We are probably dropping one of either @ Oregon or vs. Stanford the rest of the way(but that's it). HH polling beginning of the season says Stanford. ESPN FPI and PPG metrics would say Oregon is the bigger toss up. From a "winning the North" perspective it's probably better to beat Stanford and lose to Oregon. We are still favored in both games though and have a decent probability of winning out. We could also drop a game that we "should" really win while beating both of those teams but that is less likely.
10-2 overall and 8-1 conference records are what the maf' is predicting.
We are probably dropping one of either @ Oregon or vs. Stanford the rest of the way(but that's it). HH polling beginning of the season says Stanford. ESPN FPI and PPG metrics would say Oregon is the bigger toss up. From a "winning the North" perspective it's probably better to beat Stanford and lose to Oregon. We are still favored in both games though and have a decent probability of winning out. We could also drop a game that we "should" really win while beating both of those teams but that is less likely.
10-2 overall and 8-1 conference records are what the maf' is predicting.
It would be better if we won both games like we should.
We are probably dropping one of either @ Oregon or vs. Stanford the rest of the way(but that's it). HH polling beginning of the season says Stanford. ESPN FPI and PPG metrics would say Oregon is the bigger toss up. From a "winning the North" perspective it's probably better to beat Stanford and lose to Oregon. We are still favored in both games though and have a decent probability of winning out. We could also drop a game that we "should" really win while beating both of those teams but that is less likely.
10-2 overall and 8-1 conference records are what the maf' is predicting.
It would be better if we won both games like we should.
Of course, I'm just telling you what the math predicts as a probability distribution. Alabama is usually favored in every single game they play but they still usually drop one.
Even if you are at 90% to win every game, over a ten game schedule that means the most likely outcome is that you are 9-1 even though in a vacuum you should have also won that 1 game.
We are probably dropping one of either @ Oregon or vs. Stanford the rest of the way(but that's it). HH polling beginning of the season says Stanford. ESPN FPI and PPG metrics would say Oregon is the bigger toss up. From a "winning the North" perspective it's probably better to beat Stanford and lose to Oregon. We are still favored in both games though and have a decent probability of winning out. We could also drop a game that we "should" really win while beating both of those teams but that is less likely.
10-2 overall and 8-1 conference records are what the maf' is predicting.
It would be better if we won both games like we should.
Of course, I'm just telling you what the math predicts as a probability distribution. Alabama is usually favored in every single game they play but they still usually drop one.
Even if you are at 90% to win every game, over a ten game schedule that means the most likely outcome is that you are 9-1 even though in a vacuum you should have also won that 1 game.
Comments
Get two defensive touchdowns and and five takeaways, yet Cal only scores 4.5 points less than they normally do.
Sure, Oregon’s defense sucks.
10-2 overall and 8-1 conference records are what the maf' is predicting.
Even if you are at 90% to win every game, over a ten game schedule that means the most likely outcome is that you are 9-1 even though in a vacuum you should have also won that 1 game.