 points in Ohio right now he is in trouble.
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  • incremetal_progress
    incremetal_progress Member Posts: 358
    RaceBannon said:

    Counter point

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/media-not-portraying-trumps-gains-mollie-hemingway

    The most recent Fox News poll in Wisconsin – conducted a week ago – indicated the former vice president with an 8-point lead over Trump among likely voters. An average of all the most recent public opinion surveys compiled by Real Car Politics shows a slightly closer contest, with Biden ahead of the president by 4.4 points.

    Clinton led Trump by 5.3 points according to Real Clear Politics Average in Wisconsin on this date four years ago. The final average on the eve of the 2016 election indicated Clinton topping Trump by 6.5 points – before Trump slightly edged the Democratic nominee by seven-tenths of a percent.



    Nobody

    Knows

    Nothing

    in 2016 the polls in Wisconsin, Michigan, etc. were consistently to the left of the national average by 2-3 points. They ended up being about 3 points to the right of the national average as Hillary won nationally by 2 and lost those Midwest states by 0-1%. Now the polls show about a 7-8 Biden lead so he's probably up 4-5 points in those states which is pretty much where the polls are.
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,482 Founders Club
    They were 6.5 points off the day before the election in Wisconsin
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  • Sledog
    Sledog Member Posts: 38,574 Standard Supporter


    Google and others stooping to new lows.
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  • greenblood
    greenblood Member Posts: 14,566
    edited September 2020
    incremetal_progress said:

    RaceBannon said:

    Counter point

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/media-not-portraying-trumps-gains-mollie-hemingway

    The most recent Fox News poll in Wisconsin – conducted a week ago – indicated the former vice president with an 8-point lead over Trump among likely voters. An average of all the most recent public opinion surveys compiled by Real Car Politics shows a slightly closer contest, with Biden ahead of the president by 4.4 points.

    Clinton led Trump by 5.3 points according to Real Clear Politics Average in Wisconsin on this date four years ago. The final average on the eve of the 2016 election indicated Clinton topping Trump by 6.5 points – before Trump slightly edged the Democratic nominee by seven-tenths of a percent.



    Nobody

    Knows

    Nothing

    in 2016 the polls in Wisconsin, Michigan, etc. were consistently to the left of the national average by 2-3 points. They ended up being about 3 points to the right of the national average as Hillary won nationally by 2 and lost those Midwest states by 0-1%. Now the polls show about a 7-8 Biden lead so he's probably up 4-5 points in those states which is pretty much where the polls are.
    The silent vote is larger this year than in 2016. Polls are meaningless in the volatile state we are in today. The polls are Trump’s floor not his actual number.
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  • pawz
    pawz Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 22,515 Founders Club
    greenblood said:

    incremetal_progress said:

    RaceBannon said:

    Counter point

    https://www.foxnews.com/politics/media-not-portraying-trumps-gains-mollie-hemingway

    The most recent Fox News poll in Wisconsin – conducted a week ago – indicated the former vice president with an 8-point lead over Trump among likely voters. An average of all the most recent public opinion surveys compiled by Real Car Politics shows a slightly closer contest, with Biden ahead of the president by 4.4 points.

    Clinton led Trump by 5.3 points according to Real Clear Politics Average in Wisconsin on this date four years ago. The final average on the eve of the 2016 election indicated Clinton topping Trump by 6.5 points – before Trump slightly edged the Democratic nominee by seven-tenths of a percent.



    Nobody

    Knows

    Nothing

    in 2016 the polls in Wisconsin, Michigan, etc. were consistently to the left of the national average by 2-3 points. They ended up being about 3 points to the right of the national average as Hillary won nationally by 2 and lost those Midwest states by 0-1%. Now the polls show about a 7-8 Biden lead so he's probably up 4-5 points in those states which is pretty much where the polls are.
    The silent vote is larger this year than in 2016. Polls are meaningless in the volatile state we are in today. The polls are Trump’s floor not his actual number.
    Fucking this.

    At least in Seattle, it's almost impossible to acknowledge a consideration, much less an affinity, for Trump.
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