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Blue Wave Fupdate

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  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,866 Founders Club

    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

    If you think 71 to 28% and an electoral landslide for Hillary on November 8 is good then have at it

    Silver fucked up with the rest of them.

    Upsets happen. That's why we play the game.


  • RaceBannon
    RaceBannon Member, Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 116,071 Founders Club
    If I hadn't called it accurately I would agree

    I wasn't blinded by bias and bad math
  • Sledog
    Sledog Member Posts: 38,795 Standard Supporter
    Democrats touting poles after the last assured win is special! Keep the tissues and revolvers handy.
  • YellowSnow
    YellowSnow Moderator, Swaye's Wigwam Posts: 37,866 Founders Club

    If I hadn't called it accurately I would agree

    I wasn't blinded by bias and bad math

    Look you deserve a lot of credit Race for calling it for Trump in 2015 in these pages. I wasn't lurking yet in the Tug, but I'll take your word on it. That said, it was a prediction based on a gut feeling and it worked out. Ball could have very easily bounced the other way.

    I for one have no idea how 2018 is going to work out or 2020 for that matter. 75% for Dems to take the House feels a bit high, but I think it's 50/50 at worse.
  • GrundleStiltzkin
    GrundleStiltzkin Member Posts: 61,516 Standard Supporter
    Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
    I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too.
  • ThomasFremont
    ThomasFremont Member Posts: 13,325

    Really all Trump needed to do is keep his mouth shut and let the economy, stupid, do the talking. But he can't.
    I have no data to back up my SPECULATION, but I think the Putin meeting hurt Trump too.

    I have faith in My Americans that 81% of them have no idea there was a meeting
    The low info voter has always been the backbone of American Democracy.
    Our resident Sun Doovil is proof
  • oregonblitzkrieg
    oregonblitzkrieg Member Posts: 15,288
    The thinking man's leftard is skrong in this thread.