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Dr. Anthony Fauci: U.S. coronavirus outbreak could top 100,000 new cases a day

13

Comments

  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,968 Founders Club
    HuskyJW said:

    I miss America

    People now classify themselves as tough if they choose to not wear a mask.

    I’m gonna go out on a limb and say it’s the same dumb motherfuckers that get DUI’s because they don’t want to take an Uber

    Try to keep up

    Or get back under your bed
  • Houhusky
    Houhusky Member Posts: 5,537
    edited July 2020
    The CDC reports an IFR .26%

    During the peak daily fatality: ~2000 deaths/day

    That would equate to over 700,000 new actual infections/day (+lag)

    Napkin work shown:

    Infections * IFR = Fatalities

    X * .26% = 2,000

    X = 2,000 / .0026

    X = 769,000 new infections/day


    In order to imply less than 100K new cases per day in the US the daily fatality would need to be below ~260 deaths per day. Its currently well above 500 deaths/day. Its been months since deaths/day was below 260.

    Fauci should know that the US has likely far exceeded some 100k new cases threshold months ago and has been likely consistently above that threshold for months.... I dont get how Fauci is acting like 100K would be a meaningful threshold.
  • MikeDamone
    MikeDamone Member Posts: 37,781
    HHusky said:

    HHusky said:

    MelloDawg said:

    NOC

    Grim.

    That said, I agree. At this point, either you think it's a big deal and structure your life accordingly or you do not. People partying aren't suddenly going to stop and people who wash their groceries aren't suddenly going to stop.

    And the member of the Light Brigade who poast here needs to walk their talk, because most people aren't just going to act like everything's normal.
    That must be why I am sitting in traffic jams again to get places. And why the restaurants were packed at the beach when we were there two weeks ago

    If you want to be a pussy then be a pussy. The country needs to get going again
    I hope the second shut down is coming. But honestly, I'm convinced just letting you suffer the consequences might be better. Liberty!
  • HuskyJW
    HuskyJW Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 15,476 Founders Club

    HuskyJW said:

    I miss America

    People now classify themselves as tough if they choose to not wear a mask.

    I’m gonna go out on a limb and say it’s the same dumb motherfuckers that get DUI’s because they don’t want to take an Uber

    Try to keep up

    Or get back under your bed
    So I’m wrong? I don’t think I am
  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,968 Founders Club
    HuskyJW said:

    HuskyJW said:

    I miss America

    People now classify themselves as tough if they choose to not wear a mask.

    I’m gonna go out on a limb and say it’s the same dumb motherfuckers that get DUI’s because they don’t want to take an Uber

    Try to keep up

    Or get back under your bed
    So I’m wrong? I don’t think I am
    It's not about masks anymore. And I don't think you are right but we can disagree
  • FireCohen
    FireCohen Member Posts: 21,823
    HuskyJW said:

    I miss America

    People now classify themselves as tough if they choose to not wear a mask.

    I’m gonna go out on a limb and say it’s the same dumb motherfuckers that get DUI’s because they don’t want to take an Uber

    dumb take, even by my standards
  • LoneStarDawg
    LoneStarDawg Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 13,775 Founders Club
    Cases also exploding in Sweden over the last month


  • PostGameOrangeSlices
    PostGameOrangeSlices Member Posts: 27,908
    Stats r hard n tuff! And racis

    - the left