Welcome to the Hardcore Husky Forums. Folks who are well-known in Cyberland and not that dumb.
Numbers, math, facts, etc.
Comments
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I’ve been told it’s less fatal than ebola
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Anyone with a mild understanding of stats has understood for months now “cases” and anything that relies on “cases” isn’t reliably indicative of much anything.GrundleStiltzkin said:
I don’t understand why the antibody/serology studies seem to be so few and far between and aren’t being pushed more heavily.
I can’t help but wonder if it’s because the NYC serology study returned ~20% of NYC and localities like the Bronx returned ~30% antibody prevalence months ago... an actual tested and safe vaccine may take longer than the natural burnout plus AND the true IFR becomes much more clear.
Arizona’s serology numbers, which are restricted to people presenting covid like symptoms, are pushing 15% now...
Large counties in Florida (Dade, Orange, etc...) are reporting similar antibody prevalence percentages in Florida too. -
Personally, I wouldn't participate in a serology test now. I would have a couple months ago. There's too much uncertainty here in WA what might happen even on an AB positive.Houhusky said:
Anyone with a mild understanding of stats has understood for months now “cases” and anything that relies on “cases” isn’t reliably indicative of much anything.GrundleStiltzkin said:
I don’t understand why the antibody/serology studies seem to be so few and far between and aren’t being pushed more heavily.
I can’t help but wonder if it’s because the NYC serology study returned ~20% of NYC and localities like the Bronx returned ~30% antibody prevalence months ago... an actual tested and safe vaccine may take longer than the natural burnout plus AND the true IFR becomes much more clear.
Arizona’s serology numbers, which are restricted to people presenting covid like symptoms, are pushing 15% now...
Large counties in Florida (Dade, Orange, etc...) are reporting similar antibody prevalence percentages in Florida too. -
It'll show the death rate as being much lower than they claim and lock downs will die.Houhusky said:
Anyone with a mild understanding of stats has understood for months now “cases” and anything that relies on “cases” isn’t reliably indicative of much anything.GrundleStiltzkin said:
I don’t understand why the antibody/serology studies seem to be so few and far between and aren’t being pushed more heavily.
I can’t help but wonder if it’s because the NYC serology study returned ~20% of NYC and localities like the Bronx returned ~30% antibody prevalence months ago... an actual tested and safe vaccine may take longer than the natural burnout plus AND the true IFR becomes much more clear.
Arizona’s serology numbers, which are restricted to people presenting covid like symptoms, are pushing 15% now...
Large counties in Florida (Dade, Orange, etc...) are reporting similar antibody prevalence percentages in Florida too. -
I think that's regarding the notion that recovered people can contract the 'Vid again.Although replication-competent virus was not isolated 3 weeks after symptom onset, recovered patients can continue to have SARS-CoV-2 RNA detected in their upper respiratory specimens for up to 12 weeks (Korea CDC, 2020; Li et al., 2020; Xiao et al, 2020). Investigation of 285 “persistently positive” persons, which included 126 persons who had developed recurrent symptoms, found no secondary infections among 790 contacts attributable to contact with these case patients. Efforts to isolate replication-competent virus from 108 of these case patients were unsuccessful (Korea CDC, 2020). -
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CoronaBros will be outragedGrundleStiltzkin said:
