No clue. Interestingly last week WA actually back reported negative tests for a day or two. But I can't really answer your question. I just know I think WA's goal is 2% positive tests as point of total opening.
7 day rolling deaths still less than 1, with incomplete data.
4.69%
rolling deaths still less than one.
I'm a bit perplexed that the death data is on a lag. I mean, if someone is in the hospital due to complications to covid, why does that data take so long to report? Makes you wonder. Buddies grandfather died about a month ago, was positive for covid in March. I'd venture he has counted towards a positive covid death despite his heart just stopping, and being 98 or something.
Has anyone out there published what the baseline positive rate is?
Not just the tests technical constraints but the observed or estimated false positive rate when you take into account misreporting, sampling error, contamination, and countless other little hiccups that occur in the real world. I dont understand why the positive rate (still pointless), as it appears to approach an asymptote doesn't have confidence intervals or uncertainty bars included.
The baseline positive rate is a >0 number...
Agreed, the positivity rate is pointless as constructed. But it’s Jays pointless metric, so it’s the best case to point out the moving goalposts.
Positivity rate would actually be somewhat interesting with random gun point sampling.
I was in Astoria today, went to Costco, the greeter lady (who I think was fired from Walmart) would not let my wife in without a mask. The manager came up and stated that by a Oregon Goobernatorial mandate they could not allow us in.
And I was just reading how the real tyrants are the locals enforcing the State non-laws.
My renewal for Costco is up this month, it was a good run. (like they will miss me)
I was in Astoria today, went to Costco, the greeter lady (who I think was fired from Walmart) would not let my wife in without a mask. The manager came up and stated that by a Oregon Goobernatorial mandate they could not allow us in.
And I was just reading how the real tyrants are the locals enforcing the State non-laws.
My renewal for Costco is up this month, it was a good run. (like they will miss me)
Costco is just following the state law. The law in fact only allowed for a three month a dem governor mandate but the equally leftard Oregon Supreme Court came up with an unlimited time limit.
Science aslo be damned. The average age of new chicome crud cases is under 40 and the crud is materially less deadly for those under 60 than the H1N1 flu.
There is a whole thread I started on this that our guardians of truth have no interest in
What until the Governor finds out Fredo called him a liar in an interview with Cruz
"Of course not!" Cruz exclaimed. "We could have a very reasonable policy discussion about the policy mistakes in New York, New Jersey of sending COVID-positive patients into nursing homes and I think that was a very serious policy mistake."
"Mhm, because that didn't happen all over the country, right?" Cuomo said.
"No, it didn't happen in Texas. That's one of the reasons why the death rate in New York is four times the death rate in Texas," Cruz responded.
7 day rolling deaths still less than 1, with incomplete data.
4.69%
rolling deaths still less than one.
I'm a bit perplexed that the death data is on a lag. I mean, if someone is in the hospital due to complications to covid, why does that data take so long to report? Makes you wonder. Buddies grandfather died about a month ago, was positive for covid in March. I'd venture he has counted towards a positive covid death despite his heart just stopping, and being 98 or something.
Has anyone out there published what the baseline positive rate is?
Not just the tests technical constraints but the observed or estimated false positive rate when you take into account misreporting, sampling error, contamination, and countless other little hiccups that occur in the real world. I dont understand why the positive rate (still pointless), as it appears to approach an asymptote doesn't have confidence intervals or uncertainty bars included.
7 day rolling deaths still less than 1, with incomplete data.
4.69%
rolling deaths still less than one.
I'm a bit perplexed that the death data is on a lag. I mean, if someone is in the hospital due to complications to covid, why does that data take so long to report? Makes you wonder. Buddies grandfather died about a month ago, was positive for covid in March. I'd venture he has counted towards a positive covid death despite his heart just stopping, and being 98 or something.
Has anyone out there published what the baseline positive rate is?
Not just the tests technical constraints but the observed or estimated false positive rate when you take into account misreporting, sampling error, contamination, and countless other little hiccups that occur in the real world. I dont understand why the positive rate (still pointless), as it appears to approach an asymptote doesn't have confidence intervals or uncertainty bars included.
7 day rolling deaths still less than 1, with incomplete data.
4.69%
rolling deaths still less than one.
I'm a bit perplexed that the death data is on a lag. I mean, if someone is in the hospital due to complications to covid, why does that data take so long to report? Makes you wonder. Buddies grandfather died about a month ago, was positive for covid in March. I'd venture he has counted towards a positive covid death despite his heart just stopping, and being 98 or something.
Has anyone out there published what the baseline positive rate is?
Not just the tests technical constraints but the observed or estimated false positive rate when you take into account misreporting, sampling error, contamination, and countless other little hiccups that occur in the real world. I dont understand why the positive rate (still pointless), as it appears to approach an asymptote doesn't have confidence intervals or uncertainty bars included.
Comments
Positivity rate would actually be somewhat interesting with random gun point sampling.
The manager came up and stated that by a Oregon Goobernatorial mandate they could not allow us in.
And I was just reading how the real tyrants are the locals enforcing the State non-laws.
My renewal for Costco is up this month, it was a good run. (like they will miss me)
You hear random "stories", but where is the data?
I mean, I have been to the beach a lot with hundreds if not thousands of people around. Are surfers getting Covid?
Medical exemptions be damned I guess
Interesting read from the UK in that the Flu / Pneumonia have killed more people since late June than covid.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8617795/More-Britons-killed-flu-pneumonia-coronavirus-seven-weeks.html
What until the Governor finds out Fredo called him a liar in an interview with Cruz
"Of course not!" Cruz exclaimed. "We could have a very reasonable policy discussion about the policy mistakes in New York, New Jersey of sending COVID-positive patients into nursing homes and I think that was a very serious policy mistake."
"Mhm, because that didn't happen all over the country, right?" Cuomo said.
"No, it didn't happen in Texas. That's one of the reasons why the death rate in New York is four times the death rate in Texas," Cruz responded.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanres/article/PIIS2213-2600(20)30453-7/fulltext
Operational false positives is exactly what I was trying to get at... glad someone out there atleast attempted a scientific estimate.
For reference;
Washington "Safe Start" requires Counties have fewer than 25 new cases per 100,000 residents over a 14-day span.
This estimate would indicate a false positive rate of 8-40 per 1,000 tests... 800-4000 false positives per 100,000 tests
New cases mean shit. Show me hospitalizations.