Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
I make spreadsheets ( Is this the flu? )
Flu Deaths source for 2018 - CDC
COVID-19 Deaths source for 2020 - Covid Tacking Project
For about 1/2 the states the COVID deaths would be a weak to average flu year.
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So, the data shows Dems love killing people and then blaming Republicans for it. News at 11.
Will be interesting to see what the total excess death was in a year or two.
Which illustrates the other problem with your chart. 2018 was higher than typical. But, again, we didn't trade the flu for coronavirus; we now have both.
And your chart is the only place I have ever seen anyone estimate that actual cases are 12 times confirmed cases. That seems more like wishful thinking than analysis.
The 30-40 somethings deaths in 2021 will be higher than 2020 though.