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Maximum Carnage Week Game Thread

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  • HHusky
    HHusky Member Posts: 24,335
    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    YellowSnow said:

    So what does the cordwood count need to be by week’s end to count as max carnage?

    Next Monday? We'll probably be at 25,000. Maybe that's optimistic.

    What would the count be without the "overreaction"?
    Seems like you would have that answer to justify destroying the economy

    I'm sure a couple million (more?) deaths and tens of millions of cases would have no effect on the economy.
    So you don't have any idea if destroying the economy was required
    I just applied 1918 percentages to our current population. Of course even in the olden days, people knew viruses were contagious and they "overreacted". Cost Seattle a Stanley Cup, and had some less significant adverse effects as well.
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  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 115,527 Founders Club
    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    YellowSnow said:

    So what does the cordwood count need to be by week’s end to count as max carnage?

    Next Monday? We'll probably be at 25,000. Maybe that's optimistic.

    What would the count be without the "overreaction"?
    Seems like you would have that answer to justify destroying the economy

    I'm sure a couple million (more?) deaths and tens of millions of cases would have no effect on the economy.
    So you don't have any idea if destroying the economy was required
    I just applied 1918 percentages to our current population. Of course even in the olden days, people knew viruses were contagious and they "overreacted". Cost Seattle a Stanley Cup, and had some less significant adverse effects as well.
    So you have no idea if any of this made any difference. Like I said
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  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    This is a good read
    https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/04/06/ihme-sharply-reduces-projected-hospitalizations-data-shows-nys-curve-flattening/
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  • HHusky
    HHusky Member Posts: 24,335
    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    YellowSnow said:

    So what does the cordwood count need to be by week’s end to count as max carnage?

    Next Monday? We'll probably be at 25,000. Maybe that's optimistic.

    What would the count be without the "overreaction"?
    Seems like you would have that answer to justify destroying the economy

    I'm sure a couple million (more?) deaths and tens of millions of cases would have no effect on the economy.
    So you don't have any idea if destroying the economy was required
    I just applied 1918 percentages to our current population. Of course even in the olden days, people knew viruses were contagious and they "overreacted". Cost Seattle a Stanley Cup, and had some less significant adverse effects as well.
    So you have no idea if any of this made any difference. Like I said
    Until we run in traffic, how can we be sure that it is dangerous?
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  • Bob_C
    Bob_C Member, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 13,257 Founders Club
    There’s definitely context things going around in the data reporting. The death output seems to be worst case and then when it comes in less, social distancing is being lauded. I seem to recall a time where the deaths that were being projected were with the social distancing assumption built in, so that can’t be the reason for variance in actuals.

    Part of the issue is too many models with wildly different assumptions and reporting taking pieces from each as if it were an integrated model.
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  • Fire_Marshall_Bill
    Fire_Marshall_Bill Member Posts: 26,125 Standard Supporter
    GrundleStiltzkin said:

    This is a good read
    https://hotair.com/archives/allahpundit/2020/04/06/ihme-sharply-reduces-projected-hospitalizations-data-shows-nys-curve-flattening/

    Andrew Combover and Bill Deblah are heroes now, despite bad orange man. They flattened the curve thanks to their brilliance. Never mind that Deblasio said everything was normal well into March.
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  • DoogieMcDoogerson
    DoogieMcDoogerson Member Posts: 2,525
    I find this chart interesting and the commentary describing it interesting. This is probably something the news should pick up on but it doesn't fit their narrative. "Deaths show by date of onset."


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  • MelloDawg
    MelloDawg Member Posts: 6,917
    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    RaceBannon said:

    HHusky said:

    YellowSnow said:

    So what does the cordwood count need to be by week’s end to count as max carnage?

    Next Monday? We'll probably be at 25,000. Maybe that's optimistic.

    What would the count be without the "overreaction"?
    Seems like you would have that answer to justify destroying the economy

    I'm sure a couple million (more?) deaths and tens of millions of cases would have no effect on the economy.
    So you don't have any idea if destroying the economy was required
    I just applied 1918 percentages to our current population. Of course even in the olden days, people knew viruses were contagious and they "overreacted". Cost Seattle a Stanley Cup, and had some less significant adverse effects as well.
    So you have no idea if any of this made any difference. Like I said
    Until we run in traffic, how can we be sure that it is dangerous?
    What do you have to lose? I may try it, I’ll have to talk to my doctor.
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