That would equate to over 700,000 new actual infections/day (+lag)
Napkin work shown:
Infections * IFR = Fatalities
X * .26% = 2,000
X = 2,000 / .0026
X = 769,000 new infections/day
In order to imply less than 100K new cases per day in the US the daily fatality would need to be below ~260 deaths per day. Its currently well above 500 deaths/day. Its been months since deaths/day was below 260.
Fauci should know that the US has likely far exceeded some 100k new cases threshold months ago and has been likely consistently above that threshold for months.... I dont get how Fauci is acting like 100K would be a meaningful threshold.
That said, I agree. At this point, either you think it's a big deal and structure your life accordingly or you do not. People partying aren't suddenly going to stop and people who wash their groceries aren't suddenly going to stop.
And the member of the Light Brigade who poast here needs to walk their talk, because most people aren't just going to act like everything's normal.
That must be why I am sitting in traffic jams again to get places. And why the restaurants were packed at the beach when we were there two weeks ago
If you want to be a pussy then be a pussy. The country needs to get going again
I hope the second shut down is coming. But honestly, I'm convinced just letting you suffer the consequences might be better. Liberty!
That said, I agree. At this point, either you think it's a big deal and structure your life accordingly or you do not. People partying aren't suddenly going to stop and people who wash their groceries aren't suddenly going to stop.
And the member of the Light Brigade who poast here needs to walk their talk, because most people aren't just going to act like everything's normal.
That must be why I am sitting in traffic jams again to get places. And why the restaurants were packed at the beach when we were there two weeks ago
If you want to be a pussy then be a pussy. The country needs to get going again
I think it's why the second shut down is coming. But honestly, I'm convinced just letting you suffer the consequences might be better. Liberty!
second wave is coming because it's the script
and I voted donkey a lot in the 2010s, but anyone paying attention with all this extra time can see this nonsense in plain site
Comments
Or get back under your bed
During the peak daily fatality: ~2000 deaths/day
That would equate to over 700,000 new actual infections/day (+lag)
Napkin work shown:
Infections * IFR = Fatalities
X * .26% = 2,000
X = 2,000 / .0026
X = 769,000 new infections/day
In order to imply less than 100K new cases per day in the US the daily fatality would need to be below ~260 deaths per day. Its currently well above 500 deaths/day. Its been months since deaths/day was below 260.
Fauci should know that the US has likely far exceeded some 100k new cases threshold months ago and has been likely consistently above that threshold for months.... I dont get how Fauci is acting like 100K would be a meaningful threshold.
- the left
and I voted donkey a lot in the 2010s, but anyone paying attention with all this extra time can see this nonsense in plain site