So the best part of the metrics chart is that 2 and 3 are the same metric ... just the inverse of each other
When you set the metrics at ceilings that realistically can’t reach ... tells me you aren’t that interested in “business as usual”
The reality is the 2nd chart actually shows a positive trend over time ... but the regression of that line to 50% will never get close before a vaccine and/or treatments render the metric insignificant
You're telling me that a 42 year old man was stricken with a mystery flu that put him in the hospital. While in the hospital they put him in the Covid ward and he still didn't contract the vid. What the actual fuck is going on?
Youre full of shit. Washington clinics are already starting to run short of PPE again.
What does running short of PPE have anything to do with the relatively low numbers of Covid patients in hospital beds?
Do you think that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator? In other words, as the cases increase, do you think that hospitalizations will as well? Seems to be a logical progression. I do know that hospitals in hot spots such as Houston are full to the point where they're booking adults into children's hospitals because the regular ones can't accommodate them.
Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
Youre full of shit. Washington clinics are already starting to run short of PPE again.
What does running short of PPE have anything to do with the relatively low numbers of Covid patients in hospital beds?
Do you think that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator? In other words, as the cases increase, do you think that hospitalizations will as well? Seems to be a logical progression. I do know that hospitals in hot spots such as Houston are full to the point where they're booking adults into children's hospitals because the regular ones can't accommodate them.
Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
Hospitalizations a lagging indicator of what? The ICU census and confirmed cases were highly coupled until the beginning of June, about 1 month ago.
As far as Houston or hospital capacity.... The rumors of the overflowing cordwood hospitals seem exaggerated...
"we want to reassure the public that this pandemic is not eclipsing our capabilities. Our hospitals have the ICU capacity, staff and supplies to meet the healthcare needs of our community. In addition, Texas hospitals continue to reserve 15 percent of capacity for COVID-19 patients and medical care continues to be routinely provided in inpatient and outpatient settings without taxing the overall hospitalization capacity."
Likewise Texas Medical official publication from yesterday showed plenty of manageable capacity available... The vast majority of the ICU beds are occupied by non Covid patients and "can be managed by appropriately transferring patients from ICU to medical/surgical beds"
You're telling me that a 42 year old man was stricken with a mystery flu that put him in the hospital. While in the hospital they put him in the Covid ward and he still didn't contract the vid. What the actual fuck is going on?
It’s almost as if other viruses still exist. Early on when the testing was actually testing people with symptoms, 90% were coming back negative, which implies that there is other crud out there still.
Youre full of shit. Washington clinics are already starting to run short of PPE again.
What does running short of PPE have anything to do with the relatively low numbers of Covid patients in hospital beds?
Do you think that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator? In other words, as the cases increase, do you think that hospitalizations will as well? Seems to be a logical progression. I do know that hospitals in hot spots such as Houston are full to the point where they're booking adults into children's hospitals because the regular ones can't accommodate them.
Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
Youre full of shit. Washington clinics are already starting to run short of PPE again.
What does running short of PPE have anything to do with the relatively low numbers of Covid patients in hospital beds?
Do you think that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator? In other words, as the cases increase, do you think that hospitalizations will as well? Seems to be a logical progression. I do know that hospitals in hot spots such as Houston are full to the point where they're booking adults into children's hospitals because the regular ones can't accommodate them.
Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
Hospitalizations a lagging indicator of what? The ICU census and confirmed cases were highly coupled until the beginning of June, about 1 month ago.
As far as Houston or hospital capacity.... The rumors of the overflowing cordwood hospitals seem exaggerated...
"we want to reassure the public that this pandemic is not eclipsing our capabilities. Our hospitals have the ICU capacity, staff and supplies to meet the healthcare needs of our community. In addition, Texas hospitals continue to reserve 15 percent of capacity for COVID-19 patients and medical care continues to be routinely provided in inpatient and outpatient settings without taxing the overall hospitalization capacity."
Likewise Texas Medical official publication from yesterday showed plenty of manageable capacity available... The vast majority of the ICU beds are occupied by non Covid patients and "can be managed by appropriately transferring patients from ICU to medical/surgical beds"
Youre full of shit. Washington clinics are already starting to run short of PPE again.
What does running short of PPE have anything to do with the relatively low numbers of Covid patients in hospital beds?
Do you think that hospitalizations are a lagging indicator? In other words, as the cases increase, do you think that hospitalizations will as well? Seems to be a logical progression. I do know that hospitals in hot spots such as Houston are full to the point where they're booking adults into children's hospitals because the regular ones can't accommodate them.
Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
That’s like saying Coke sales are up so we expect a lot more DUIs due to people drinking Jack and Cokes. There are a million and one factors that impact PPE supply and demand... no clue how you get to forecasting expected serious Covid hospitalizations from that.
Comments
When you set the metrics at ceilings that realistically can’t reach ... tells me you aren’t that interested in “business as usual”
The reality is the 2nd chart actually shows a positive trend over time ... but the regression of that line to 50% will never get close before a vaccine and/or treatments render the metric insignificant
But what specifically are we running short of?
Obviously, at this point, people are entrenched in their beliefs that COVID is either a big deal or it's not, no amount of data is going to convince one side either way. If hospitalizations go up, I don't imagine that'll move the needle for those who think COVID is exaggerated.
Someday. Maybe 8 days or 2 weeks
As far as Houston or hospital capacity.... The rumors of the overflowing cordwood hospitals seem exaggerated...
http://memorialhermann.org/news/joint-statement-from-st--luke%E2%80%99s-health,-houston-methodist,-memorial-hermann-health-system---texas-children%E2%80%99s-hospital-regarding-houston-hospital-capacity-and-executive-order/
"we want to reassure the public that this pandemic is not eclipsing our capabilities. Our hospitals have the ICU capacity, staff and supplies to meet the healthcare needs of our community. In addition, Texas hospitals continue to reserve 15 percent of capacity for COVID-19 patients and medical care continues to be routinely provided in inpatient and outpatient settings without taxing the overall hospitalization capacity."
Likewise Texas Medical official publication from yesterday showed plenty of manageable capacity available... The vast majority of the ICU beds are occupied by non Covid patients and "can be managed by appropriately transferring patients from ICU to medical/surgical beds"
https://www.tmc.edu/coronavirus-updates/overview-of-tmc-icu-bed-capacity-and-occupancy/
22% of hospital beds in Houston are covid
Same phenomenon as hospitalizations, if the demand was there, they’d take off the coverings.