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Event 201
Comments
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It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile. -
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question. -
That'll kill @HHusky 's boner.GreenRiverGatorz said:
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
-
He's pandering without knowledge.doogie said:
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.
Again. -
Well, don't trust those. Trust "doogie" on the HH Tug bored.doogie said:
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.
What did you do - take a break to store up some cuntiness so you could come back here all extra cunty this week? -
We had better math here. Not me but still I used my gutdflea said:
Well, don't trust those. Trust "doogie" on the HH Tug bored.doogie said:
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.
What did you do - take a break to store up some cuntiness so you could come back here all extra cunty this week?
The problem is holding briefings led by Doogie Doogerson, Doogbot, and Grundle
Bad optics -
Why do you hate Stanford, @dflea ?dflea said:
Well, don't trust those. Trust "doogie" on the HH Tug bored.doogie said:
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.
What did you do - take a break to store up some cuntiness so you could come back here all extra cunty this week?
Are the school colors that deep that maybe the UW epidemilogists fucked up?
This ain't no football game.
-
RaceBannon said:
We had better math here. Not me but still I used my gutdflea said:
Well, don't trust those. Trust "doogie" on the HH Tug bored.doogie said:
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question.
What did you do - take a break to store up some cuntiness so you could come back here all extra cunty this week?
The problem is holding briefings led by Doogie Doogerson, Doogbot, and Grundle
Bad optics
-
This would be based on actuals, not estimates, you fucking loon.doogie said:
Based on what? Expert Projections?GreenRiverGatorz said:PurpleThrobber said:
What if the VID sweeps through and kills 40K and then that's it? The rest build up their antibodies and kick it's ass faster next time. The Throbber is relatively certain he has some VID-like symptoms in late January/early February but I ain't afraid of that shit now. Fuck off, VID.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Exactly. There's still a huge range of possibilities in terms of the virus's lethality. That's why I'm in favor of wide scale testing so we can get some answers.DuckHHunterisafag said:
If the studies from Stanford and USC are accurate, then the VID may not be as deadly as you believe it to be. How can you be so sure when you don't know what percentage of the popularion was exposed to it?GreenRiverGatorz said:
Right. I suppose we can quibble over the one time event of adding 3700 deaths due to suspected coronavirus without a formal test. There's also the flip side of people dying at home, presumably of the virus, and not being counted in the official figures.USMChawk said:
Where the fuck have you been? That’s been a leading story all week. Even The NY Times got off their asses and wrote an article about it.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Source?USMChawk said:
We know the 42,000 has been padded because there’s Federal money attached to it now. NY just added 3900 because it could have been Corona related. Didn’t confirm or test, just guessed.GreenRiverGatorz said:
Over 42,000 in a little over a month with the most draconian lockdown measures taken since WW2. I believe every model that says the true number of cases could be 10-50x what's being reported (and it's not at all ironic that these are the only models the tugtards suddenly believe). But it's still demonstrably more deadly than the flu no matter which numbers you look at.USMChawk said:
The 2018-2019 flu season killed 61,200 in the US and was considered a moderate flu season. The 2019-2020 flu season is still ongoing and the stats haven’t been finalized. The US Corona deaths stand at 42,531.MontlakeBridgeTroll said:It has already killed more Americans in 6 weeks than last year's flu killed in 52.
But yeah... let's let some football message board epidemiologists figure it out. Salemcoog could only get into WSU but he knows better than the CDC...
Typical leftist bullshit. Make up a stat and hope no one fact checks.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/14/nyregion/new-york-coronavirus-deaths.html
*edited* looks like it’s 3700, not 3900, my mistake.
https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2020/04/03/covid-19s-death-toll-appears-higher-than-official-figures-suggest
So argue in the margins all you want. The point is corona is much deadlier than the flu. This talking point has been steadily dying off over the last month, but it's not surprising to see this place as one of the last holdovers clinging to it.
Either way, 40k in a month makes it way deadlier than the flu.
Everybody assumed linear/exponential expansion but if you beat it once, that's the whole point of herd immunity. It's difficult to beat a team three times in a season but twice ain't no big thing.
By the time round 3 rolls around, it's going to be hot as fuck and i'm drinking copious amounts of Gin and Tonic as a preventative measure even though that shit tastes like bile.
It looks like we may be on the descending side of the death curve, so I don't think you're too far off. What happens to R0 when we open back up is the million dollar question. -
Has the math problem been solved? Did we top out at 41k?
I'm thinking we may actually have to wait until all the bodies are counted before we know how many people died - then we can fight about if they actually died from covid 19 or some other cause.
