Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.

I make spreadsheets ( Is this the flu? )

2

Comments

  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,386

    Hopefully

    Of course
  • HouhuskyHouhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    edited July 2020
    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

  • alumni94alumni94 Member Posts: 4,858
    edited July 2020
    Maybe someone did this and I didn't see it. If you apply the average amount of testing over the last week and apply that to history of the data we have, this is the "new cases" chart. Not so grim is it.

    data from here:

    https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus/country/united-states?country=~USA


  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 25,500 Swaye's Wigwam
    Clocks running out HH. Youre losing 34 to 17 with 81 seconds remaining. Looks to be a rather easy W for society and an L for you
  • PurpleThrobberPurpleThrobber Member Posts: 43,594 Standard Supporter

    Clocks running out HH. Youre losing 34 to 17 with 81 seconds remaining. Looks to be a rather easy W for society and an L for you

    The Dazzler is hoping for an assist from the Elam scoring method.

  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,386
    edited July 2020

    Clocks running out HH. Youre losing 34 to 17 with 81 seconds remaining. Looks to be a rather easy W for society and an L for you

    You obviously can't read a scoreboard.
  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,386
    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

    Your chart applies 12X to the country, not cherry picked locations.
  • NorthwestFreshNorthwestFresh Member Posts: 7,972
    32,000 dead already and placing sick people into homes is competent government.

    This data manipulation over this moderate virus has reached peaked stupid.

  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,386
    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

    Your chart applies 12X to the country, not cherry picked locations.
    Ah, yes, the independently collected multi state normalized data that maintain coalescence while being shown together by the CDC are "cherry picked"...

    How fucking retarded do you have to be to double down against what the CDC director is explicitly saying?

    "Our best estimate right now is that for every case that was reported, there actually were 10 other infections," Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, said during a call with reporters Thursday."

    NPR source: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/25/883520249/cdc-at-least-20-million-americans-have-had-coronavirus-heres-who-s-at-highest-ri

    Just admit you were uninformed
    "Redfield estimates that between 5% and 8% of the U.S. population has been exposed."

    Whether he's right or wrong, this doesn't support your argument which assumed that more than 11% of Americans have contracted Covid. Nor does his estimate of 20 million cases in late June support your claim from early June that the number was then 38 million--and you must think it's well over 50 million by now.

    Redfield's comments don't support anything you've said.

  • HouhuskyHouhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

    Your chart applies 12X to the country, not cherry picked locations.
    Ah, yes, the independently collected multi state normalized data that maintain coalescence while being shown together by the CDC are "cherry picked"...

    How fucking retarded do you have to be to double down against what the CDC director is explicitly saying?

    "Our best estimate right now is that for every case that was reported, there actually were 10 other infections," Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, said during a call with reporters Thursday."

    NPR source: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/25/883520249/cdc-at-least-20-million-americans-have-had-coronavirus-heres-who-s-at-highest-ri

    Just admit you were uninformed
    "Redfield estimates that between 5% and 8% of the U.S. population has been exposed."

    Whether he's right or wrong, this doesn't support your argument which assumed that more than 11% of Americans have contracted Covid. Nor does his estimate of 20 million cases in late June support your claim from early June that the number was then 38 million--and you must think it's well over 50 million by now.

    Redfield's comments don't support anything you've said.

    I like the part where you have jumped from excess deaths to actual cases vs confirmed cases to now total percentages of total population in the attempt to try and find a foothold for your dumbfuck position.

    You were wrong, just admit it
  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,386
    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

    Your chart applies 12X to the country, not cherry picked locations.
    Ah, yes, the independently collected multi state normalized data that maintain coalescence while being shown together by the CDC are "cherry picked"...

    How fucking retarded do you have to be to double down against what the CDC director is explicitly saying?

    "Our best estimate right now is that for every case that was reported, there actually were 10 other infections," Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, said during a call with reporters Thursday."

    NPR source: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/25/883520249/cdc-at-least-20-million-americans-have-had-coronavirus-heres-who-s-at-highest-ri

    Just admit you were uninformed
    "Redfield estimates that between 5% and 8% of the U.S. population has been exposed."

    Whether he's right or wrong, this doesn't support your argument which assumed that more than 11% of Americans have contracted Covid. Nor does his estimate of 20 million cases in late June support your claim from early June that the number was then 38 million--and you must think it's well over 50 million by now.

    Redfield's comments don't support anything you've said.

    I like the part where you have jumped from excess deaths to actual cases vs confirmed cases to now total percentages of total population in the attempt to try and find a foothold for your dumbfuck position.

