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Oregon Offseason Natty Complete

DoogCourics
DoogCourics Member Posts: 5,739
in Hardcore Husky Board





ESPN's FPI update has UO at 10th with this to say:

"Which one of these four teams has the best shot at pulling off a darkhorse run to the Playoff? The FPI is highest on Oregon (9.7 wins) and Notre Dame (9.4 wins), but only gives the Ducks a 35 percent chance to win the Pac-12 — which is what Mario Cristobal's team will have to do to have a shot. The Oregon-Auburn opener at AT&T Stadium is intriguing for a number of reasons, none bigger than the outcome possibly coming into play with the selection committee down the stretch."

"ESPN has previously released their 2019-2020 College Football Playoff predictor and the Ducks have the eighth highest percentage to make the CFP and the highest percentage of any Pac-12 team. According to the playoff predictor, the Ducks have a 14% chance of making the College Football Playoff. Three other Pac-12 teams are listed with a chance as well, Washington (4%), UCLA (1%), and Utah (1%)."





Auburn in Texas, at Stanford, at Washington, at USC. Four toughest opponents on the road where Oregon is 3-7 over the last two years.



Meanwhile....

ESPN's FPI update has UW at 17th with this to say:

"Bullish on Washington? ESPN's simulation model likes the Huskies to finish 9-3, but not win the Pac-12 Championship this season due to a brutal slate. That sounds a lot like several of the teams in this list who are talented with depth, but will likely succumb to difficult stretches against Top 25 competition."






Brutal slate? You mean like Eastern Washington, Hawaii, and BYU for non-con, your only difficult road game being at Stanford, and then getting USC, Oregon, Utah, and Wazzu all at home where UW has won 14 straight and is undefeated the last two years?



Come on ESPN.


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