I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?
What's my lie Kunt? State it clearly, better yet quote it. The only fucking liar is you Scotty.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Don't ask me, I've given up with trying to time the market.
I also think he has a chance to garner a historical Republican share of the Jewish vote.
Wager? I think he will get less than 15%. Loser deletes their account.
On the Jewish vote it’s trended GOP in the last couple elections. You might be right on that one.
FFS scotti. There isn't one person who knows how often you lie that would ever take that bet. Between the woodshed and here you have had about 6 different names/handles while stupidly trying to post as if you were someone else. We all know that if you lost you would just come back here with a different name. Like I said, FFS.
Categorically false Atl. I only had one handle on educk/shed and have only ever had one here. As usual you are projecting as the title holder of the shed’s most prolific liar.
You have no fucking business calling anyone else a liar.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
You still celebrating that the fake cow litigant repeated the same lie you did?
Run out of children to molest, @GDS Pedophile? Still waiting for those Tulsi words, you lying pedophile piece of shit.
Let's see those words from Tulsi that prove her "soft spot for Assad."
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...
Gee, I wonder what changed between 01, when everyone supported Bush after 9/11, and 04 when we were mired down in fucking Iraq?
Dubya had approval ratings in the 40's among AA voters in 01-02 but still only received 11% of their votes in '04. Since 84 the avg share of the AA vote for a GOP candidate has been 9% - slightly higher than Trump received in '16.
Gallup has him currently at 10% among AAs which seems a helluva lot closer to reality...
Gee, I wonder what changed between 01, when everyone supported Bush after 9/11, and 04 when we were mired down in fucking Iraq?
Christ liberals are fucking retarded. Be smarter
Why some might call that a lie of omission. Scotty is such a hypocritical piece of shit.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
Why are we "due"?
While I couldn't point to one sector atm I see a lot of smaller bubbles in the economy(Coastal real estate inflation and real estate shadow inventory) and a dragging world economy. Demographics are also an issue but the deregulation I noted is helping with participation rates. You can pick on the "due" use of my language but I see a lot of high markets without the corresponding GDP growth numbers which usually means leverage. Plus you have a yield curve inversion which can precede a market correction which can tip an economy into recession as everyone tightens their wallets and deleverages. On top of that you have a trade war with no foreseeable resolution, a strengthening dollar vs. a ton of other currencies liquidity, and likely a large Chinese slowdown(maybe offset by other Asian growth, maybe not).
All just my guesses though! Much smarter people than me can't get the market right. Part of why I said it deserves Owen. There's a lot of uncertainty to potentially make investment decisions around.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
Why are we "due"?
While I couldn't point to one sector atm I see a lot of smaller bubbles in the economy(Coastal real estate inflation and real estate shadow inventory) and a dragging world economy. Demographics are also an issue but the deregulation I noted is helping with participation rates. You can pick on the "due" use of my language but I see a lot of high markets without the corresponding GDP growth numbers which usually means leverage. Plus you have a yield curve inversion which can precede a market correction which can tip an economy into recession as everyone tightens their wallets and deleverages. On top of that you have a trade war with no foreseeable resolution, a strengthening dollar vs. a ton of other currencies liquidity, and likely a large Chinese slowdown(maybe offset by other Asian growth, maybe not).
All just my guesses though! Much smarter people than me can't get the market right. Part of why I said it deserves Owen. There's a lot of uncertainty to potentially make investment decisions around.
So what you're saying is there is no reason for a recession unless governments fuck it up.
401K up 26% yoy. Now if i can just call the next recession, I'm set;-) Although i think Trump wins reelection, 50% of the population is fucked up and prone to stupidity. If a RAT wins, the market crashes big time. Sure, it will eventually recover but it could take years to reach break even. The market may hedge this potential somewhere between March and September and see a 10-20% downward slide. If Trump wins, it recovers quickly and continues the bull run. Dump it all into bond funds until after the 2020 election?
Deserves owen. I think a strong dollar against a ton of world uncertainty is going to slow the GDP numbers way down. I think the market is inflated and will continue to be by the divergence in interest rates(everyone in the world trying to buy American assets atm). Dems win 2020 and yeah, the market will crash, but I also think we are due for a slowdown or recession within the next 18-24 months even if Donny wins(they'll be a post election jump though). Only reason it hasn't happened already is because of tax cuts and deregulation imo.
Why are we "due"?
While I couldn't point to one sector atm I see a lot of smaller bubbles in the economy(Coastal real estate inflation and real estate shadow inventory) and a dragging world economy. Demographics are also an issue but the deregulation I noted is helping with participation rates. You can pick on the "due" use of my language but I see a lot of high markets without the corresponding GDP growth numbers which usually means leverage. Plus you have a yield curve inversion which can precede a market correction which can tip an economy into recession as everyone tightens their wallets and deleverages. On top of that you have a trade war with no foreseeable resolution, a strengthening dollar vs. a ton of other currencies liquidity, and likely a large Chinese slowdown(maybe offset by other Asian growth, maybe not).
All just my guesses though! Much smarter people than me can't get the market right. Part of why I said it deserves Owen. There's a lot of uncertainty to potentially make investment decisions around.
So what you're saying is there is no reason for a recession unless governments fuck it up.
Same as it ever was.
Some yes and some no. I don't view recessions or slowdowns as bad things inherently. It's part of the natural market cycle and is a good thing to trim a lot of the fat that develops.
People who try to predict macroeconomics are always entertaining.
Might as well guess the weather 2 weeks from now
I enjoy economics and I enjoy thinking through macro in a very similar way in which I enjoy football analysis. Both are multi-variable and basically impossible to predict completely accurately. That doesn't mean you can't be 81% correct that Alabama is going to squash southern Mississippi directional U or that you can't make a profit off of essentially not being a retard in the market.
Comments
Ruh Roh Here is one of your hero’s Scott:
Ben Sasse causes liberal implosion on social media after he admits FISA abuse accusations were true
https://www.theblaze.com/news/ben-sasse-inspires-liberal-meltdown-over-fisa-abuses
Not to mention I have more to lose. See the little teepee? It means I financially support the community because I want to.
Try again.
How does Schiff’s ass taste Scotty?
Let's see those words from Tulsi that prove her "soft spot for Assad."
Christ liberals are fucking retarded. Be smarter
All just my guesses though! Much smarter people than me can't get the market right. Part of why I said it deserves Owen. There's a lot of uncertainty to potentially make investment decisions around.
Same as it ever was.
Might as well guess the weather 2 weeks from now