    You were wrong, just admit it
    I can read your chart. Can you?
  • HouhuskyHouhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

    Your chart applies 12X to the country, not cherry picked locations.
    Ah, yes, the independently collected multi state normalized data that maintain coalescence while being shown together by the CDC are "cherry picked"...

    How fucking retarded do you have to be to double down against what the CDC director is explicitly saying?

    "Our best estimate right now is that for every case that was reported, there actually were 10 other infections," Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, said during a call with reporters Thursday."

    NPR source: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/25/883520249/cdc-at-least-20-million-americans-have-had-coronavirus-heres-who-s-at-highest-ri

    Just admit you were uninformed
    "Redfield estimates that between 5% and 8% of the U.S. population has been exposed."

    Whether he's right or wrong, this doesn't support your argument which assumed that more than 11% of Americans have contracted Covid. Nor does his estimate of 20 million cases in late June support your claim from early June that the number was then 38 million--and you must think it's well over 50 million by now.

    Redfield's comments don't support anything you've said.

    I like the part where you have jumped from excess deaths to actual cases vs confirmed cases to now total percentages of total population in the attempt to try and find a foothold for your dumbfuck position.

    You were wrong, just admit it
    I can read your chart. Can you?
    "And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis."

    Better tell the CDC and its director
  • PostGameOrangeSlicesPostGameOrangeSlices Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 25,500 Swaye's Wigwam
    HHusky said:

    Clocks running out HH. Youre losing 34 to 17 with 81 seconds remaining. Looks to be a rather easy W for society and an L for you

    You obviously can't read a scoreboard.
    Check the facts
  • MelloDawgMelloDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,527 Swaye's Wigwam
    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    Houhusky said:

    HHusky said:

    We had the seasonal flu this year in addition to the coronavirus. You all seem to forget that.

    Seems to oddly be a "light year" in terms of flu deaths...
    There was weekly excess deaths until there wasn't in June.

    Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.

    With people sheltering in place--voluntarily or involuntarily--you would expect deaths to be way down.

    And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.

    The fact that you havent "ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases." just shows how uninformed you are on the topic.

    The CDC has 6 different seroprevalance study locations and found actual cases were 6-24 times more than the confirmed cases... Its basically on the CDC front page...

    Western Washington; March 23-Apr 1: 11X Higher
    NYC Metro Region; March 23-Apr 1: 12X Higher
    South Florida; Apr 6-Apr10: 11X Higher
    Missouri; Apr 20-Apr26: 24X Higher
    Utah; Apr 20-May3: 11X Higher
    Connecticut; Apr26-May3: 6X Higher

    CDC Link: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/commercial-lab-surveys.html#washington

    Methodology Link: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.25.20140384v1.full.pdf

    Your chart applies 12X to the country, not cherry picked locations.
    Ah, yes, the independently collected multi state normalized data that maintain coalescence while being shown together by the CDC are "cherry picked"...

    How fucking retarded do you have to be to double down against what the CDC director is explicitly saying?

    "Our best estimate right now is that for every case that was reported, there actually were 10 other infections," Dr. Robert Redfield, the director of the CDC, said during a call with reporters Thursday."

    NPR source: https://www.npr.org/sections/coronavirus-live-updates/2020/06/25/883520249/cdc-at-least-20-million-americans-have-had-coronavirus-heres-who-s-at-highest-ri

    Just admit you were uninformed
    https://thehill.com/homenews/administration/507011-trump-retweets-game-show-host-who-said-cdc-is-lying-about-coronavirus

    I don't know, but we live in a world where Donald Trump is retweeting Chuck Woolery who is saying doctors are lying about pandemic numbers to purposely ruin the economy. What sort of prop bets could I have received on that 4 years ago? Either way, that can't sound smart.
  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 104,532 Founders Club
  • HHuskyHHusky Member Posts: 20,386

    HHusky said:

    Clocks running out HH. Youre losing 34 to 17 with 81 seconds remaining. Looks to be a rather easy W for society and an L for you

    You obviously can't read a scoreboard.
    Check the facts

  • RaceBannonRaceBannon Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 104,532 Founders Club
  • MelloDawgMelloDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 6,527 Swaye's Wigwam
    edited July 2020

    He's right

    If that’s the hill that supporters want to die on, then that’s ok. I admire their conviction. As long as you understand how that mindset is going to be portrayed.

    I don’t imagine the majority of Americans would agree with the idea that medical professionals are falsifying data to purposely ruin the economy to get Trump out of office and that anyone who doesn’t believe it is a sheep. That will always be seen as a lunatic fringe theory.
  • WestlinnDuckWestlinnDuck Member Posts: 15,038 Standard Supporter
    Just like you morons didn't believe that the CIA, DOJ, and FBI didn't collude to run a fake investigation of Trump for three years.
Sign In or Register to comment.